ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
During the second quarter of 2026, financial markets were comparatively calmer as realized volatility moderated from the elevated levels seen earlier in the year, even as investors continued to weigh the outlook for inflation, monetary policy, and global growth against ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The U.S. economy continued to expand at a moderate pace, with a steady labor market and only a modest increase in inflation expectations. Market participants priced for the possibility of modest Federal Reserve policy rate hikes, but forward rates curves suggested any such hikes would slowly be removed over time as new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh eventually settled into his new approach for managing the Federal Reserve. Funding markets remained orderly and were well supported by ample system liquidity, and liquidity across the mortgage and repurchase agreement markets continued to function effectively. After spread widening late in the first quarter, spreads across Agency MBS stabilized and moved modestly tighter over the course of the second quarter, supported by muted new mortgage origination supply, the sector's strong liquidity profile, and renewed demand from the GSEs, which increased their purchases of Agency MBS during the bout of widening.
Against this backdrop, Agency MBS continues to offer attractive long‑term return potential relative to other high‑quality fixed‑income assets, particularly given the supply dynamics, the sector's strong liquidity profile, and the potential for incremental GSE demand to provide support against episodes of spread widening. At the same time, fund flows into bond funds remain a steady source of demand. The long-term, demographic-led need for income will likely remain a central theme in developed financial markets. We view current spread levels as attractive and remain attentive to the evolving supply‑and‑demand balance, including the pace and composition of GSE purchases, the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, especially its holdings of Agency MBS and the level of banking‑system reserves. We continue to monitor monetary policy, inflation trends, housing market activity, supply‑and‑demand dynamics, and geopolitical developments, as well as operational and cybersecurity risks, as we assess their potential impact on interest rates, spreads, prepayment behavior, and financing conditions. We remain focused on disciplined portfolio construction, security selection, liquidity management, and balance‑sheet resilience as market conditions continue to evolve.
The charts below show the range of U.S. Treasury and SOFR-based swap rates for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and information regarding market spreads as of and for the periods indicated:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Market Spreads as of: | | Change in Spreads YTD |
Investment Type: (1) | | June 30, 2026 | | | | | | March 31, 2026 | | December 31, 2025 | |
Agency RMBS: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2.0% coupon | | 72 | | | | | | 73 | | 70 | | 2 |
| 2.5% coupon | | 72 | | | | | | 76 | | 73 | | (1) |
| 4.0% coupon | | 52 | | | | | | 52 | | 50 | | 2 |
| 4.5% coupon | | 46 | | | | | | 53 | | 45 | | 1 |
| 5.0% coupon | | 48 | | | | | | 56 | | 46 | | 2 |
| 5.5% coupon | | 51 | | | | | | 63 | | 51 | | — |
| 6.0% coupon | | 47 | | | | | | 64 | | 54 | | (7) |
Agency CMBS(2) | | 75 | | | | | | 84 | | 82 | | (7) |
(1)Option adjusted spreads (“OAS”) are based on Company estimates using third-party models and market data. OAS shown for prior periods may differ from previous disclosures because the Company regularly updates the third-party model used.
(2)Data is sourced from J.P. Morgan and represents the spread to swap rate on newly issued Agency securities collateralized by multifamily properties.
Summary of Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance
Our total economic return for the second quarter of 2026 of $0.81 per common share was comprised of an increase in book value of $0.30 per common share and dividends declared of $0.51 per common share. The increase in book value per common share was primarily comprised of a net gain of $102 million on our investment portfolio, net of hedges. The fair value of our Agency MBS benefited from spread tightening late in the second quarter. Although higher interest rates reduced asset valuations during the second quarter, our hedging portfolio effectively mitigated much of this impact, supporting the overall increase in book value. We raised capital of $391 million, net of commissions, using the proceeds to opportunistically add Agency MBS of $2.8 billion. Leverage including TBAs at implied cost decreased to 8.1 times equity, primarily due to the favorable performance of our portfolio.
Interest income increased to $94 million for the second quarter of 2026, driven by our continued deployment of capital into Agency MBS purchases, primarily in 4-5% coupons. Operating expenses for the second quarter of 2026 decreased $5 million, due to the absence of one-time compensation and personnel-related costs recognized during the first quarter of 2026.
The following table summarizes the changes in the Company's financial position during the three months ended June 30, 2026:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($s in thousands except per share data) | Net Change in Fair Value | | Components of Comprehensive Income | | Common Book Value Rollforward | | Per Common Share |
Balance as of March 31, 2026 (1) | | | | | $ | 2,609,770 | | | $ | 12.60 | |
Net interest income | | | $ | 93,783 | | | | | |
Periodic interest from interest rate swaps | | | 542 | | | | | |
| G & A and other operating expenses | | | (16,213) | | | | | |
| Preferred stock dividends | | | (2,650) | | | | | |
| Changes in fair value: | | | | | | | |
MBS and other | $ | (26,487) | | | | | | | |
| TBAs | (19,229) | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury futures | 16,568 | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Interest rate swaps | 135,239 | | | | | | | |
Interest rate swaptions | (4,275) | | | | | | | |
| Total net change in fair value | | | 101,816 | | | | | |
| Comprehensive income to common shareholders | | | | | 177,278 | | | |
| Capital transactions: | | | | | | | |
Net proceeds from stock issuance (2) | | | | | 392,295 | | | |
| Common dividends declared | | | | | (115,776) | | | |
Balance as of June 30, 2026 (1) | | | | | $ | 3,063,567 | | | $ | 12.90 | |
(1)Amounts represent total shareholders' equity less the aggregate liquidation preference of the Company's preferred stock of $111.5 million, in thousands and on a per common share basis.
(2)Net proceeds from common stock issuance include approximately $391 million from ATM issuances and approximately $1.0 million from amortization of share-based compensation, net of grants, during the three months ended June 30, 2026.
FINANCIAL CONDITION
Investment Portfolio
Our investment portfolio, including TBAs, as of June 30, 2026, has increased $8.2 billion, or 42%, since December 31, 2025. We added over $10 billion, net of sales, of primarily 30-year fixed rate Agency RMBS during the six months ended June 30, 2026. We reduced our TBA securities by a net notional of $0.6 billion. The following charts compare the composition of our investment portfolio as of the dates indicated:
The following charts compare the percentage distribution by coupon of our 30-year fixed rate Agency RMBS investments, including TBAs, as of the dates indicated:
The following tables compare our 30-year fixed-rate Agency RMBS investments, including TBA dollar roll positions, by coupon as of the dates indicated:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | June 30, 2026 |
Agency RMBS by Coupon | | Par/Notional | | Amortized Cost/ Implied Cost Basis (3)(5) | | Fair Value (4)(5) | | Weighted Average |
| | | | Loan Age (in months)(6) | | 3 Month CPR (6)(7) | | Estimated Duration (8) | | Market Yield (9) |
| ($s in thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2.0% | | $ | 1,655,060 | | | $ | 1,467,013 | | | $ | 1,341,563 | | | 70 | | 5.1 | % | | 7.37 | | 4.90 | % |
| 2.5% | | 748,519 | | | 728,917 | | | 637,192 | | | 70 | | 6.4 | % | | 6.92 | | 4.88 | % |
| 4.0% | | 1,122,540 | | | 1,065,039 | | | 1,057,493 | | | 51 | | 5.6 | % | | 5.97 | | 4.93 | % |
4.5% (1) | | 2,219,150 | | | 2,147,675 | | | 2,146,620 | | | 29 | | 6.5 | % | | 5.53 | | 5.02 | % |
| 5.0% | | 8,017,356 | | | 7,969,870 | | | 7,942,615 | | | 15 | | 6.9 | % | | 4.82 | | 5.14 | % |
| 5.5% | | 8,921,868 | | | 9,028,071 | | | 9,027,526 | | | 15 | | 10.5 | % | | 3.55 | | 5.28 | % |
| 6.0% | | 1,418,680 | | | 1,459,407 | | | 1,460,687 | | | 14 | | 17.3 | % | | 2.35 | | 5.31 | % |
| TBA 4.0% | | 12,000 | | | 11,259 | | | 11,231 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 6.71 | | 4.89 | % |
TBA 4.5%(2) | | 1,075,000 | | | 1,039,010 | | | 1,044,581 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 5.11 | | 4.91 | % |
| TBA 5.0% | | 873,000 | | | 856,769 | | | 858,950 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 4.92 | | 5.23 | % |
| TBA 5.5% | | 600,000 | | | 602,276 | | | 602,531 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 3.41 | | 5.41 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 26,663,173 | | | $ | 26,375,306 | | | $ | 26,130,989 | | | 23 | | 8.7 | % | | 4.57 | | 5.15 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31, 2025 |
Agency RMBS by Coupon | | Par/Notional | | Amortized Cost/ Implied Cost Basis (3)(5) | | Fair Value (4)(5) | | Weighted Average |
| | | | Loan Age (in months)(6) | | 3 Month CPR (6)(7) | | Estimated Duration (8) | | Market Yield (9) |
| ($s in thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2.0% | | $ | 603,965 | | | $ | 613,475 | | | $ | 497,097 | | | 63 | | 5.2 | % | | 7.42 | | 4.68 | % |
| 2.5% | | 516,325 | | | 535,039 | | | 444,904 | | | 64 | | 5.1 | % | | 7.02 | | 4.67 | % |
| 4.0% | | 293,073 | | | 293,432 | | | 281,889 | | | 57 | | 6.5 | % | | 5.89 | | 4.63 | % |
4.5% (1) | | 1,911,130 | | | 1,853,757 | | | 1,881,304 | | | 33 | | 5.8 | % | | 5.46 | | 4.74 | % |
| 5.0% | | 3,974,655 | | | 3,913,622 | | | 3,997,537 | | | 21 | | 5.9 | % | | 4.62 | | 4.91 | % |
| 5.5% | | 6,325,638 | | | 6,361,758 | | | 6,465,769 | | | 13 | | 8.1 | % | | 3.39 | | 5.10 | % |
| 6.0% | | 1,381,567 | | | 1,419,727 | | | 1,432,860 | | | 9 | | 8.2 | % | | 2.28 | | 5.14 | % |
| TBA 4.0% | | 1,162,000 | | | 1,101,441 | | | 1,102,764 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 6.29 | | 4.76 | % |
TBA 4.5%(2) | | 1,447,000 | | | 1,425,945 | | | 1,430,136 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 4.58 | | 4.64 | % |
| TBA 5.0% | | 176,000 | | | 175,287 | | | 175,670 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 4.51 | | 5.03 | % |
| TBA 5.5% | | 183,000 | | | 185,175 | | | 185,631 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 3.28 | | 5.23 | % |
TBA 6.0% | | 221,000 | | | 226,218 | | | 226,922 | | | n/a | | n/a | | 1.99 | | 5.24 | % |
| Total | | $ | 18,195,353 | | | $ | 18,104,876 | | | $ | 18,122,483 | | | 21 | | 7.0 | % | | 4.29 | | 4.94 | % |
(1)Includes a par value of $9 million of 4.5% 15-year Agency RMBS as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025.
(2)Includes a notional amount of $440 million of 4.5% 15-year TBA securities as of June 30, 2026 and $690 million as of December 31, 2025.
(3)Implied cost basis of TBAs represents the forward price to be paid for the underlying Agency MBS.
(4)Fair value of TBAs is the implied market value of the underlying Agency security as of the end of the period.
(5)TBAs are included on the consolidated balance sheet within “derivative assets/liabilities” at their net carrying value which is the difference between their implied market value and implied cost basis. Please refer to Note 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. (6)TBAs are excluded from this calculation as they do not have a defined weighted-average loan balance or age until mortgages have been assigned to the pool.
(7)Constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) represents the 3-month CPR of Agency RMBS held as of date indicated.
(8)Duration measures the sensitivity of a security's price to the change in interest rates and represents the percent change in price of a security for a 100-basis point increase in interest rates. We calculate duration using third-party financial models and empirical data. Different models and methodologies can produce different estimates of duration for the same securities.
(9)Represents the weighted average market yield projected using cash flows generated from the forward curve based on market prices as of the date indicated and assuming zero volatility.
Our Agency CMBS consist of loans collateralized by multifamily properties. Though we expect our exposure to Agency CMBS to remain modest as a percentage of the total portfolio, we will add Agency CMBS from time to time whenever we believe the risk-adjusted return profile aligns with our investment strategy. In addition to offering strong relative value, Agency CMBS help diversify and stabilize the portfolio's cash flow and total return profile, given their unique prepayment characteristics and underlying asset base.
The majority of our CMBS IO are Agency-issued securities backed by loans collateralized by multifamily properties. Our Agency CMBS IO are from Freddie Mac Series K deals from which interest continues to be advanced even in the event of an underlying default up until liquidation. Our non-Agency CMBS IO were all originated prior to 2018 and are backed by loans collateralized by a number of different property types, such as multifamily, office, retail, hotels, industrial, storage, and others. Our non-Agency CMBS IO investments are nearing maturity and have very little amortized cost remaining; any changes in actual payments may result in large swings in yield as shown below.
The following table provides certain information regarding our CMBS and CMBS IO as of the dates indicated:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| June 30, 2026 |
($s in thousands) | Par/Notional Value | | Amortized Cost | | Fair Value | | WAVG Life Remaining (1) | | WAVG Market Yield (2) |
| Agency CMBS | $ | 1,385,492 | | | $ | 1,387,141 | | | $ | 1,377,163 | | | 5.7 | | 4.47 | % |
CMBS IO | 5,549,806 | | | 75,970 | | | 75,338 | | | 4.4 | | 6.86 | % |
| Total | | | $ | 1,463,111 | | | $ | 1,452,501 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| December 31, 2025 |
($s in thousands) | Par/Notional Value | | Amortized Cost | | Fair Value | | WAVG Life Remaining (1) | | WAVG Market Yield (2) |
| Agency CMBS | $ | 1,210,953 | | | $ | 1,213,107 | | | $ | 1,218,343 | | | 5.5 | | 4.25 | % |
CMBS IO | 6,000,525 | | | 87,557 | | | 87,285 | | | 4.7 | | 10.40 | % |
| Total | | | $ | 1,300,664 | | | $ | 1,305,628 | | | | | |
(1) Represents the weighted average life remaining in years based on contractual cash flows as of the dates indicated. |
(2) Represents the weighted average market yield projected using cash flows generated off the forward curve based on market prices as of the dates indicated and assuming zero volatility. |
Repurchase Agreements
Our repurchase agreement borrowings increased to $23 billion as of June 30, 2026 from $14 billion as of December 31, 2025. These borrowings were used to partially finance our purchases of Agency MBS during the six months ended June 30, 2026. We have not experienced any difficulty in securing financing with any of our counterparties, and our repurchase agreement counterparties have not indicated any concerns regarding leverage or credit. Please refer to Note 4 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained within this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q as well as “Results of Operations” and “Liquidity and Capital Resources” contained within this Item 2 for additional information relating to our repurchase agreement borrowings.
Derivative Assets and Liabilities
Please refer to Note 5 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on our interest rate hedging instruments as well as “Liquidity and Capital Resources” within Item 2 and “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk” within Item 3 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 Compared to the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
The following table summarizes the results of operations for the periods discussed in this section: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Three Months Ended |
| $s in thousands | June 30, 2026 | | March 31, 2026 | | |
| Net interest income | $ | 93,783 | | | $ | 79,254 | | | |
| Realized gain on sales of investments, net | — | | | 8,721 | | | |
| Unrealized loss on investments, net | (25,622) | | | (251,811) | | | |
| Gain on derivative instruments, net | 128,845 | | | 104,727 | | | |
| Operating expenses, net | (16,213) | | | (21,253) | | | |
| Preferred stock dividends | (2,650) | | | (2,658) | | | |
| Net income (loss) to common shareholders | 178,143 | | | (83,020) | | | |
| Other comprehensive loss | (865) | | | (148) | | | |
| Comprehensive income (loss) to common shareholders | $ | 177,278 | | | $ | (83,168) | | | |
Net Interest Income
Net interest income and net interest spread for the three months ended June 30, 2026, increased compared to the three months ended March 31, 2026, as the portfolio grew. Interest expense increased due to a higher average balance of repurchase agreement borrowings used to finance the growth in our MBS portfolio. Net periodic interest earned on interest rate swaps, a component of economic net interest income, decreased by approximately $1.2 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, compared to the three months ended March 31, 2026, representing a decline of 3 basis points as a percentage of average repurchase agreement borrowings.
The following table presents information about our interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities and their performance for the periods indicated:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Three Months Ended |
| June 30, 2026 | | March 31, 2026 |
| ($s in thousands) | Interest Income/Expense | | Average Balance (1)(2) | | Effective Yield/ Financing Cost (3)(4) | | Interest Income/Expense | | Average Balance (1)(2) | | Effective Yield/ Financing Cost (3)(4) |
| Agency RMBS | $ | 280,970 | | | $ | 22,581,412 | | | 4.98 | % | | $ | 236,350 | | | $ | 18,926,563 | | | 5.00 | % |
| Agency CMBS | 13,522 | | | 1,254,886 | | | 4.26 | % | | 12,530 | | | 1,177,399 | | | 4.26 | % |
CMBS IO (5) | 1,748 | | | 78,595 | | | 8.70 | % | | 1,781 | | | 84,531 | | | 8.23 | % |
Other investments | 6 | | | 445 | | | 3.89 | % | | 6 | | | 461 | | | 3.98 | % |
Subtotal | $ | 296,246 | | | $ | 23,915,338 | | | 4.95 | % | | $ | 250,667 | | | $ | 20,188,954 | | | 4.97 | % |
| Cash equivalents | 6,505 | | | | | | | 6,723 | | | | | |
| Total interest income | $ | 302,751 | | | | | | | $ | 257,390 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Repurchase agreement financing | (208,968) | | | 21,803,737 | | | (3.79) | % | | (178,136) | | | 18,470,997 | | | (3.86) | % |
Net interest income (expense)/spread | $ | 93,783 | | | | | 1.16 | % | | $ | 79,254 | | | | | 1.11 | % |
Net periodic interest (6) | 542 | | | | | 0.01 | % | | 1,698 | | | | | 0.04 | % |
Economic net interest income (expense)/spread (6) | $ | 94,325 | | | | | 1.17 | % | | $ | 80,952 | | | | | 1.15 | % |
| *Table Note: Data may not foot due to rounding. |
(1)Average balance for assets is calculated as a simple average of the daily amortized cost and excludes securities pending settlement if applicable.
(2)Average balance for liabilities is calculated as a simple average of the daily borrowings outstanding during the period.
(3)Effective yield is calculated by dividing interest income by the average balance of asset type outstanding during the reporting period. Unscheduled adjustments to premium/discount amortization/accretion, such as for prepayment compensation, are not annualized in this calculation.
(4)Financing cost is calculated by dividing annualized interest expense by the total average balance of borrowings outstanding during the period with an assumption of 360 days in a year.
(5)Includes Agency and non-Agency issued securities.
(6)Net periodic interest is the difference between the fixed interest rate we pay and the variable interest rate we receive on our interest rate swaps. It is a component of economic net interest income (expense), a non-GAAP measure. Please refer to the section below “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for more information.
Gains (Losses) on Investments and Derivative Instruments
For the three months ended June 30, 2026, gains on our hedges exceeded losses on our investments by approximately $102 million. Although higher interest rates negatively impacted the fair value of our Agency MBS, our hedging portfolio effectively mitigated much of this impact, Additionally, the fair value of our Agency MBS benefited from tightening of mortgage spreads to U.S. Treasuries in the second quarter.
For the three months ended March 31, 2026, losses on our investment portfolio exceeded gains on our hedges by approximately $(139) million., which included $2 million in net periodic interest we earned from interest rate swaps. The fair value of our investment portfolio declined $(257) million during the three months ended March 31, 2026 primarily due to widening of mortgage spreads to U.S. Treasuries. The impact of higher U.S. Treasury rates on our investments was offset by net gains on our interest rate hedges of $119 million, which also benefited from higher SOFR-based swap rates during the three months ended March 31, 2026.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended |
| | June 30, 2026 |
| ($s in thousands) | | Realized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in OCI | | Total Change in Fair Value |
| Investment portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| Agency RMBS | | $ | — | | | $ | (17,336) | | | $ | (505) | | | $ | (17,841) | |
| Agency CMBS | | — | | | (8,208) | | | (24) | | | (8,232) | |
| CMBS IO | | — | | | (54) | | | (336) | | | (390) | |
Other investments | | — | | | (24) | | | — | | | (24) | |
| Subtotal | | — | | | (25,622) | | | (865) | | | (26,487) | |
TBA securities (1) | | (36,253) | | | 17,024 | | | — | | | (19,229) | |
Net gain on investments | | $ | (36,253) | | | $ | (8,598) | | | $ | (865) | | | $ | (45,716) | |
| | | | | | | | |
| Interest rate hedging portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury futures | | $ | 112,723 | | | $ | (96,155) | | | $ | — | | | $ | 16,568 | |
Interest rate swaps (2) | | 606 | | | 135,175 | | | — | | | 135,781 | |
Interest rate swaptions | | — | | | (4,275) | | | — | | | (4,275) | |
Options on U.S. Treasury futures | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
Net loss on interest rate hedges | | $ | 113,329 | | | $ | 34,745 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 148,074 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total net gain | | $ | 77,076 | | | $ | 26,147 | | | $ | (865) | | | $ | 102,358 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended |
| | March 31, 2026 |
| ($s in thousands) | | Realized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in OCI | | Total Change in Fair Value |
| Investment portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| Agency RMBS | | $ | 8,461 | | | $ | (244,781) | | | $ | (224) | | | $ | (236,544) | |
| Agency CMBS | | 260 | | | (6,981) | | | (2) | | | (6,723) | |
| CMBS IO | | — | | | (47) | | | 78 | | | 31 | |
Other investments | | — | | | (2) | | | — | | | (2) | |
| Subtotal | | 8,721 | | | (251,811) | | | (148) | | | (243,238) | |
TBA securities (1) | | 2,223 | | | (16,102) | | | — | | | (13,879) | |
Net gain on investments | | $ | 10,944 | | | $ | (267,913) | | | $ | (148) | | | $ | (257,117) | |
| | | | | | | | |
| Interest rate hedging portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury futures | | $ | (1,098) | | | $ | 36,406 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 35,308 | |
Interest rate swaps (2) | | 1,331 | | | 84,958 | | | — | | | 86,289 | |
Interest rate swaptions | | — | | | (335) | | | — | | | (335) | |
Options on U.S. Treasury futures | | (3,981) | | | 1,325 | | | — | | | (2,656) | |
Net loss on interest rate hedges | | $ | (3,748) | | | $ | 122,354 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 118,606 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total net gain | | $ | 7,196 | | | $ | (145,559) | | | $ | (148) | | | $ | (138,511) | |
(1)Realized and unrealized gains (losses) on TBA securities are recorded within “gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net” on the Company’s consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
(2)Realized gain for interest rate swaps consists of net periodic interest benefit of $0.5 million and $1.7 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026 and March 31, 2026, respectively.
We hold long and short positions in TBA securities by executing a series of transactions, commonly referred to as “dollar roll” transactions, which effectively delay the settlement of a forward purchase (or sale) of a non-specified Agency RMBS by entering into an offsetting TBA position, net settling the paired-off positions in cash, and simultaneously entering into an identical TBA long (or short) position with a later settlement date. TBA securities purchased or sold for a forward settlement date are generally priced at a discount relative to TBA securities settling in the current month because the current month settlement will receive a coupon sooner than the TBA settling in a forward month. This price difference, often referred to as “drop income,” represents the economic equivalent of net interest income (interest income less implied financing cost) on the underlying Agency security from the trade date to the settlement date. We account for RMBS TBAs (whether net long or net short positions, or collectively “TBA dollar roll positions”) as derivative instruments when we cannot assert that it is probable at inception and throughout the term of an individual TBA transaction that its settlement will result in physical delivery of the underlying Agency RMBS, or that the individual TBA transaction will settle in the shortest period possible.
The following table presents information regarding the performance of our TBA dollar roll transactions for the periods indicated:
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| | Three Months Ended |
| | June 30, 2026 | | March 31, 2026 |
| ($s in thousands) | | Implied Net Interest Income (1) | | Average Balance | | Implied Net Spread | | Implied Net Interest Expense (1) | | Average Balance | | Implied Net Spread |
TBAs | | $ | 5,221 | | | $ | 1,879,681 | | | 1.10 | % | | $ | 4,764 | | | $ | 1,997,823 | | | 0.95 | % |
(1)Implied net interest income (expense) is also referred to as “drop income (loss)” and represents a portion of the total realized gain (loss) from our TBA dollar roll transactions recorded within “gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net.” |
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2026 declined $5 million compared to the three months ended March 31, 2026. First quarter expenses included accelerated vesting of equity grants and other severance expenses associated with the departure of the Company's former chief financial officer. Annualized general and administrative expenses for the second quarter of 2026 as a percentage of total equity was 1.9% compared to 3.0% for the first quarter of 2026.
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 Compared to the Six Months Ended June 30, 2025
Net Interest Income
Net interest income and net interest spread increased for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to the six months ended June 30, 2025 due to the purchases of higher yielding Agency MBS over the past year. Though interest expense increased due to an increase in repurchase agreement borrowings used to finance these purchases, the average financing rate we paid declined 68 basis points over the comparative periods primarily as a result of the
Federal Reserve’s rate cuts since second quarter of 2025. Net periodic interest included in our economic net interest income for the six months ended June 30, 2026, decreased $21 million, or 61 basis points as a percentage of average repurchase agreement borrowings, compared to the six months ended June 30, 2025.
The following table presents information about our interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities and their performance for the periods indicated:
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| Six Months Ended |
| June 30, |
| 2026 | | 2025 |
| ($s in thousands) | Interest Income/Expense | | Average Balance (1)(2) | | Effective Yield/ Financing Cost (3)(4) | | Interest Income/Expense | | Average Balance (1)(2) | | Effective Yield/ Financing Cost (3)(4) |
| Agency RMBS | $ | 517,320 | | | $ | 20,764,084 | | | 4.98 | % | | $ | 192,813 | | | 8,197,426 | | | 4.70 | % |
| Agency CMBS | 26,052 | | | 1,216,357 | | | 4.26 | % | | 2,679 | | | 138,632 | | | 3.84 | % |
CMBS IO (5) | 3,530 | | | 81,547 | | | 8.52 | % | | 4,944 | | | 109,190 | | | 9.13 | % |
Other investments | 12 | | | 453 | | | 3.93 | % | | 26 | | | 969 | | | 4.66 | % |
Subtotal | $ | 546,914 | | | $ | 22,062,441 | | | 4.96 | % | | $ | 200,462 | | | $ | 8,446,217 | | | 4.75 | % |
| Cash equivalents | 13,227 | | | | | | | 6,343 | | | | | |
| Total interest income | $ | 560,141 | | | | | | | $ | 206,805 | | | | | |
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| Repurchase agreement financing | (387,104) | | | 20,146,574 | | | (3.82) | % | | (166,545) | | | 7,359,899 | | | (4.50) | % |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 173,037 | | | | | 1.14 | % | | $ | 40,260 | | | | | 0.25 | % |
Net periodic interest (6) | 2,240 | | | | | 0.02 | % | | 23,200 | | | | | 0.63 | % |
Economic net interest income/spread (6) | $ | 175,277 | | | | | 1.16 | % | | $ | 63,460 | | | | | 0.88 | % |
| *Table Note: Data may not foot due to rounding. |
(1)Average balance for assets is calculated as a simple average of the daily amortized cost and excludes securities pending settlement if applicable.
(2)Average balance for liabilities is calculated as a simple average of the daily borrowings outstanding during the period.
(3)Effective yield is calculated by dividing interest income by the average balance of asset type outstanding during the reporting period. Unscheduled adjustments to premium/discount amortization/accretion, such as for prepayment compensation, are not annualized in this calculation.
(4)Financing cost is calculated by dividing annualized interest expense by the total average balance of borrowings outstanding during the period with an assumption of 360 days in a year.
(5)Includes Agency and non-Agency issued securities.
(6)Net periodic interest is the difference between the fixed interest rate we pay and the variable interest rate we receive on our interest rate swaps. It is a component of economic net interest income (expense), a non-GAAP measure. Please refer to the section below “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for more information.
Gains (Losses) on Investments and Derivative Instruments
For the six months ended June 30, 2026, losses on our investment portfolio exceeded gains on our hedges by approximately $(36) million. The fair value of our investment portfolio declined $(303) million during the six months ended June 30, 2026 primarily due to widening of mortgage spreads to U.S. Treasuries. The impact of higher U.S. Treasury rates on our investments was offset by net gains on our interest rate hedges of $267 million, which also benefited from higher SOFR-based swap rates during the six months ended June 30, 2026.
For the six months ended June 30, 2025, losses on our hedging portfolio exceeded gains on our investments by approximately $32 million (excluding $23 million in net periodic interest we earned from interest rate swaps) due primarily to the decline in SOFR-based swap rates across the curve since December 31, 2024.
The following tables provide details on realized and unrealized gains and losses within our investment and interest rate hedging portfolios for the periods indicated:
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| | Six Months Ended |
| | June 30, 2026 |
| ($s in thousands) | | Realized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in OCI | | Total Change in Fair Value |
| Investment portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| Agency RMBS | | $ | 8,461 | | | $ | (262,117) | | | $ | (728) | | | $ | (254,384) | |
| Agency CMBS | | 260 | | | (15,189) | | | (26) | | | (14,955) | |
| CMBS IO | | — | | | (101) | | | (259) | | | (360) | |
Other investments | | — | | | (26) | | | — | | | (26) | |
| Subtotal | | 8,721 | | | (277,433) | | | (1,013) | | | (269,725) | |
TBA securities (1) | | (34,031) | | | 923 | | | — | | | (33,108) | |
Net gain on investments | | $ | (25,310) | | | $ | (276,510) | | | $ | (1,013) | | | $ | (302,833) | |
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| Interest rate hedging portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury futures | | $ | 111,625 | | | $ | (59,749) | | | $ | — | | | $ | 51,876 | |
Interest rate swaps (2) | | 1,937 | | | 220,134 | | | — | | | 222,071 | |
Interest rate swaptions | | — | | | (4,610) | | | — | | | (4,610) | |
Options on U.S. Treasury futures | | (3,981) | | | 1,325 | | | — | | | (2,656) | |
Net loss on interest rate hedges | | $ | 109,581 | | | $ | 157,100 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 266,681 | |
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Total net gain | | $ | 84,271 | | | $ | (119,410) | | | $ | (1,013) | | | $ | (36,152) | |
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| | Six Months Ended |
| | June 30, 2025 |
| ($s in thousands) | | Realized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in Net Income | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) Recognized in OCI | | Total Change in Fair Value |
| Investment portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| Agency RMBS | | $ | — | | | $ | 138,362 | | | $ | 20,545 | | | $ | 158,907 | |
| Agency CMBS | | — | | | 4,376 | | | 1,552 | | | 5,928 | |
| CMBS IO | | — | | | 924 | | | 1,357 | | | 2,281 | |
Other investments | | — | | | (13) | | | — | | | (13) | |
| Subtotal | | — | | | 143,649 | | | 23,454 | | | 167,103 | |
TBA securities (1) | | (3,690) | | | 53,473 | | | — | | | 49,783 | |
Net gain (loss) on investments | | $ | (3,690) | | | $ | 197,122 | | | $ | 23,454 | | | $ | 216,886 | |
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| Interest rate hedging portfolio: | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury futures | | $ | 32,469 | | | $ | (70,496) | | | $ | — | | | $ | (38,027) | |
Interest rate swaps | | 23,200 | | | (212,130) | | | — | | | (188,930) | |
Interest rate swaptions | | — | | | 993 | | | — | | | 993 | |
Net (loss) gain on interest rate hedges | | $ | 55,669 | | | $ | (281,633) | | | $ | — | | | $ | (225,964) | |
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Total net gain (loss) | | $ | 51,979 | | | $ | (84,511) | | | $ | 23,454 | | | $ | (9,078) | |
(1)Realized and unrealized gains (losses) on TBA securities are recorded within “gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net” on the Company’s consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
(2)Realized gain for interest rate swaps consists of net periodic interest benefit of $2.2 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, and $23.2 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
The following table presents information regarding the performance of our TBA dollar roll transactions for the periods indicated:
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| | Six Months Ended |
| | June 30, |
| | 2026 | | 2025 |
| | Implied Net Interest Expense (1) | | Average Balance | | Implied Net Spread | | Implied Net Interest Expense (1) | | Average Balance | | Implied Net Spread |
TBAs | | $ | 9,985 | | | $ | 1,938,425 | | | 1.02 | % | | $ | 9,542 | | | $ | 2,413,041 | | | 0.79 | % |
(1)Implied net interest income (expense) is also referred to as “drop income (loss)” and represents a portion of the total realized gain (loss) from our TBA dollar roll transactions recorded within “gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net.”
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased 53% to $37 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to $24 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025. In addition to higher salary and share-based compensation expenses resulting from new employees, operating expenses also increased due to accelerated vesting of equity grants and other severance expenses associated with the departure of the Company's former chief financial officer. Annualized general and administrative expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2026 as a percentage of total equity was 2.2% compared to 2.9% for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to reporting the Company’s financial results determined in accordance with GAAP, management of the Company believes that investors’ understanding of our operating results may be enhanced by the use of non-GAAP financial measures, which are used by management internally, along with GAAP measures, to evaluate our performance. Our non-GAAP financial measures include earnings available for distribution (“EAD”) to common shareholders (including per common share) and economic net interest income and the related metric economic net interest spread. Management believes these non-GAAP financial measures may be useful to investors because they are viewed by management as additional measures of the investment portfolio’s return.
Drop income generated by TBA dollar roll positions, which is included in "gain (loss) on derivatives instruments, net" on the Company's consolidated statements of comprehensive income, is included in EAD because management views drop income as the economic equivalent of net interest income (interest income less implied financing cost) on the underlying Agency security from trade date to settlement date. However, drop income does not represent the total realized gain/loss from the Company’s investments in TBA securities.
Management also includes net periodic interest from its interest rate swaps, which is included in "gain (loss) on derivatives instruments, net," in EAD and economic net interest income because interest rate swaps are used by the Company to economically hedge the impact of changing interest rates on its borrowing costs from repurchase agreements, and including net periodic interest from interest rate swaps is a helpful indicator of the Company’s total financing cost in addition to GAAP interest expense.
Non-GAAP financial measures are not a substitute for GAAP measures and may be different from non-GAAP measures used by other companies. In addition, other companies, including in our industry, may calculate comparable measures differently, which reduces their usefulness as comparative measures. Investors should not rely on any single financial measure when evaluating our business. These non-GAAP measures should be considered as supplemental in nature and not as a substitute for our operating results in accordance with GAAP.
Reconciliations of each non-GAAP measure to certain GAAP financial measures are provided below.
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| | Three Months Ended | | |
| Reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures: | | June 30, 2026 | | March 31, 2026 | | | | |
| ($s in thousands except per share data) | | | | | | | | |
| Comprehensive income to common shareholders (GAAP) | | $ | 177,278 | | | $ | (83,168) | | | | | |
| Less: | | | | | | | | |
Change in fair value of investments (1) | | 26,487 | | | 243,238 | | | | | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments, net (2) | | (123,082) | | | (98,266) | | | | | |
EAD to common shareholders (non-GAAP) | | $ | 80,683 | | | $ | 61,804 | | | | | |
| Average common shares outstanding | | 222,220,145 | | | 200,084,349 | | | | | |
EAD per common share (non-GAAP) | | $ | 0.36 | | | $ | 0.31 | | | | | |
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Net interest income (GAAP) | | $ | 93,783 | | | $ | 79,254 | | | | | |
Net periodic interest earned from interest rate swaps | | 542 | | | 1,698 | | | | | |
Economic net interest income (non-GAAP) | | 94,325 | | | 80,952 | | | | | |
TBA drop income (3) | | 5,221 | | | 4,763 | | | | | |
| Total operating expenses | | (16,213) | | | (21,253) | | | | | |
| Preferred stock dividends | | (2,650) | | | (2,658) | | | | | |
EAD to common shareholders (non-GAAP) | | $ | 80,683 | | | $ | 61,804 | | | | | |
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Net interest spread (GAAP) | | 1.16 | % | | 1.11 | % | | | | |
Net periodic interest from interest rate swaps as a percentage of average repurchase borrowings | | 0.01 | % | | 0.04 | % | | | | |
Economic net interest spread (non-GAAP) | | 1.17 | % | | 1.15 | % | | | | |
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(1)Amount includes realized and unrealized gains and losses due to changes in the fair value of the Company’s MBS.
(2)The following table reconciles “change in fair value of derivative instruments, net” to the “gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net” shown on the consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
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| Three Months Ended | | |
| ($s in thousands) | June 30, 2026 | | March 31, 2026 | | | | |
Gain on derivative instruments, net | $ | 128,845 | | | $ | 104,727 | | | | | |
| Less: | | | | | | | |
| TBA drop income | (5,221) | | | (4,763) | | | | | |
Net periodic interest earned from interest rate swaps | (542) | | | (1,698) | | | | | |
| Change in fair value of derivative instruments, net | $ | 123,082 | | | $ | 98,266 | | | | | |
(3)TBA drop income is calculated by multiplying the notional amount of the TBA dollar roll positions by the difference in price between two TBA securities with the same terms but different settlement dates.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Our primary sources of liquidity include borrowings under repurchase arrangements and monthly principal and interest payments we receive on our investments. Additional sources may include proceeds from the sale of investments, equity offerings, and net payments received from counterparties for derivative instruments. We use our liquidity to purchase investments, to pay amounts due on our repurchase agreement borrowings, and to pay our operating expenses and dividends on our common and preferred stock. We also use our liquidity to meet margin
requirements for our repurchase agreements and derivative transactions, including TBA contracts, under the terms of the related agreements. We may also periodically use liquidity to repurchase shares of the Company’s stock.
During the six months ended June 30, 2026, we issued 62,149,933 shares of common stock through our ATM program, resulting in proceeds of $0.8 billion, net of broker commissions and fees. We deployed these proceeds primarily into purchases of Agency RMBS.
Our liquidity fluctuates based on our investment activities, leverage, capital raising activities, and changes in the fair value of our investments and derivative instruments. Our measurement of liquidity includes unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and unpledged Agency MBS, which are recognized as assets on our consolidated balance sheet. In our measure of liquidity, we also include the fair value of noncash collateral pledged to us by our counterparties, which we typically receive when the fair value of our pledged collateral exceeds our current margin requirement. Our liquidity as of June 30, 2026, was approximately $1.6 billion, which consisted of unrestricted cash of $608 million and unpledged Agency MBS with a fair value of $1.0 billion. Our liquidity was $1.4 billion as of December 31, 2025.
We continuously monitor our liquidity, especially with potential risk events on the horizon, such as tariff changes, potential GSE transition, uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve policy decisions, the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, quantitative tightening or easing measures, federal government shutdowns, and the impact on global markets stemming from global central bank policies. We are also monitoring geopolitical conflicts and uncertainty around the globe. We continuously assess the adequacy of our liquidity under various scenarios based on changes in the fair value of our investments and derivative instruments due to market factors such as changes in the absolute level of interest rates and the shape of the yield curve, credit spreads, lender haircuts, and prepayment speeds, which in turn have an impact on margin requirements. In performing these analyses, we also consider the current state of the fixed-income markets and the repurchase agreement markets to determine if market forces such as supply-demand imbalances or structural changes to these markets could change the liquidity of MBS or the availability of financing. We have not experienced any material changes in the terms of our repurchase agreements with our counterparties, and they have not indicated to us any concerns regarding access to liquidity.
In addition to the GSE guarantee of principal payments on our Agency investments, we expect the capital and repurchase agreement markets will remain accessible at capacities sufficient to cover our short-term and long-term liquidity needs.
Our perception of the liquidity of our investments and market conditions significantly influences our targeted leverage. In general, our leverage will increase if we view the risk-reward opportunity of higher leverage on our capital outweighs the risk to our liquidity and book value. Our leverage, which we calculate using total liabilities plus the cost basis of TBA long positions, was 8.1 times shareholders’ equity as of June 30, 2026. We include 100% of the cost basis of our TBA securities in evaluating our leverage because it is possible under certain market conditions that it may be uneconomical for us to roll a TBA long position into future months, which may result in us having to take physical delivery of the underlying securities and use cash or other financing sources to fund our total purchase commitment.
Repurchase Agreements
Our repurchase agreement borrowings are uncommitted with terms renewable at the discretion of our lenders and generally have original terms to maturity of overnight to six months, though in some instances, we may enter into longer-dated maturities depending on market conditions. We seek to maintain unused capacity under our existing repurchase agreement credit lines with multiple counterparties, which helps protect us in the event of a counterparty's failure to renew existing repurchase agreements. As part of our continuous evaluation of counterparty risk, we maintain our highest counterparty exposures with broker-dealer subsidiaries of regulated financial institutions or primary dealers.
The amount outstanding for our repurchase agreement borrowings will typically fluctuate in any given period as it is dependent upon several factors, but particularly the extent to which we are active in buying and selling securities, including the volume of activity in TBA dollar roll transactions versus buying specified pools. The following table presents information regarding the balances of our repurchase agreement borrowings as of and for the periods indicated:
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| Repurchase Agreements |
| ($s in thousands) | Balance Outstanding As of Quarter End | | Average Balance Outstanding For the Quarter Ended | | Maximum Balance Outstanding During the Quarter Ended |
| June 30, 2026 | $ | 22,644,742 | | | $ | 21,803,737 | | | $ | 22,645,366 | |
| March 31, 2026 | 21,045,457 | | | 18,470,997 | | | 21,045,636 | |
| December 31, 2025 | 13,904,231 | | | 12,469,902 | | | 13,904,304 | |
| September 30, 2025 | 11,753,522 | | | 10,468,568 | | | 11,754,581 | |
| June 30, 2025 | 8,600,143 | | | 7,871,627 | | | 8,600,487 | |
| March 31, 2025 | 7,234,723 | | | 6,842,485 | | | 7,234,723 | |
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For our repurchase agreement borrowings, we are required to post and maintain margin to the lender (i.e., collateral in excess of the repurchase agreement borrowing) in order to support the amount of the financing. This excess collateral is often referred to as a “haircut” and is intended to provide the lender protection against fluctuations in the fair value of the collateral and/or the failure by us to repay the borrowing at maturity. Lenders have the right to change haircut requirements at maturity of the repurchase agreement and may change their haircuts based on market conditions and the perceived riskiness of the collateral pledged. If the fair value of the collateral falls below the amount required by the lender, the lender has the right to demand additional margin or collateral. If we fail to meet any margin call, our lenders have the right to terminate the repurchase agreement and sell any collateral pledged. The weighted average haircut for our borrowings as of June 30, 2026, was consistent with prior periods, typically averaging less than 5% for borrowings collateralized with Agency RMBS and CMBS and between 10-14% for borrowings collateralized with CMBS IO.
The collateral we post in excess of our repurchase agreement borrowing with any counterparty is also typically referred to by us as “equity at risk,” which represents the potential loss to the Company if the counterparty is unable or unwilling to return collateral securing the repurchase agreement borrowing at its maturity. The counterparties with whom we have the greatest amounts of equity at risk may vary significantly during any given period due to the short-term and uncommitted nature of the repurchase agreement borrowings. As of June 30, 2026, we had amounts outstanding with over 25 counterparties and did not have more than 10% of equity at risk with any counterparty or group of related counterparties.
We have various financial and operating covenants in certain of our repurchase agreements, which we monitor and evaluate on an ongoing basis for compliance as well as for impacts these customary covenants may have on our operating and financing flexibility. We do not believe we are subject to any covenants that materially restrict our financing flexibility. We were in full compliance with our debt covenants as of June 30, 2026, and we are not aware of circumstances that could potentially result in our non-compliance in the near future.
Derivative Instruments
Derivative instruments we enter into may require us to post initial margin at inception and daily variation margin based on subsequent changes in their fair value. Daily variation margin requirements also entitle us to receive collateral from our counterparties if the value of amounts owed to us under the derivative agreement exceeds the minimum margin requirement. The collateral posted as margin by us is typically in cash. As of June 30, 2026, we had cash collateral posted to our counterparties of $570 million under these agreements.
Collateral requirements for interest rate derivative instruments are typically governed by the central clearing exchange and the associated futures commission merchant, which may establish margin requirements in excess of the clearing exchange. Collateral requirements for our TBA contracts are governed by the Mortgage-Backed Securities Division (“MBSD”) of the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation and, if applicable, by our third-party brokerage agreements, which may establish margin levels in excess of the MBSD. Our TBA contracts, which are subject to master securities forward transaction agreements published by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association as well as supplemental terms and conditions with each counterparty, generally provide that valuations for our TBA contracts and any pledged collateral are to be obtained from a generally recognized source agreed to by both parties. However, in certain circumstances, our counterparties have the sole discretion to
determine the value of the TBA contract and any pledged collateral. In such instances, our counterparties are required to act in good faith in making determinations of value. In the event of a margin call, we must generally provide additional collateral on the same business day.
The following table provides details on the “net (payments) receipts on derivative instruments” shown on our consolidated statements of cash flows for the periods indicated:
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| | Six Months Ended |
| | June 30, |
Cash received or paid by instrument: | | 2026 | | 2025 | | |
| | ($s in thousands) |
Interest rate swaps: | | | | | | |
Net variation margin received (paid) | | $ | 194,585 | | | $ | (165,673) | | | |
Paid upon maturity/termination | | (367) | | | — | | | |
Net periodic interest received (1) | | 2,642 | | | 77 | | | |
| | 196,860 | | | (165,596) | | | |
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U.S. Treasury futures: | | | | | | |
| Net variation margin paid | | (70,114) | | | (45,364) | | | |
| Received upon maturity/termination | | 111,625 | | | 32,469 | | | |
| | 41,511 | | | (12,895) | | | |
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TBA securities: | | | | | | |
| Paid upon settlement | | (35,432) | | | (22,615) | | | |
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Net receipts (payments) on derivative instruments | | $ | 202,939 | | | $ | (201,106) | | | |
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(1)Net periodic interest from our effective interest rate swaps is recognized as income or expense during the period earned or incurred, but the cash is not received or paid until the anniversary of each agreement’s effective date or upon maturity.
Dividends
We set our dividend based on many factors, including our view on long-term returns, yield on comparable investments, liquidity and market risk, and taxable income. Among these factors, we focus on economic returns and taxable income within the context of the distribution requirements. As a REIT, we are required to distribute to our shareholders amounts equal to at least 90% of our REIT taxable income for each taxable year after certain deductions, including the separate dividend requirements of the Series C Preferred Stock.
Our reported GAAP financial results will generally differ from our REIT taxable income and dividend distributions due to temporary and permanent differences. For example, we designate certain derivative instruments as interest rate hedges for tax purposes. Realized gains (losses) resulting from the difference in fair value and the amount of cash received or paid upon termination or maturity of designated derivative instruments are included in GAAP earnings in the same reporting period in which the derivative instrument matures or is terminated by the Company but are generally not recognized in REIT taxable income until future periods. Non-designated derivative instruments are included in GAAP earnings and REIT taxable income in the same period the derivative instrument matures or is terminated by the Company. The table below provides the projected amortization of the Company's net deferred tax hedge gains that may be recognized as taxable income over the periods indicated, given conditions known as of June 30, 2026; however, uncertainty inherent in the forward interest rate curve makes future realized gains and losses difficult to estimate, and as such, these projections are subject to change for any given period.
| | | | | | | | |
Projected Period of Recognition for Tax Hedge Gains, Net | | June 30, 2026 |
| | ($ in thousands) |
Fiscal year 2026 | | $ | 97,667 | |
Fiscal year 2027 | | 95,286 | |
| Fiscal year 2028 | | 89,252 | |
| Fiscal year 2029 and thereafter | | 327,734 | |
| | $ | 609,939 | |
As of June 30, 2026, we also had $475 million in capital loss carryforwards, $293 million of which will expire by December 31, 2027 and the remainder by December 31, 2028. Due to these amounts and other temporary and permanent differences between GAAP net income and REIT taxable income, coupled with the uncertainty inherent in the forward interest rate curve, we cannot reasonably estimate how much the deferred tax hedge gains to be recognized will impact our dividend declarations during 2026 or in any given period.
We fund dividend distributions through portfolio cash flows, existing cash balances, or through the return of principal from our investments (either through repayment or sale). Please refer to "Operating and Regulatory Structure" within Part I, Item 1, "Business," as well as Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of our 2025 Form 10-K for additional important information regarding our deferred tax hedge gains and dividends declared on our taxable income.
RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS
Please refer to Note 1 of the Notes to the Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements contained within Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional information.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based in large part upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. The preparation of our consolidated financial statements requires management to make estimates, judgments and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. We base these estimates and judgments on historical experience and assumptions believed to be reasonable under current facts and circumstances. Actual results may differ from the estimated amounts we have recorded.
Critical accounting estimates are defined as those that require management's most difficult, subjective, or complex judgments, and which may result in materially different results under different assumptions and conditions. Our critical accounting estimates are discussed in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our 2025 Form 10-K under “Critical Accounting Estimates.” There have been no significant changes in our critical accounting estimates during the three months ended June 30, 2026.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain written statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q that are not historical facts constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). Statements in this report addressing expectations, assumptions, beliefs, projections, future plans and strategies, future events, developments that we expect or anticipate will occur in the future, and future operating results, capital management, and dividend policy are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon management’s beliefs, assumptions, and expectations as of the date of this report regarding future events and operating performance, considering all information currently available to us, and are applicable only as of the date of this report. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of words such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “plan,” “may,” “will,” “intend,” “should,” “could,” or similar expressions. We caution readers not to
place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are not historical facts and may be based on projections, assumptions, expectations, and anticipated events that do not materialize. Except as required by law, we are not obligated to, and do not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from historical results or from any results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Not all these risks and other factors are known to us. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect us. The projections, assumptions, expectations, or beliefs upon which the forward-looking statements are based can also change as a result of these risks or other factors. If such a risk or other factor materializes in future periods, our business, financial condition, liquidity, and results of operations may vary materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements.
While it is not possible to identify all factors that may cause actual results to differ from historical results or any results expressed or implied by forward-looking statements or that may cause our projections, assumptions, expectations, or beliefs to change, some of those factors include the following:
•the risks and uncertainties referenced in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, especially those incorporated by reference into Part II, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,”
•our ability to find suitable reinvestment opportunities;
•changes in domestic economic conditions;
•geopolitical events and instability and the related impact on macroeconomic conditions as a result of such related uncertainty;
•tariffs that the U.S. imposes on trading partners or tariffs imposed on the U.S. from trading partners;
•global and domestic government policy changes and the ability or inability to react to rapidly changing economic policies;
•changes in interest rates and credit spreads, including the repricing of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities;
•our investment portfolio performance, particularly as it relates to cash flow, prepayment rates, and credit performance;
•the impact on markets and asset prices from changes in the Federal Reserve’s policies regarding the purchases of Agency RMBS, Agency CMBS, and U.S. Treasuries;
•actual or anticipated changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy or the monetary policy of other central banks;
•adverse reactions in U.S. financial markets related to actions of foreign central banks or the economic performance of foreign economies, including in particular China, Japan, the European Union, and the United Kingdom;
•the cost and availability of financing, including the future availability of financing due to changes to regulation of, and capital requirements imposed upon, financial institutions;
•the cost and availability of new equity capital;
•changes in our leverage and use of leverage;
•changes to our investment strategy, operating policies, dividend policy, or asset allocations;
•the quality of performance of third-party service providers, including our sole third-party service provider for our critical operations and trade functions;
•the loss or unavailability of our third-party service provider’s service and technology that supports critical functions of our business related to our trading and borrowing activities due to outages, interruptions, or other failures;
•the level of defaults by borrowers on loans underlying MBS;
•changes in our industry;
•increased competition;
•changes in government policies or regulations affecting our business;
•changes or volatility in the repurchase agreement financing markets and other credit markets;
•changes to the market for interest rate swaps and other derivative instruments, including changes to margin requirements on derivative instruments;
•uncertainty regarding continued government support of the U.S. financial system and U.S. housing and real estate markets, or to reform the U.S. housing finance system, including the resolution of the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac;
•the composition of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve;
•the political environment in the U.S.;
•systems failures or cybersecurity incidents; and
•exposure to current and future claims and litigation.
Regulation FD Disclosures
We routinely announce material information to investors and the marketplace using filings with the SEC, press releases, public conference calls, presentations, webcasts, and the investor relations page of our website at www.dynexcapital.com/investors and our LinkedIn page. We use these channels for purposes of compliance with Regulation FD and as routine channels for distribution of important information. While not all of the information that we post to the investor relations page of our website or to our LinkedIn page is of a material nature, some information could be deemed to be material. Accordingly, investors should monitor these channels, in addition to following our press releases, SEC filings, and public conference calls and webcasts. The web addresses are included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q as textual references only, and the information posted on these channels is not incorporated by reference in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or in any other report or document we file with the SEC.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Market risk is the exposure to losses resulting from changes in market factors. Our business strategy exposes us to a variety of market risks, including interest rate, spread, prepayment, credit, liquidity, and reinvestment risks. These risks can and do cause fluctuations in our liquidity, comprehensive income and book value as discussed below.
Interest Rate Risk
Investing in interest-rate sensitive investments such as MBS and TBA securities subjects us to interest rate risk. Interest rate risk results from investing in securities with a fixed coupon or a floating coupon that may not immediately adjust for changes in interest rates. Interest rate risk also results from the mismatch between the duration of our assets versus the duration of our liabilities and hedges. The amount of the impact will depend on the composition of our portfolio, our hedging strategy, the effectiveness of our hedging instruments and the magnitude and duration of the change in interest rates.
We manage interest rate risk within tolerances set by our Board of Directors. We use interest rate hedging instruments to mitigate the impact of changing interest rates on the market value of our assets and on our interest expense from repurchase agreements used to finance our investments. Our hedging methods are based on many factors, including, but not limited to, our estimates regarding future interest rates and expected levels of prepayments of our assets. If prepayments are slower or faster than assumed, the maturity of our investments will also differ from our expectations, which could reduce the effectiveness of our hedging strategies and may cause losses that adversely affect our cash flow. Estimates of prepayment speeds can vary significantly by investor for the same security, and therefore, estimates of security and portfolio duration can vary considerably between market participants.
We continuously monitor market conditions, economic conditions, interest rates, and other market activity and adjust the composition of our investments and hedges throughout any given period. As such, the projections for changes in market value provided below are limited in usefulness because the modeling assumes no changes to the composition of our investment portfolio or hedging instruments as of the dates indicated. Changes in the types of our investments, the returns earned on these investments, future interest rates, credit spreads, the shape of the yield curve, the availability of financing, and/or the mix of our investments and financings, including derivative instruments, may cause actual results to differ significantly from the modeled results shown in the tables below. Therefore, the modeled results shown in the tables below and all related disclosures constitute forward-looking statements.
Management evaluates changes in interest rate curves to manage portfolio interest rate risk and the market value of its investments and common equity. Because interest rates do not typically move in a parallel fashion from period to period (as can be seen by the graph for U.S. Treasury rates in Item 2, “Executive Overview”), the tables below show the projected sensitivity of the market value of our financial instruments and common equity to both parallel and non-parallel shifts in market interest rates.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | June 30, 2026 |
| | Parallel Decrease in Interest Rates of | | Parallel Increase in Interest Rates of |
| | 100 Basis Points | | 50 Basis Points | | 50 Basis Points | | 100 Basis Points |
Type of Instrument (1) | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity |
| RMBS | | 3.0 | % | | 27.3 | % | | 1.8 | % | | 15.8 | % | | (2.1) | % | | (19.0) | % | | (4.4) | % | | (40.0) | % |
CMBS | | 0.2 | % | | 2.1 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 1.0 | % | | (0.1) | % | | (1.0) | % | | (0.2) | % | | (1.9) | % |
CMBS IO | | — | % | | 0.1 | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | (0.1) | % |
| TBAs | | 0.3 | % | | 3.0 | % | | 0.2 | % | | 1.8 | % | | (0.2) | % | | (2.2) | % | | (0.5) | % | | (4.6) | % |
| Interest rate hedges | | (4.4) | % | | (39.3) | % | | (2.2) | % | | (19.3) | % | | 2.1 | % | | 18.7 | % | | 4.1 | % | | 37.2 | % |
| Total | | (0.8) | % | | (6.9) | % | | (0.1) | % | | (0.8) | % | | (0.4) | % | | (3.5) | % | | (1.0) | % | | (9.4) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31, 2025 |
| | Parallel Decrease in Interest Rates of | | Parallel Increase in Interest Rates of |
| | 100 Basis Points | | 50 Basis Points | | 50 Basis Points | | 100 Basis Points |
Type of Instrument (1) | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value | | % of Common Equity |
| RMBS | | 2.3 | % | | 19.1 | % | | 1.4 | % | | 11.6 | % | | (1.8) | % | | (15.1) | % | | (3.9) | % | | (32.3) | % |
CMBS | | 0.3 | % | | 2.3 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 1.2 | % | | (0.1) | % | | (1.1) | % | | (0.3) | % | | (2.2) | % |
CMBS IO | | — | % | | 0.1 | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | (0.1) | % |
| TBAs | | 0.7 | % | | 5.6 | % | | 0.4 | % | | 3.2 | % | | (0.4) | % | | (3.7) | % | | (0.9) | % | | (7.6) | % |
| Interest rate hedges | | (4.4) | % | | (36.7) | % | | (2.2) | % | | (18.2) | % | | 2.2 | % | | 17.8 | % | | 4.3 | % | | 35.7 | % |
| Total | | (1.1) | % | | (9.6) | % | | (0.3) | % | | (2.2) | % | | (0.1) | % | | (2.1) | % | | (0.8) | % | | (6.5) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | June 30, 2026 | | December 31, 2025 |
Non-Parallel Shifts | Basis Point Change in 2-year UST | | Basis Point Change in 10-year UST | | % of Market Value (1) | | % of Common Equity | | % of Market Value (1) | | % of Common Equity |
| Bearish | Steepening | +25 | | +50 | | (0.3) | % | | (2.8) | % | | (0.2) | % | | (1.4) | % |
| +50 | | +100 | | (0.9) | % | | (8.1) | % | | (0.6) | % | | (5.3) | % |
Flattening | +50 | | +25 | | (0.2) | % | | (2.2) | % | | (0.2) | % | | (1.4) | % |
+100 | | +50 | | (0.6) | % | | (5.1) | % | | (0.4) | % | | (3.4) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Bullish | Steepening | -50 | | -25 | | 0.1 | % | | 0.9 | % | | — | % | | — | % |
-100 | | -50 | | — | % | | 0.2 | % | | (0.2) | % | | (1.7) | % |
Flattening | -25 | | -50 | | (0.2) | % | | (1.5) | % | | (0.3) | % | | (2.8) | % |
-50 | | -100 | | (0.9) | % | | (8.2) | % | | (1.3) | % | | (10.6) | % |
(1)Includes changes in market value of our investments and derivative instruments, including TBA securities, but excludes changes in market value of our financings which are not carried at fair value on our balance sheet due to their short-term maturities. The projections for market value do not assume any change in credit spreads.
Spread Risk
Spread risk is the risk of loss from an increase in the market spread between the yield on an investment versus its benchmark index. Changes in market spreads represent the market's valuation of the perceived riskiness of an asset relative to risk-free rates. Widening spreads reduce the market value of our investments as market participants require additional yield to hold riskier assets. Market spreads could change based on macroeconomic or systemic factors as well as the factors specific to a particular security, such as prepayment performance or credit performance. Other factors that could impact credit spreads include technical issues, such as supply and demand for a particular type of security, Federal Reserve monetary policy, or other governmental policy change. We do not hedge spread risk given the cost and complexity of hedging credit spreads and, in our opinion, the lack of liquid instruments available to use as hedges.
Fluctuations in spreads typically vary based on the type of investment. Sensitivity to changes in market spreads is derived from models that are dependent on various assumptions, and actual changes in market value in response to changes in market spreads could differ materially from the projected sensitivity if actual conditions differ from these assumptions.
The table below shows the projected sensitivity of the market value of our investments given the indicated change in market spreads as of the dates indicated:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | June 30, 2026 | | December 31, 2025 |
| | Percentage Change in | | Percentage Change in |
| Basis Point Change in Market Spreads | | Market Value of Investments (1) | | % of Common Equity | | Market Value of Investments (1) | | % of Common Equity |
+20/+50 (2) | | (1.0) | % | | (9.2) | % | | (1.0) | % | | (8.4) | % |
| +10 | | (0.5) | % | | (4.6) | % | | (0.5) | % | | (4.2) | % |
| -10 | | 0.5 | % | | 4.6 | % | | 0.5 | % | | 4.2 | % |
-20/-50 (2) | | 1.0 | % | | 9.2 | % | | 1.0 | % | | 8.4 | % |
(1) Includes changes in market value of our MBS investments, including TBA securities.
(2) Assumes a 20-basis point shift in Agency and non-Agency RMBS and CMBS and a 50-basis point shift in Agency
and non-Agency CMBS IO.
Other Market Risks
In addition to the risks discussed above, we are also subject to prepayment risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, and reinvestment risk. We have not experienced any material changes in these risks during the three months ended June 30, 2026. Please refer to Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” and Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risks,” in our 2025 Form 10-K for further discussion.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Disclosure Controls and Procedures
Our management evaluated, with the participation of our co-principal executive officers and principal financial officer, the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures, as defined in Exchange Act Rule 13a-15(e), as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that evaluation, our co-principal executive officers and principal financial officer concluded that, as of June 30, 2026, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our co-principal executive officers and principal financial officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
There were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the three months ended June 30, 2026 that materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
To the Company’s knowledge, there are no pending or threatened legal proceedings, which, in management’s opinion, individually or in total, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
There have been no material changes from the risk factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of our 2025 Form 10-K. Risks and uncertainties identified in our forward-looking statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q together with those previously disclosed in the 2025 Form 10-K or those that are presently unforeseen could result in significant adverse effects on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. See “Forward-Looking Statements” contained in Part I, Item 2, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q as well as Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” in our 2025 Form 10-K.
ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
The Company’s Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program (the “Program”) authorizing the repurchase of up to $300 million of its common stock and up to $50 million of its preferred stock, including any series thereof currently or hereafter authorized. Under the Program, repurchases may be made from time to time through open market transactions, privately negotiated transactions, or other means, including, without limitation, trading plans adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 under the Exchange Act. The actual means and timing of any repurchases under the Program will depend on a variety of factors, including, without limitation, the market prices of its common stock and preferred stock, as applicable, general market and economic conditions, and applicable legal and regulatory requirements. The Program is authorized through April 30, 2028, and replaces the Company’s prior repurchase program, which expired April 30, 2026. The Program does not require the Company to purchase any shares and may be modified, suspended, or terminated by the Board at any time.
The Company did not repurchase any shares of its common stock or Series C Preferred Stock during the three months ended June 30, 2026. Employees forfeited 305,441 common shares to cover payroll tax withholding on share-based compensation that vested during the six months ended June 30, 2026.
ITEM 3. DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES
None.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
None.
ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Rule 10b5-1 Trading Plan
During the three months ended June 30, 2026, none of the Company’s directors or Section 16 officers adopted or terminated any “Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements” or any “non-Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements” (in each case, as defined in Item 408 of Regulation S-K).
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
| | | | | |
| Exhibit No. | Description |
| 3.1 | |
3.1.1 | |
3.1.2 | |
| 3.2 | |
| 4.1 | |
| 4.2 | |
| 4.3 | |
| 10.1* | |
| 10.2 | Amendment No. 9, dated April 28, 2026 to the Distribution Agreement, dated June 29, 2018, as amended on May 31, 2019, August 3, 2021, June 3, 2022, February 10, 2023, October 29, 2024, May 1, 2025, July 29, 2025, and January 27, 2026, by and among Dynex Capital, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, JonesTrading Institutional Services LLC, BTIG, LLC, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc., RBC Capital Markets, LLC, UBS Securities LLC and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC (incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to Dynex’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed April 28, 2026) |
| 31.1 | |
31.2 | |
31.3 | |
| 32.1 | |
| 101 | The following materials from Dynex Capital, Inc.'s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended June 30, 2026, formatted in iXBRL (Inline Extensible Business Reporting Language), filed herewith: (i) Consolidated Balance Sheets, (ii) Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income, (iii) Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity, (iv) Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, and (v) Notes to the Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements. |
| 104 | The cover page from Dynex Capital, Inc.'s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended June 30, 2026, formatted in iXBRL (Inline Extensible Business Reporting Language) (included with Exhibit 101). |
* Denotes a management contract or compensatory plan or arrangement.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | DYNEX CAPITAL, INC. |
| | | |
| Date: | July 27, 2026 | | /s/ Michael A. Sartori |
| | | Michael A. Sartori |
| | | Chief Financial Officer |
| | | (Principal Financial Officer) |
| | | |