ITEM 1. BUSINESS
Our Company
Grocery Outlet is a growth-oriented extreme value retailer of quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold primarily through a network of independently operated stores. As of January 3, 2026, we had 570 stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Nevada, Maryland, Ohio, New Jersey, North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky and Virginia. Our headquarters is in Emeryville, California.
Each of our stores offers a fun, treasure hunt shopping experience in an easy-to-navigate, small-box format. An ever-changing assortment of "WOW!" deals, complemented by everyday staple products, generates customer excitement and encourages frequent visits from bargain-minded shoppers. Our flexible buying model allows us to offer quality, name-brand opportunistic products at prices generally 40% to 70% below those of conventional retailers. Our Grocery Outlet stores are primarily run by entrepreneurial independent operators ("IOs") who create a neighborhood feel through personalized customer service and a localized product offering. This differentiated approach has historically driven positive comparable store sales growth.
Our differentiated model for buying and selling delivers a "WOW!" shopping experience, which generates customer excitement, inspires loyalty and supports profitable sales growth:
•How we buy: We source quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products opportunistically through a centralized purchasing team that leverages long-standing and actively managed supplier relationships to acquire merchandise at significant discounts. Our speed and efficiency in responding to supplier needs, combined with our specialized supply chain capabilities and flexible merchandising strategy, enhance our access to discounted products and allow us to turn inventory quickly and profitably. Our buyers proactively source on-trend products based on changing consumer preferences, including a wide selection of Natural, Organic, Specialty or Healthy ("NOSH") products. We also source everyday staple products and have recently introduced our own private label products to complement our opportunistic offerings. Each store offers a curated and ever-changing assortment of items, creating a "buy now" sense of urgency that promotes return visits and fosters customer loyalty.
•How we sell: Our Grocery Outlet stores are primarily independently operated by entrepreneurial IOs, who are small business owners that have a relentless focus on selecting the best products for their communities, providing personalized customer service and driving improved store performance. Unlike a store manager of a traditional retailer, IOs are independent businesses and are responsible for store operations, including ordering, merchandising and managing inventory, marketing locally and directly hiring, training and employing their store workers. IOs initially contribute capital to establish their business and generally share 50% of store-level gross profits with us. These factors both align our interests and incentivize IOs to grow their business profitably to realize financial upside. This combination of local decision-making supported by our purchasing scale and corporate resources results in a "small business at scale" model that we believe is difficult for competitors to replicate.
Our value proposition has broad appeal with bargain-minded customers across a broad range of income levels, demographics and geographies. We believe that our sustained focus on delivering ever-changing "WOW!" deals within a fun, treasure hunt shopping environment has generated strong customer loyalty and brand affinity. We believe that our broad customer appeal supports new store growth opportunities, and we plan to continue to expand our reach to additional customers and geographies.
Our stores generally have performed well across all economic cycles, and for the vast majority of our history, we have had positive comparative sales growth and healthy gross margin rates. Our model also is somewhat insulated from store labor-related variability because IOs directly employ their store workers. The result is a highly scalable business with lower corporate fixed costs, providing further protection in the event of an economic downturn and growth opportunities in a strong economy.
On April 1, 2024, Grocery Outlet Inc., our wholly owned subsidiary, acquired The Bargain Barn, Inc., which does business as United Grocery Outlet ("United Grocery Outlet," or "UGO"), which included 40 stores in six adjacent states we did not operate in as of such date (Tennessee, North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Kentucky and Virginia) and a company-operated distribution center. See Note 15 to the consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Throughout this report, the discussion of our business, stores, operations and strategies generally refers to our IO-operated stores. As of January 3, 2026, 41 stores, including 39 United Grocery Outlet stores, were Company-operated stores. Unless otherwise specifically disclosed in this report, the impact of the United Grocery Outlet stores in aggregate was not material to our operations and our consolidated financial statements in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024.
Our History
Our founder, Jim Read, pioneered our opportunistic buying model in 1946 and subsequently developed the IO selling approach, which harnesses individual entrepreneurship and local decision-making to better serve our customers. Underlying this differentiated model was a mission that still guides us today: "Touching Lives for the Better." Since 2006, the third generation of Read family leadership, Eric Lindberg, Jr., Chairman of our Board of Directors (the "Board") and former Chief Executive Officer, has continued to advance this mission.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. was incorporated in Delaware on September 11, 2014. Our common stock has traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol "GO" since 2019.
Our Growth Strategies
We believe that our compelling WOW! shopping experience will continue to drive new and existing customers to shop our stores. Propelled by our strong business fundamentals, we believe we are well-positioned to expand our footprint and grow our customer base. We are executing a long-term growth strategy built on three primary pillars:
•Strengthen our core business model. Our unique buying and selling approach has always been and will continue to be the growth engine of this business. It differentiates us and provides a compelling value proposition to a wide range of customers. We remain focused on deepening our value, strengthening the treasure hunt shopping experience, elevating IO support, and increasing customer awareness, acquisition, and retention. We continually seek to strengthen supplier relationships and further develop opportunistic purchasing with new processes and investments.
•Evolve our business. We are focused on advancing our model through optimizing our assortment and digitizing our business with more integrated end-to-end technology. We also continue to implement operational initiatives to support IOs in enhancing the customer experience.
•Optimize and expand our footprint. We believe that strategic new store growth remains a significant driver of long-term stockholder value. We continue to believe the success of our stores across a broad range of geographies, population densities and demographic groups creates a significant opportunity to grow our profitability and increase returns for our stores in existing and new local regions and states.
While we continue to believe in our long-term growth potential, we initiated a number of actions beginning in late fiscal 2024, including the cancellation of store leases for unopened stores and closure of underperforming store locations, intended to simplify our near-term growth strategy, build a stronger foundation from which to scale in the future, and drive sustainable and disciplined growth, profitability and cash flow generation. See “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Recent Trends and Developments – Optimization Plan and Restructuring Plan” for additional information. Further, in the near term, we plan to expand with a more clustered model in new markets to improve supply chain efficiency and marketing leverage that reflects our more disciplined approach.
Products and Pricing
Each store offers a curated and ever-changing assortment of products, consisting of on-trend, quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products. Our product offering includes a constant rotation of opportunistic products, complemented by an assortment of competitively priced everyday staples across grocery, produce, refrigerated and frozen foods, beer and wine, fresh meat and seafood, general merchandise and health and beauty care. We have continued to evolve our product assortment to meet customer needs, including a wide selection of NOSH, fresh, ethnic and local products. We introduced our private label products in stores beginning in the third quarter of fiscal 2024, with approximately 485 private-label SKUs across various grocery, deli, frozen, general merchandise and wine categories introduced as of January 3, 2026. Our private label products are intended to foster customer loyalty through both everyday commodity staples and unique items exclusive to us.
A typical Grocery Outlet basket is priced approximately 40% lower than conventional grocers and approximately 20% lower than discount retailers. Opportunistically sourced products represent a substantial portion of our purchasing mix. We refer to our best opportunistic purchases as "WOW!" deals, which generally represent deep discounts of 40% to 70% relative to conventional retailers. These products encourage repeat shopper visits and typically sell quickly due to their compelling value, short duration and continually changing availability.
Procurement
Our flexible sourcing and supply chain model differentiates us from traditional retailers and allows us to provide customers with quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products at exceptional values. We take advantage of opportunities to acquire merchandise at substantial discounts that regularly arise from order cancellations, manufacturer overruns, packaging changes and approaching "sell-by" dates. As strong stewards of our suppliers' brands, we are a preferred partner of leading consumer packaged goods ("CPGs") with a reputation for making rapid decisions, purchasing in significant volumes and creatively solving their inventory challenges. Our buying strategy is deliberately flexible to allow us to react to constantly changing opportunities and customer preferences.
Our centralized sourcing team, consisting of our purchasing and inventory planning groups, has deep experience and decades-long relationships with leading CPG companies. Our team is highly selective when evaluating opportunities available to us and maintains a disciplined yet solutions-oriented approach. We are always seeking out and developing new supplier relationships to acquire desirable products at discounts that excite our customers. Our inventory planning group collaborates with and supports our buyers to evaluate the appropriate type and quantity of products in order to maintain adequate inventory levels in key product categories.
We believe that we have a leading share of the large and growing excess inventory market. We also believe that the overall excess inventory market continues to grow due to increased manufacturing capacities and rapidly changing product assortments. As we grow, we expect to have even greater access to quality merchandise due to our increased scale, broader supplier awareness and expanded geographic presence. Additionally, we believe that changing consumer preferences will continue to support the proliferation of small and innovative CPG brands and allow us to add new suppliers to our network.
We supplement our opportunistic purchases with competitively priced everyday staples in order to provide a convenient shopping experience. We typically source these staple products (e.g., milk, eggs, sugar) from multiple suppliers to lower our costs and we generally avoid long-term supply commitments to maintain the flexibility to pursue opportunistic buys as they arise. We believe our introduction of our private label products in stores will continue to provide better value and inventory consistency for our customers, as well as deliver better margins for us and our IOs.
Supply Chain and Distribution
Over time, we have honed our supply chain operations to support our opportunistic buying approach and to quickly and efficiently deliver products to our stores. We believe our supply chain flexibility enables us to solve suppliers' inventory challenges and, therefore, obtain significant discounts on purchases. After agreeing to purchase product from a supplier, we move quickly to receive, process and distribute the goods. Our systems, including our new store portal, are designed to provide IOs visibility to our current inventory, and the launch of our upgraded real-time order guide in fiscal 2025 has given IOs the capability to sharpen merchandising in their stores. IOs typically order multiple deliveries per week resulting in higher inventory turns, lower shrink (defined below) and a frequent assortment of new products on shelf. We implemented system upgrades in August 2023, and as a result, we and our IOs experienced significant disruptions to our ordering, inventory planning and management and payment processing during the remainder of fiscal 2023 through fiscal 2024 and into fiscal 2025. We have since implemented multiple capabilities and improved the data visibility to help us manage the business and we continue to work to further improve visibility into additional operating data, and to increase the speed and efficiency of the tools that we and our IOs use to manage the business. See “Business Technology” for additional information.
We also have dedicated teams to handle unique situations in which products need to be reconditioned or relabeled for sale. These items may include products without a UPC label, goods labeled for another geography, or inventory with damaged packaging.
We rely on our distribution and transportation network, including by means of truck, ocean and rail to provide goods to our distribution centers and stores in a timely and cost-effective manner. Deliveries to our stores occur from our distribution centers or directly from our suppliers. As of January 3, 2026, we distributed inventory through nine primary distribution centers, four of which we operate (for dry goods) and five of which are operated by third parties (for cold items, produce and dry goods). We have an in-house transportation fleet as well as a strong relationship with a third-party transportation partner that together provide consistent performance and timely deliveries to our stores.
We intend to continue to invest in our distribution and logistics infrastructure in order to support our anticipated store growth over the long term, including as we enter into new geographies. In connection with the Restructuring Plan, we have shifted our planned investments in our distribution infrastructure in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026 away from highly capital-intensive projects. We have instead, and plan to continue to, invest in lower cost distribution centers to enhance capacity and improve inventory management and overall execution. During the first quarter of fiscal 2025, we cancelled certain warehouse projects in connection with such strategy. See “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Recent Trends and Developments – Optimization Plan and Restructuring Plan” for additional information.
Independent Operators
IOs are independent business entities owned by one or more entrepreneurially minded individuals who typically live in the same community as their store with a focus on ordering and merchandising the best products for their communities, providing personalized customer service and driving improved store performance. The vast majority of the IOs operate a single store, with most working as a two-person team to leverage complementary operator skill sets. We encourage the IOs to establish local roots and actively participate in their communities to foster strong personal connections with customers.
We generally share 50% of store-level gross profits with IOs, thereby incentivizing them to grow their business profitably to realize financial upside. The independent operator agreement (the "Operator Agreement") that we sign with each IO gives the IO broad responsibility over store-level decision-making, unlike a store manager of a traditional retailer. This decision-making includes merchandising, selecting a majority of products, managing inventory, marketing locally, directly hiring, training and employing their store workers and supervising store operations to carry out our brand's commitment to superior customer service. As a result, our IO model reduces our fixed costs, corporate overhead and exposure to wage inflation pressures and centralized labor negotiations.
IOs leverage our national purchasing network, sophisticated ordering and information systems and field support in order to operate more efficiently. We facilitate collaboration among IOs to share best practices through company-wide and regional meetings, our IO intranet and other online and informal communications.
The combination of local decision-making supported by our purchasing expertise and corporate resources results in a "small business at scale" model that we believe is difficult for competitors to replicate. Our collaborative relationship with the IOs creates a powerful selling model allowing us to deliver customers exceptional value with a local touch.
As of January 3, 2026, 529 of our 570 stores were operated by IOs, with the remaining 41 stores currently operated by us. 39 of such Company-operated stores are under the brand name United Grocery Outlet and two of such stores are under the brand name Grocery Outlet Bargain Market. While historically IOs have operated a store from its opening, in fiscal 2026, we plan to operate certain newly opened stores as Company-operated stores for an uncertain time period with the intent to eventually transition the operation for such stores to an IO. We believe this should help to ensure the success of these store openings, and if that proves to be the case, this approach could be applied in more markets as we continue to grow.
We have entered into an Operator Agreement with each IO, which grants that IO a license to operate a particular Grocery Outlet Bargain Market retail store and to use our trademarks, service marks, trade names, brand names and logos under our brand standards. The Operator Agreement, along with our Best Business Practice Manual, defines our brand standards and sets forth the terms of the license granted to that IO. IOs have discretion to determine the manner and means for accomplishing their duties and implementing our brand standards. The success of this licensing arrangement depends upon mutual commitments by us and the IO to cooperate with each other and engage in practices that protect our brand standards and the reputation of our brand and enhance the sales, business and profit potential of the IO's store. The Operator Agreement provides that either the IO or we may terminate the Operator Agreement for any reason on no less than 75 days' written notice, and that we may terminate the Operator Agreement immediately for cause.
IOs are responsible for operational decision-making for their store, including hiring, training and employing their own workers as well as ordering and merchandising products. The IO orders merchandise solely from us, which we, in turn, deliver to IOs on consignment. As a result, we retain ownership of all merchandise until the point in time that merchandise is sold to a customer. Under the Operator Agreement, IOs are given the right to select a majority of merchandise that is sold in their store. IOs choose merchandise from our order guide according to their knowledge and experience with local customer purchasing trends, preferences, historical sales and other related factors.
IOs are able to uniquely display and merchandise products in order to appeal to their local customer base. IOs also have discretion to adjust pricing in response to local competition or product turns, provided that the overall outcome based on an average basket of items comports with our reputation for selling quality name-brand consumables and fresh products and other merchandise at significant discounts. IOs are expected to engage in local marketing efforts to promote their store
and enhance the reputation and goodwill of the Grocery Outlet brand. To protect our brand and reputation, the Operator Agreement requires IOs to adhere to brand standards, including cleanliness, customer service, store appearance, conducting their business in compliance with all laws and observing requirements for storing, handling and selling merchandise.
As consignor of all merchandise, the aggregate sales proceeds belong to us. We, in turn, pay IOs a commission that is generally 50% of the store's gross profit in exchange for the IO's services in staffing and operating the store. Any spoiled, damaged or stolen merchandise, markdowns or price changes impact gross profit and therefore the IO's commission. We generally split these losses equally with IOs. As a result, IOs are exposed to the risk of loss of such merchandise and are incentivized to minimize any such losses. Our relationship with the IOs is an important part of our business.
We lease and build out each Grocery Outlet location. Under the Operator Agreement, we provide IOs with the right to occupy the store premises solely to operate the retail store on the terms set forth in the Operator Agreement. The Operator Agreement specifies the retail store that the IO is entitled to operate, but it does not grant the IO an exclusive territory, restrict us from opening stores nearby, or give the IO preference to relocate to another store as opportunities arise. As the store tenant, we fund the build-out of the store including racking, refrigeration and other equipment (which we maintain ownership of) and pay rent, common area maintenance and other lease charges. IOs must cover their own initial working capital requirements and acquire certain store and safety assets. IOs may fund their initial store investment from their existing capital, a third-party loan or, most commonly, through a loan from us (an "IO Note"). The IOs are required to hire, train and employ a properly trained workforce to enable the IO to fulfill its obligations under the Operator Agreement. IOs are responsible for expenses required for business operations, including all labor costs, utilities, credit card processing fees, supplies, taxes (i.e., withholding, contributions and payroll taxes and income taxes on commissions paid to them), fines, levies and other expenses attributable to their operations.
We regularly receive and filter many leads for prospective new IOs in pursuit of smart and entrepreneurially minded retail leaders to support the long-term growth strategy of the business. After a robust screening and interview process, we select the top candidates to enter a rigorous Aspiring Operator in Training ("AOT") program with the goal of potentially becoming an IO. AOTs receive on-the-job training as an employee of an experienced IO that applies to serve as a training store for us, which gives AOTs the chance to experience first-hand what running a Grocery Outlet and managing employees will require. We supplement on-the-job training with classes at our headquarters, when available, and through online tutorials. Upon successful completion of the training program, AOTs submit business plans to apply for new stores as they become available. Those business plans generally include a competitive analysis of the local market, operational strategy, marketing plan and projected financial performance. Based on the strength of that business plan, including an AOT's familiarity with the local market, we ultimately select an IO as new store opportunities open and facilitate the transition.
Our Store Operations
As of January 3, 2026, our 570 total stores averaged approximately 13,600 square feet on the sales floor. We lease substantially all of our store locations, with initial lease terms of generally ten to fifteen years and options to renew for three or four successive five-year periods.
Our stores are convenient, neatly organized, well maintained and easy to navigate with wide aisles and clear signage to guide the customer through our various departments such as produce, beer and wine and fresh meat and seafood. The stores offer customers the ability to save money and have a high level of customer service without membership fees or bulk purchase requirements. In fiscal 2025, we initiated improvements to our store layout and in-store value messaging for certain store locations, including logically grouping product categories throughout the store with fresh departments merchandised together, relocating produce to the front of the store layout and communicating our core assortment and unique opportunistic offerings through updated signage. These improvements, which we intend to roll out at a significant number of additional stores in fiscal 2026 and thereafter, are designed to create a more inviting and more intuitive customer shopping experience.
Stores are assorted and merchandised uniquely by IOs providing a "WOW!" treasure hunt shopping experience. A majority of the assortment in each Grocery Outlet store is selected by IOs based on local preference and shopping history while the remaining assortment is delivered to stores to support marketing circulars and manage "sell-by" dates. We have several customized systems and tools in place, including our ordering system that is designed to provide IOs visibility to our current inventory and ordering suggestions based on local store characteristics.
We continue to implement operational initiatives to support IOs in enhancing the customer experience. We develop and improve tools that provide IOs with actionable insights on sales, margin and customer behavior, enabling them to further grow their business. We seek to continuously improve our inventory planning tools to help IOs make better local assortment decisions while reducing out-of-stock items and losses related to product markdowns, throwaways and theft ("shrink"). We have improved the data visibility to help us and the IOs manage and forecast the business and we continue to work to further improve visibility into additional operating data, and to increase the speed and efficiency of the tools that we and our IOs use to manage the business. We also regularly deploy updated fixtures, signage and enhanced in-store marketing to further improve the shopping experience, which we believe results in higher customer traffic and average basket sizes.
Store Expansion Opportunities
We believe that strategic new store growth remains a significant driver of long-term stockholder value. Additionally, while we recently initiated an Optimization Plan that includes closing certain underperforming stores (see “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Recent Trends and Developments – Optimization Plan and Restructuring Plan"), we continue to believe our white space remains vast with the potential to grow across the United States, demonstrated by the success of most of our stores across a broad range of geographies, population densities and demographic groups. Our new store growth efforts remain focused on organic growth that align with our long-term geographic expansion and store growth strategies, while we plan to expand with a more clustered model in new markets to improve supply chain efficiency and marketing leverage that reflects our more disciplined approach. We are also making adjustments to how we go to market, including piloting new approaches to store openings and underwriting to stricter standards. Complementary growth opportunities include expanding strategic relationships with large property owners, evaluating opportunistic real estate lists, and exploring strategic regional acquisitions.
We deploy a store model that is designed to generate robust store-level financial results, strong cash flow and attractive return. We maintain a dedicated real estate team that employs a data-driven site selection process to source new store locations designed to generate attractive returns. Our new stores generally range from approximately 14,000 to 18,000 total square feet, including an average of approximately 4,000 square feet of non-selling space. In fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024, we opened a total of 69 new stores in the following locations: California (20), Ohio (10), Pennsylvania (8), Maryland (7), New Jersey (5), Nevada (5), Washington (5), Idaho (4), Oregon (3), Delaware (1) and Tennessee (1), and closed 5 stores during these years.
Marketing
Our ability to consistently deliver "WOW!" deals that generate customer excitement is our strongest marketing tool. We believe our value proposition has broad appeal with bargain-minded consumers. We promote brand awareness and drive customers to shop through centralized marketing initiatives along with local IO marketing efforts. As a result of this approach and local marketing campaigns funded by IOs, our marketing expense as a percent of sales is relatively low.
We focus our centralized marketing efforts to build brand awareness and communicate specific in-store deals to drive customer traffic, primarily through digital ads, emailed "WOW! Alerts," social media, television and radio commercials and in-store and outdoor signage. We have increased our usage of digital advertising, allowing us to more quickly develop, deploy and target marketing communications based on our changing inventories and store-specific deals. We also market via television, streaming television platforms and radio (terrestrial and digital) to specific markets to build brand awareness and highlight the value we provide. We reinforce these efforts with in-store price and item signage as well as outdoor marketing via billboards and truck wraps. We also maintain a mobile personalization app that allows customers to track their savings and provides new, trending and top selling items as well as curated product recommendations based on user preferences. Further, the app provides us with critical data analytics to make our marketing efforts more effective and efficient.
IOs develop and fund their local marketing plan to drive customer engagement. IO efforts include community outreach such as partnering with food banks, sponsoring youth athletic programs and offering discounts to veterans. In addition, IOs develop and manage their own social media marketing platforms, posting creative and compelling content.
Competition
We compete for consumer spend with a diverse group of retailers, including mass, discount, conventional grocery, department, drug, convenience, hardware, variety, online and other specialty stores. These businesses compete with us on the basis of price, selection, quality, customer service, convenience, location, store format, shopping experience, or any combination of these or other factors. They may also compete with us for products and locations. During the last few years we have observed an increase in promotional and pricing activities from key competitors, putting further pressure on our relative value proposition, which in turn, has resulted in our increased efforts to actively negotiate costs and adjust prices to sharpen our value proposition. We also face internally generated competition when we open new stores in markets we already serve.
The competitive landscape is highly fragmented and localized; however, our customers most often cite Walmart and Safeway as retailers where they also shop for consumables. We see discount retailers of consumable products, which include Costco, WinCo, Target, Trader Joe's, Aldi and Lidl, as competitors given their broad product offerings at low prices relative to conventional grocery stores. We compete with both conventional grocery stores and discounters by offering an ever-changing selection of name-brand products in a fun, treasure hunt shopping environment at a significant discount.
Many competitors and a number of pure online retailers are attempting to attract customers by offering various forms of e-commerce, which has become an increasingly popular means of shopping for the grocery consumer. We have entered into partnerships with third-party grocery delivery companies to provide online shopping at our stores and we have embraced online and digital marketing, including with our mobile personalization app.
Beyond competition for consumers, we compete against a fragmented landscape of opportunistic purchasers, including retailers and wholesalers to acquire excess merchandise for sale in our stores. Our established relationships with most of our suppliers along with our distribution scale, buying power, financial credibility and responsiveness often makes us the first call for available deals.
Business Technology
Our information systems provide a broad range of business technology solutions and real-time data to support our purchasing and planning approach, merchandising team and strategy, multiple distribution center management, store and operational insight and financial reporting. We selected and developed these technologies to provide the flexibility and functionality to support our unique buying and selling model as well as to identify and respond to merchandising and operating trends in our business.
The modernization, enhancement and maintenance of our information systems have allowed us to support the growth in our business and store base. We have added several systems that provide us additional functionality and scalability in order to better support operational decision-making, including enhanced point of sale, warehouse management, human resource planning, business intelligence, vendor tracking and lead management, store communications, real estate lease management and financial planning and analysis systems.
We modify, update and replace our systems and infrastructure from time to time, including by adding new hardware, software and applications; maintaining, updating or replacing legacy programs; converting to enhanced systems; integrating new service providers; and adding enhanced new functionality, such as cloud computing technologies. In addition, we replaced our internally-developed legacy applications with a customized enterprise resource planning system, including our financial ledger, purchasing, inventory management and reporting platforms as well as integrations with our warehouse and store systems. As previously disclosed, the implementation of these system upgrades resulted in significant disruption to our business operations, including ordering and inventory disruptions, as well as payment processing, which adversely impacted our results of operations during the remainder of fiscal 2023 through fiscal 2024 and into fiscal 2025. We have since implemented multiple capabilities and improved the data visibility to help us manage and forecast the business and we continue to work to further improve visibility into additional operating data, and to increase the speed and efficiency of the tools that we and our IOs use to manage the business.
Further, we have built a series of tools that empower IOs to make intelligent decisions to grow their business from improving product ordering, reducing shrink, and gaining intelligence into their store performance and profitability. We believe these investments, once optimized, will result in valuable business insights and operational improvements.
Trademarks and Other Intellectual Property
We own federally registered trademarks related to our Grocery Outlet Bargain Market brand, including "GROCERY OUTLET BARGAIN MARKET," "WOW!," "NOSH" and "BARGAIN BLISS." In addition, we maintain trademarks for the images of certain logos that we use, including the "GROCERY OUTLET BARGAIN MARKET" logo, the "NOSH" logo and the "WOW!" logo. We are also in the process of pursuing several other trademarks to further identify our goods and services. We have disclaimed the terms "GROCERY OUTLET" and "MARKET" with respect to our "GROCERY OUTLET BARGAIN MARKET" trademarks, among other disclaimed terms with respect to our registered trademarks and trademark applications.
Our trademark registrations have various expiration dates; however, assuming that the trademark registrations are properly renewed, they have a perpetual duration. We also own several domain names, including www.groceryoutlet.com and www.ownagroceryoutlet.com, and registered and unregistered copyrights in our website content. Our Operator Agreement grants the IOs a limited, non-exclusive license to use our Grocery Outlet Bargain Market brand trademarks solely in connection with the operation and promotion of their store and not in connection with other activities. To maintain quality of use of our trademarks, we exercise actual control over the IO's use of our trademarks and IOs are not permitted to sublicense our trademarks to others. We attempt to obtain registration of our trademarks as practical and pursue infringement of those marks when appropriate. We rely on trademark and copyright laws, trade-secret protection and confidentiality, license and other agreements with the IOs, suppliers, employees and others to protect our intellectual property.
Regulations
We and the IOs are subject to regulation by various federal agencies, including the Food and Drug Administration (the "FDA"), the Federal Trade Commission (the "FTC"), the U.S. Department of Agriculture (the "USDA"), the Consumer Product Safety Commission and the Environmental Protection Agency. We and the IOs are also subject to various federal, state and local laws and regulations, including those governing labor and employment, including minimum wage requirements and employee safety, advertising, privacy, safety and environmental protection and consumer protection regulations, including those that regulate retailers and/or govern product standards, the importation, transportation, promotion and sale of merchandise, packaging material safety and recycling, including state laws requiring retailers to report packaging data and provide more convenient recycling opportunities for consumers, waste reduction and the operation of stores and warehouse facilities. In addition, we and the IOs must comply with provisions regulating health and sanitation standards, food labeling, non-food labeling, sales of products under federal and state programs benefitting underprivileged consumers, and licensing for the sale of food and alcoholic beverages. We actively monitor changes in these laws. In addition, we and the IOs are subject to environmental laws, including but not limited to hazardous waste laws, and regulations related to refrigeration and stormwater, pursuant to which we and/or the IOs could be strictly and jointly and severally liable, regardless of our knowledge or responsibility.
Food and Dietary Supplements—The FDA regulates the safety of certain food and food ingredients, as well as dietary supplements under the federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (the "FDCA"). Similarly, the USDA's Food Safety Inspection Service ensures that the country's commercial supply of meat, poultry, catfish and certain egg products is safe, wholesome and correctly labeled and packaged.
For our stores that process, handle and package meat and meat products, we are subject to regulation, registration and regular inspections under the USDA Food Safety and Inspection Service.
The Food Safety Modernization Act amended the FDCA in 2011 and expanded the FDA's regulatory oversight of all supply chain participants. Most of the FDA's promulgated regulations are now in effect and mandate that risk-based preventive controls be observed by the majority of food producers. This authority applies to all domestic food facilities and, by way of imported food supplier verification requirements, to all foreign facilities that supply food products.
The FDA also exercises broad jurisdiction over the labeling and promotion of food. Under certain circumstances, this jurisdiction extends to product-related claims and representations made on a company's website or similar printed or graphic media. All foods, including dietary supplements, must bear labeling that provides consumers with essential information with respect to standards of identity, net quantity, nutrition facts, ingredient statements and allergen disclosures. The FDA also regulates the use of structure/function claims, health claims, nutrient content claims and the disclosure of calories and other nutrient information for frequently sold items. In addition, compliance dates on various nutrition initiatives that impacted supply chain participants, such as in relation to partially hydrogenated oils, went into effect in 2021. The FDA finalized other initiatives governing specific commonly used health claims on food labels which went into effect in 2025.
The FDA has comprehensive authority to regulate the safety, ingredients, labeling and good manufacturing practices for dietary supplements through the Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act (the "DSHEA"). Under DSHEA, dietary supplements are a regulated commodity while also allowing structure/function claims on products.
EBT Payments—Approximately 9% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were in the form of Electronic Benefits Transfer ("EBT") payments and a substantial portion of these payments may be related to benefits associated with the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program ("SNAP"). The U.S. Department of Agriculture regulates these programs and their eligibility requirements. The registration and ongoing compliance requirements for SNAP participation are fairly complex and each of the IOs holds their registration under the name of their business entity and is responsible to ensure that their employees consistently comply with all SNAP rules.
Food and Dietary Supplement Advertising—The FTC exercises jurisdiction over the advertising of foods and dietary supplements. The FTC has the power to impose monetary sanctions, consent decrees and/or other penalties that can severely limit a company's business practices. In recent years, the FTC has instituted numerous enforcement actions against companies carrying dietary supplements for failure to have adequate substantiation for claims made in advertising or for the use of false or misleading advertising claims.
Compliance—As is common in the retail industry, we rely on our suppliers and manufacturers to ensure that the products they manufacture and sell to us comply with all applicable regulatory and legislative requirements. In general, our purchase orders require that suppliers be compliant and represent and warrant to compliance with laws and require indemnification and/or insurance from our suppliers and manufacturers.
However, even with adequate insurance and indemnification, any claims of non-compliance could significantly damage our reputation and consumer confidence in the products we sell. In addition, the failure of such products to comply with applicable regulatory and legislative requirements could prevent us from marketing the products or require us to recall or remove such products from our stores. In order to comply with applicable statutes and regulations, our suppliers and manufacturers have from time to time reformulated, eliminated or relabeled certain of their products.
We also source a portion of our products from outside the United States. The U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other similar anti-bribery and anti-kickback laws and regulations generally prohibit companies and their intermediaries from making improper payments to non-U.S. officials for the purpose of obtaining or retaining business. Our policies and our supplier compliance agreements mandate compliance with applicable law, including these laws and regulations.
Seasonality
Our business is impacted by mild seasonality, as our average weekly sales per store fluctuate throughout the year, with sales typically higher during major U.S. holidays or events.
Human Capital Management
Our mission is to Touch Lives for the Better. To do this, we work together to foster a culture grounded in talented and passionate people who live our values: entrepreneurship, integrity, achievement, family, service to others, diversity and fun. Our values translate into our human capital offerings to recruit, engage, develop, reward and retain employees who believe in our mission and emulate our values.
Employees—Our people are at the heart of who we are and what we do. They are key to executing our growth strategy and achieving our business goals. Following the acquisition of United Grocery Outlet in fiscal 2024, our employee population doubled due to the majority of the UGO stores being Company-operated. As of January 3, 2026, we had 2,207 employees, 1,642 of whom were full-time and 565 of whom were part-time. As of January 3, 2026, 562 of our employees worked in our corporate organization, 167 of which were classified as field employees, and our distribution centers employed 515 persons. The remaining employees were employees in our Company-operated stores. As of January 3, 2026, 158 of our employees were union employees, all of whom were employees at two Company-operated stores. We have experienced no material interruptions of operations due to disputes with our employees and consider our relations with our employees to be very good.
Employee Development—We seek to grow leaders at every level of our organization by creating a culture of mentoring and coaching. As part of our succession planning, we prioritize growing talent internally within our organization and invest resources to develop our employees' skill sets and career paths. Some of our offerings to our Grocery Outlet employees during 2025 (offered virtually and, in some cases, in person) included:
•Certification program opportunities, including offerings in personal growth and professional development;
•Lunch and learn events, featuring a wide variety of personal development topics and industry speakers;
•Individual coaching for leadership development, and other leadership training for supervisors through Vice Presidents; and
•Virtual learning platform, including leadership development courses and specific hard skills training on project management and Microsoft Excel.
We encourage internal promotions and hiring for open positions. During fiscal 2025, we promoted 73 corporate and field employees.
Employee Health and Safety—Providing a safe and compliant working environment and ensuring safety is critical to the Company. We have robust safety programs in place to prevent workplace injury and illness. In recent years, we have refined and adopted additional safety training initiatives in a variety of areas, including among others, hazard communications, fire prevention, emergency action playbooks, blood borne pathogens, health illness avoidance, and active shooter. These refinements and initiatives are ongoing. We also maintain a Safety Committee for our distribution center employees and our Safety Department regularly provides new injury avoidance information at monthly distribution center employee-wide meetings. Additionally, we provide detailed health and safety resources to our independently operated stores, including specific information and requirements by state to support their adherence to compliance.
Employee Compensation and Benefits—We provide compensation and comprehensive benefits designed to recruit, reward and retain the talent necessary to advance our mission, meet our business goals and execute our long-term growth strategy. Our compensation components vary by employee level and can include cash based compensation, cash bonuses, equity awards and a profit-sharing program. Additionally, we provide generous and highly competitive health and welfare benefits programs.
Equity and Inclusion—We prioritize our values and culture, as well as our inclusion initiatives, and help to create opportunities for our employees to grow and thrive.
As part of our commitment to transparency, we are committed to disclosing our workforce diversity data (by gender, race and ethnicity) that we include in our consolidated EEO-1 report filed with the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, beginning with fiscal 2024 data included in our Impact Report that was published in 2025.
We strive to nurture and uphold an inclusive and diverse environment, free from discrimination of any kind, including sexual or other discriminatory/harassing behavior. We do this by setting an appropriate tone at the top with an open-door policy, having robust policies/procedures in our Code of Ethics and Whistleblower Policy as well as maintaining an internal audit function - all of which support compliance with regulations and ethical behavior.
Website Disclosure
We use our website, https://investors.groceryoutlet.com, as a channel of distribution of Company information. Financial and other important information about us is routinely accessible through and posted on our website. Accordingly, investors should monitor our website, in addition to following our press releases, SEC filings and public conference calls and webcasts. The contents of our website and information accessible through our website is not, however, incorporated by reference or a part of this report. Our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and all amendments to those reports, and the Proxy Statement for our Annual Meeting of Stockholders are available, free of charge, on our website as soon as practicable after we file the reports with the SEC.
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
The following risk factors are important to understanding various statements in this Form 10-K or elsewhere. The factors described below, individually or in the aggregate, could materially adversely affect our business, business prospects, financial condition, operating results, cash flows and stock price, and may cause actual results, performance or achievements in future periods to differ materially from those assumed, projected or contemplated. Moreover, we operate in a very competitive and rapidly changing environment, and new risks emerge from time to time.
The following is a summary of the principal risks that could adversely affect our business, operations and financial results:
Risks Related to Our Operations
•failure of suppliers to consistently supply us with opportunistic products at attractive pricing, which is generally not in our control;
•inability to successfully identify trends and maintain an appropriate level of opportunistic products or general inventory;
•failure to maintain or increase comparable store sales;
•any significant disruption to our distribution and transportation network, the operations, technology and capacity of our distribution centers and our timely receipt of inventory;
•risks associated with newly opened stores;
•risks associated with our long-term growth strategy, including opening, relocating or remodeling stores on schedule and on budget;
•risks with implementing our revised near-term growth strategy, including financial and operating impacts associated with our Restructuring Plan and Optimization Plan;
•risks related to our plan to operate certain of our newly opened stores in fiscal 2026 as Company-operated stores;
•inflation and other changes affecting the market prices of the products we sell;
•failure to maintain our reputation and the value of our brand, including protecting our intellectual property;
•inability to maintain sufficient levels of cash flow from our operations to fund our growth strategy;
•risks associated with leasing substantial amounts of space;
•inability to attract, train and retain highly qualified employees or the loss of executive officers or other key personnel;
•costs and successful implementation of marketing, advertising and promotions;
•natural or man-made disasters, climate change, power outages, major health epidemics, pandemic outbreaks, terrorist acts, global political events or other serious catastrophic events and the concentration of our business operations;
•unexpected costs and negative effects if we incur losses not covered by our insurance program;
•difficulties associated with labor relations and shortages;
•failure to participate effectively in the growing online retail marketplace;
•failure to properly integrate or achieve the expected benefits of any acquired businesses;
Risks Related to Our Business Environment
•risks associated with economic conditions;
•risks associated with uncertainty and changes in U.S. trade policies, including tariffs;
•competition in the retail food industry;
•movement of consumer trends toward private labels and away from name-brand products, and risks associated with the continued deployment of our own private label brands;
Risks Related to Our IO Model
•inability to attract and retain qualified IOs;
•failure of our IOs to successfully manage their business;
•failure of our IOs to repay notes outstanding to us;
•inability of our IOs to avoid excess inventory shrink;
•any loss or changeover of an IO;
•legal proceedings initiated against our IOs;
•legal challenges to the IO/independent contractor business model;
•failure to maintain positive relationships with our IOs;
•risks associated with actions our IOs could take that could harm our business;
Risks Related to our Information Technology Systems, Data Protection and Cybersecurity
•material disruption to our information technology systems from our technology initiatives or third-party security breaches or other disruptions;
•failure to maintain the security of information we hold relating to personal information or payment card data of our customers, employees and suppliers;
Risks Related to Legal and Regulatory Risks
•risks associated with products we and our IOs sell;
•risks associated with laws and regulations generally applicable to retailers;
•legal proceedings from customers, suppliers, employees, governments or competitors;
Risks Associated with our Indebtedness
•our substantial indebtedness could affect our ability to operate our business, react to changes in the economy or industry or pay our debts and meet our obligations;
•restrictive covenants in our debt agreements may restrict our ability to pursue our business strategies, and failure to comply with any of these restrictions could result in acceleration of our debt;
Risks Related to Accounting, Tax and Financial Statement Matters
•risks associated with tax matters, including changes in tax laws;
•changes in accounting standards and subjective assumptions, estimates and judgments by management related to complex accounting matters;
Risks Related to Our Common Stock
•our quarterly operating results fluctuate and may fall short of prior periods, our projections or the expectations of securities analysts or investors;
•future sales, or the perception of future sales, by us or our existing stockholders in the public market could cause the market price for our common stock to decline;
•provisions in our organizational documents could delay or prevent a change of control; and
•provisions in our organizational documents that limit the forum for certain stockholder litigation matters.
For a more complete discussion of the material risks facing our business, see below.
Risks Related to Our Operations
We depend on suppliers to consistently supply us with opportunistic products at attractive pricing, which is generally not in our control.
Our business is dependent on our ability to strategically source a sufficient volume and variety of opportunistic products at attractive pricing. While opportunistic buying, operating with appropriate inventory levels and frequent inventory turns are key elements of our business strategy, they subject us to risks related to the pricing, quantity, mix, quality and timing of inventory flowing to our stores. We do not have significant control over the supply, cost or availability of many of the opportunistic products offered for sale in our stores. Shortages or disruptions in the availability of quality products that excite our customers and drive customer traffic could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations, including our gross margin. As our store base continues to grow, our ability to secure opportunistic products in sufficient quantities may become more difficult.
All of our inventory is acquired through purchase orders, and we generally do not have long-term contractual agreements with our suppliers that obligate them to provide us with products exclusively or at specified quantities or prices, or at all. Any of our current suppliers may decide to sell products to our competitors and may not continue selling products to us. In order to retain our competitive advantage, we need to continue to develop and maintain relationships with qualified suppliers that can satisfy our standards for quality and our requirements for delivery of products in a timely and efficient manner at attractive prices. The need to grow existing relationships and develop new relationships with qualified suppliers is particularly important as we seek to continue to expand our operations and enhance our product offerings in the future.
Manufacturers and distributors of name-brand, large volume products have become increasingly consolidated. Further consolidation of manufacturers or distributors could reduce our supply options and detrimentally impact the terms under which we purchase products. If one or more of our existing significant suppliers became unable or unwilling to continue providing products to us on attractive terms, or at all, we may have difficulty finding replacement suppliers on commercially reasonable terms or at all. The loss of one or more of our existing significant suppliers or our inability to develop relationships with new suppliers could reduce our competitiveness, slow our plans for further expansion and cause our net sales and operating results, including our gross margin, to be materially adversely affected.
We may not be able to successfully identify trends to meet consumer demand and maintain an appropriate level of opportunistic products or general inventory.
We depend on repeat visits by our customer base to drive sales, and we rely on desirable opportunistic products at discounts to excite our customers to make such repeat visits. Consumer preferences often change rapidly and without warning. We may not successfully address consumer trends or be able to acquire desirable opportunistic products, and we expect competition for customers to increase as online shopping by customers continues to expand. In addition, a majority of the assortment in each Grocery Outlet store is selected by IOs based on local preference and shopping history, and the inability of the IOs to successfully identify trends in the local market could materially adversely affect our financial performance.
We generally make individual purchase decisions for products that become available, and these purchases may be for large quantities that we may not be able to sell on a timely or cost-effective basis. Some of our products are sourced from suppliers at significantly reduced prices for specific reasons, and we are not always able to purchase specific products on a recurring basis. To the extent that some of our suppliers are better able to manage their inventory levels and reduce the amount of their excess inventory, the amount of over-stock and short-dated products available to us could also be materially reduced, making it difficult to deliver products to our customers at attractive prices. Maintaining adequate inventory of quality, name-brand products requires significant attention and monitoring of market trends, local markets and developments with suppliers and our distribution network, and it is not certain that we or our IOs will be effective in inventory management.
We base our purchases of inventory, in part, on our sales forecasts. If our sales forecasts overestimate customer demand or we do not have accurate data or visibility into real-time product and inventory levels, we may experience higher inventory levels and need to take markdowns on excess or slow-moving inventory, leading to decreased profit margins. Conversely, if our sales forecasts underestimate customer demand or we do not have accurate data or visibility into real-time product and inventory levels, we may have insufficient inventory to meet demand, leading to lost sales. Either of these foregoing challenges could materially adversely affect our financial performance. In addition, a majority of the assortment in each Grocery Outlet store is selected by IOs based on local preference and shopping history, and the inability of the IOs to successfully identify trends in the local market could materially adversely affect our financial performance.
If we are not able to continue to achieve comparable store growth over the long term, our profitability and performance could be materially adversely impacted.
The IOs are responsible for store operations at their store locations. Our success depends on, among other things, increasing comparable store sales through our opportunistic purchasing strategy and the ability of the IOs to increase sales and profits. To increase net sales, and therefore comparable store sales growth and profits, we and the IOs focus on delivering value and generating customer excitement by strengthening opportunistic purchasing, providing an increasing number of everyday products, optimizing inventory management, maintaining strong store conditions and effectively marketing current products and new product offerings. Competition and pricing pressures from competitors and suppliers may also materially adversely impact our comparable sales if we lose customers as a result.
Our comparable store sales growth slowed in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024 and we may not be able to improve our comparable store sales growth to historical levels and our comparable store sales may decline in future years for many reasons, many of which we do not significantly control, including general economic conditions that may not favor our model, operational performance (including by the IOs), price inflation or deflation, or changes in response to competitive factors, changes in our existing supplier relationships or our inability to develop new supplier relationships, industry competition including through e-commerce, new competitive entrants, price changes in response to competitive factors, possible supply shortages or other operational disruptions, the number and dollar amount of customer transactions in our stores, our ability to provide product or service offerings that generate new and repeat visits to our stores and the level of customer engagement that we and the IOs provide in our stores. In addition, we may not accurately model cannibalization by our new stores when we open new stores in established markets, which could reduce comparable store sales.
Significant disruption in our distribution and transportation network, our timely receipt of inventory, and adequate distribution center capacity and technology have had in recent years, and could continue to have, an adverse impact on our operating performance.
We rely on our distribution, transportation and technology network and systems to provide goods to our distribution centers and stores in a timely and cost-effective manner. Our stores are highly dependent on the successful operation of our distribution, transportation and technology networks, as IOs use these systems to order multiple deliveries per week and many of our products have a limited shelf life from the time of purchase, particularly opportunistic buys and fresh foods. Deliveries to our stores occur from our distribution centers or directly from our suppliers. We use four primary leased distribution centers that we operate and five primary distribution centers operated by third-parties. Any disruption, unanticipated or unusual expense or operational failure related to these processes and systems could affect store operations negatively.
We have also experienced ordering and inventory disruptions in recent years related to system issues at our third-party distribution centers. If similar circumstances were to occur and persist, they could have a material adverse impact on our operations and our ability to generate sales and earn profits.
In addition, events beyond our control, such as disruptions in operations due to natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, labor disputes or constraints, significant public health and safety events, or general economic and political conditions, may result in delays in the delivery of merchandise to our stores. While we maintain business interruption and cybersecurity insurance, in the event our distribution centers or the third-party distribution centers that we utilize are shut down for any reason, such insurance may not be sufficient and any related insurance proceeds may not be timely paid to us, and our reputation and customer relationships could still be adversely impacted. Furthermore, there can be no guarantee that we will be able to renew the leases or third-party distribution and transportation contracts, as applicable, on our distribution centers on attractive terms or at all, which may increase our expenses and cause temporary disruptions in our distribution network.
As we continue to implement our store growth strategy, our distribution centers have in the past and may continue to have insufficient capacity or technology to optimally support all of our stores and effectively managing our distribution network and distribution centers will become more complex. Our new store locations receiving shipments may be further away from our distribution centers, which may increase transportation costs and may create transportation scheduling strains, or may require us to add additional facilities to the network. For fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026, we shifted our planned investments in our distribution infrastructure strategy from highly capital-intensive projects to lower cost distribution centers, which could hinder our ability to compete with companies that have invested in multi-temperature or automated facilities or have a more efficient distribution model.
Our newly opened stores may negatively impact our financial results in the short-term and/or may not achieve sales and operating levels consistent with our more mature stores on a timely basis or at all.
We have actively pursued new store growth, including in new markets, and plan to continue doing so strategically in the future. Our new store openings may not be successful or reach the sales and profitability levels of our existing stores, particularly in new markets. These factors have in the past and may continue to impact our ability to attract and develop potential IOs. Some new stores may be located in areas with different competitive market conditions as well as different customer discretionary spending patterns than our existing markets. Some new stores and future new store opportunities may be located in new geographic areas where we have limited or no meaningful experience or brand recognition. We may experience a higher cost of entry in those markets as we build brand awareness and drive customers to incorporate us into their shopping habits.
New store openings may negatively impact our financial results due to the effect of store opening costs and lower sales and contribution to overall profitability during the initial period following opening. In recent years, our costs to build a new store have increased and our planned efforts to engineer reduced costs to build will take time and resources, and outcomes are influenced by various factors beyond our control. New stores, particularly those in new markets, build their sales volume, brand recognition and customer base over time and, as a result, for generally four to five years, have lower margins and higher operating expenses as a percentage of sales than our more mature stores. New stores may not achieve sustained sales and operating levels consistent with our more mature store base on a timely basis or at all, and we may decide to close stores that we are unable to operate in a profitable manner. This lack of performance may have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and operating results.
We may not anticipate all of the challenges imposed by the expansion of our operations into new geographic markets. We may not manage our expansion effectively, and our failure to achieve or properly execute our expansion plans could limit our growth or have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our long-term growth strategy is highly dependent on our ability to identify and open future store locations and relocate or remodel existing store locations in new and existing markets.
We continue to believe that strategic new store growth remains a critical driver of long-term stockholder value. However, we may not be able to, or may determine it is not prudent to, consistently implement a high rate of new store growth on a year-over-year basis. We have recently revised our near-term growth strategy, including through our Restructuring Plan and Optimization Plan, although there can be no assurance that such strategy will be successful.
In the ordinary course, our ability to open stores in a timely and successful manner depends in part on the following factors: the availability of attractive store locations (including stores that will not compete significantly with existing stores and that can be reasonably serviced by our distribution network) and rent prices; the costs of construction and the availability of construction labor and materials; the absence of entitlement processes or occupancy delays; the ability to negotiate acceptable lease and development terms; our relationships with current and prospective landlords; the ability to attract potential IOs who are strong entrepreneurs; the ability to secure and manage the inventory necessary for the launch and operation of new stores; the availability of cash flows and capital funding for expansion; and general economic conditions. Any or all of these factors and conditions could materially adversely affect our growth and profitability.
Over the last few years, planned construction and opening of new stores have been, and may continue to be, negatively impacted due to labor and materials shortages as well as longer lead times in lease execution, site permitting and construction. Additionally, we may expand into neighboring states and regions in the United States where we do not have the same brand recognition and/or engage in further acquisitions to meet our growth goals, and such expansion heightens the risks, challenges and uncertainties of development. Such expansion could place increased demands on our operational, managerial and administrative resources and cause us to operate our existing business less efficiently. If we experience a decline in performance, we may further slow or discontinue store openings, or we may decide to close additional stores that are unable to operate in a profitable manner.
If we fail to successfully implement our long-term growth strategy, our operations, financial condition and operating results would be materially and adversely affected.
We are implementing a revised near-term growth strategy, including through the Restructuring Plan and Optimization Plan, and we may not achieve expected benefits on a timely basis or at all, we may incur unexpected costs and liabilities, and our operations and financial performance may be materially and adversely impacted.
As part of our revised near-term growth strategy, we completed the implementation of the Restructuring Plan in fiscal 2025 and we recently initiated the Optimization Plan. See “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Recent Trends and Developments – Optimization Plan and Restructuring Plan” for additional information. The implementation of the Restructuring Plan and Optimization Plan may significantly harm our
reputation with landlords, employees, IOs, and other stakeholders, and we may not realize the intended benefits from these actions to the extent or as quickly as anticipated.
With respect to the Optimization Plan: we may not be able to implement the lease terminations and subleases as anticipated on a timely basis, at an acceptable cost (in the case of terminations) or at market prices for the remaining terms (in the case of subleases), or at all; the actual amount of expenses and cash expenditures may exceed our estimates; we may incur additional expenses not currently contemplated due to unanticipated events associated with such plan; the plan may harm our reputation with and lead to disputes with landlords, employees and IOs, and other stakeholders; the plan may not generate the intended benefits to the extent or as quickly as anticipated; and we may fail to manage any disruptions to our operations or growth strategy during such implementation. If we are unable to agree with a landlord on acceptable terms on which to terminate a lease or are otherwise unable to sublease or assign our interest in the lease to a third party, we may be required to continue to perform obligations under the lease, including paying rent and incurring other operating expenses during the lease term. If we assign or sublease a lease to a third party, we may still have to pay a portion of the rent and other expenses and we can remain liable for the lease obligations if the assignee or sublessee does not perform. In addition, if our efforts to terminate, sublease or assign a lease are unsuccessful and we do not perform our obligations under the lease, the landlord may contend that we are in default under the lease and initiate legal proceedings against us, which could increase the costs relating to the Optimization Plan beyond what we currently anticipate.
Any of the foregoing matters could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We plan to operate certain of our newly opened stores in fiscal 2026 as Company-operated stores and may utilize this approach thereafter, which differs from our historical practice and subjects us to additional risks and uncertainties.
We plan to operate certain of the stores that we open in fiscal 2026 as Company-operated stores for an uncertain time period and intend to eventually transition the operations for each store to an IO. If we believe this approach is successful, it could be applied in more markets as we continue to grow. Traditionally, our stores have been operated by IOs for their life cycle, and the IOs are responsible for operational decision-making for their store, including hiring, training and employing their own workers as well as ordering and merchandising products. Operating certain of our newly opened stores as Company-operated stores, in addition to the Company-operated stores acquired from United Grocery Outlet, requires considerable resources, including a significant increase of employees, will result in additional expense, and may require us to divert resources from other areas of the business. Additionally, operating these stores as Company-operated stores will expose us to store-level risks that are typically absorbed by IOs, such as employment claims, labor issues and general liability claims, which may result in additional expense. Failure to successfully operate and manage the risks of the Company-operated stores or the failure to identify qualified IOs to transition such stores on a timely basis or at all could adversely impact our growth strategy and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Because we are an extreme value retailer and compete for customers to a substantial degree based on price, changes affecting the market prices of the products we sell, many of which we cannot control, including due to inflation or deflation, competition, supplier increases in freight, supply or other operating costs, including energy prices, or worsening economic conditions, could materially adversely affect our financial condition and operating results.
A critical differentiator of our business is our ability to offer value to our customers, including offering prices that are substantially below those offered by some of our competitors. We carefully monitor the market prices of our products in order to maintain our price advantage and reputation. In recent years, we have experienced varying levels of inflation, resulting in part from various supply disruptions, increased shipping and transportation costs, tariffs, increased commodity costs, increased labor costs in the supply chain and other disruptions caused by the recent economic environment, which we have not been able to fully offset through price increases. Our IOs have experienced increased costs related to labor and utilities, among others. If costs of goods continue to increase and our suppliers seek price increases from us, we may not be able to mitigate such increases and have sometimes, and may continue to, increase our prices, which could deter customer traffic and reduce the number and average basket size of customer transactions. Some of our larger competitors are in a better position to absorb cost increases while maintaining price competitiveness. If our competitors are more competitive on pricing relative to our pricing, we may lose customers and/or need to mark down prices. Our gross margins and profitability also may be adversely impacted by higher supply costs that we cannot fully pass along or if we need to lower product prices due to competition. As a result of our low-price model, the foregoing competitive pressures may reduce our profitability and materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
If we fail to maintain our reputation and the value of our brand, including protection of our intellectual property rights, our sales and operating results may decline.
We believe our continued success depends on our ability to maintain and grow the value of our brand. Brand value is based in large part on perceptions of subjective qualities. The reputation of our company and our brand may be damaged in all, one or some of the markets in which we do business, by adverse events at the corporate level or by an IO acting outside of Grocery Outlet's brand standards, or by action (or inaction), by us or our IOs on issues like social policies, merchandising, compliance related to social, product, labor and environmental standards or other sensitive topics. Further, any perceived lack of transparency about such matters could harm our reputation. The online dissemination of negative information about our brand through social media or other channels, including inaccurate information, could harm our reputation and our brand.
We regard our intellectual property, including trademarks and service marks, as having significant value, and our brand is an important factor in the marketing of our stores. We monitor and protect against activities that might infringe, dilute or otherwise violate our trademarks and other intellectual property and rely on trademark and other laws of the United States, but we may not be able or willing to successfully enforce our trademarks or intellectual property rights against competitors or challenges by others. For example, we are aware of certain companies in jurisdictions where we do not currently operate using the term "GROCERY OUTLET." Moreover, we have disclaimed the terms "GROCERY OUTLET" and "MARKET" with respect to our "GROCERY OUTLET BARGAIN MARKET" trademarks, among other disclaimed terms with respect to our registered trademarks and trademark applications. If a third party uses such disclaimed terms in its trademarks, we cannot object to such use. Additionally, if we fail to protect our trademarks or other intellectual property rights, others may copy or use our trademarks or intellectual property without authorization, which may harm the value of our brand, reputation, competitive advantages and goodwill and adversely affect our financial condition, cash flows or results of operations. Actions we have taken to establish and protect our intellectual property rights may not be adequate.
There may in the future be opposition and cancellation proceedings from time to time with respect to some of our intellectual property rights. We have initiated, and may in the future initiate, oppositions and cancellation proceedings to thwart third party filings that encroach upon our intellectual property rights. In some cases, litigation may be necessary to protect or enforce our trademarks and other intellectual property rights. Furthermore, third parties may assert intellectual property claims against us, and we may be subject to liability, required to enter into costly license agreements, if available at all, required to rebrand our products and/or prevented from selling some of our products if third parties successfully oppose or challenge our trademarks or successfully claim that we infringe, misappropriate or otherwise violate their trademarks, copyrights, patents or other intellectual property rights. Bringing or defending any such claim, regardless of merit, and whether successful or unsuccessful, could be expensive and time-consuming and have a negative effect on our business, reputation, results of operations and financial condition.
If we fail to maintain our reputation and the value of our brand, the carrying value of our goodwill and other intangible assets may be impaired.
Our brand value and intellectual property represent a significant portion of our goodwill and intangible assets. Accounting rules require us to review the carrying value of our goodwill and other intangible assets for impairment annually or whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of such assets may not be fully recoverable. If the testing indicates that an impairment has occurred, we are required to record a non-cash impairment charge. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, we performed our annual impairment evaluation of goodwill, which indicated that the fair value of the Company was lower than its carrying value, resulting in the recognition of a non-cash impairment charge of $149.0 million during fiscal 2025. Testing goodwill and intangible assets for impairment requires us to make estimates that are subject to significant assumptions. Changes in our estimates, or changes in actual performance compared with these estimates, may affect the fair value of goodwill or intangible assets, which also may result in a non-cash impairment charge. If a significant amount of our goodwill and other intangible assets were deemed to be impaired, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
We will require significant capital to fund our expanding business. If we are unable to maintain sufficient levels of cash flow from our operations, we may not be able to execute or sustain our growth strategy or we may require additional financing, which may not be available to us on satisfactory terms or at all.
Our cash flow from operations may not provide sufficient capital to support our expanding business and execute our growth strategy, including to pay our lease obligations, build out new stores and distribution centers, remodel our stores, purchase opportunistic inventory, pay employees competitive wages and provide benefits, continue the ongoing modernization, enhancement and maintenance of our information systems, make loans to IOs, operate Company-operated
stores and further invest in the business. Further, our plans to grow our store base may create cash flow pressure if new locations do not perform as projected.
We may need to obtain additional funds through public or private financings, collaborative relationships or other arrangements. Any equity financing or convertible financing that we may pursue could result in additional dilution to our existing stockholders and would be subject to capital market conditions at the time of any offering. Debt financing, if available, would increase our leverage and may involve restrictive covenants that could affect our ability to raise additional capital or operate our business. Additional financing may not be available to us on attractive terms to us, if at all. The inability to obtain necessary or desired liquidity could impede our competitive position, business, financial condition and results of operations and we may need to delay, limit or eliminate planned store openings or operations or other elements of our growth strategy.
We are subject to risks associated with leasing substantial amounts of space, including future increases in occupancy costs.
We currently lease substantially all of our store locations, primary distribution centers and administrative offices (including our headquarters in Emeryville, California), and a number of these leases expire or are up for renewal each year. Our operating leases typically have initial lease terms of ten to fifteen years with renewal options for three or four successive five-year periods at our discretion.
Typically, the largest portion of a store's operating expense that we bear is the cost associated with leasing the location. Our total lease payment obligations (excluding any unexercised option periods) for all operating leases in existence as of January 3, 2026 was $169.8 million for fiscal 2026 and $1.17 billion in aggregate for fiscal years 2027 through 2045, and these obligations will increase as we open new stores that are leased. We are also generally responsible for property taxes, insurance and common area maintenance for our leased properties. If we are unable to make the required payments under our leases, the lenders or owners of the relevant leased properties, distribution centers or administrative offices may, among other things, repossess those assets, which could adversely affect our ability to conduct our operations. In addition, our failure to make payments under our operating leases could trigger defaults under other leases or under our 2023 Credit Agreement (defined below), which could cause the counterparties under those agreements to accelerate the obligations due thereunder.
The operating leases for our store locations, distribution centers and administrative offices expire at various dates through 2045. When the lease terms for our stores expire, we may be unable to negotiate renewals, either on commercially reasonable terms or at all, which could cause us to close stores or to relocate stores within a market on less favorable terms. Any of these factors could cause us to close stores in desirable locations, which could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations.
Over time, current store locations may not continue to be desirable because of changes in our business strategy, demographics within the surrounding area or a decline in shopping traffic. While we have the right to terminate some of our leases under specified conditions, we may not be able to terminate a particular lease if or when we would like to do so or on commercially reasonable terms. In connection with the Optimization Plan, we determined to terminate or sublease a total of 36 leases in connection with the closure of underperforming stores in fiscal 2026 along with the termination or sublease of a distribution center facility that we are no longer utilizing. If we decide to close stores, we are generally required to continue to perform obligations under the applicable leases, which generally include paying rent and operating expenses for the balance of the lease term. When we assign leases or sublease space to third parties, we may have to pay a portion of the rent and other expenses, and we can remain liable on the lease obligations if the assignee or sublessee does not perform.
If we or our IOs are unable to attract, train and retain qualified employees, our financial performance may be negatively affected. Additionally, our success depends in part on our executive officers and other key personnel.
Our future growth, performance and positive customer experience depend on our and the IOs' ability to attract, train, retain and motivate qualified employees who understand and appreciate our culture and are able to represent our brand effectively and establish credibility with our business partners and customers. We and the IOs face intense competition for management personnel and hourly employees. If we and the IOs are unable to attract and retain adequate numbers of qualified employees, our operations, customer service levels and support functions could suffer. There is no assurance that we and the IOs will be able to attract or retain highly qualified employees to operate our business. This risk may be enhanced as we open certain of our store locations as Company-operated stores.
Additionally, we believe that our success depends to a significant extent on the skills, experience and efforts of our executive officers and other key personnel, and we do not maintain key person insurance on any of our key personnel. Due to the uniqueness of our model, the unexpected loss of services of any of our executive officers or other key personnel
could have a material adverse effect on our business and operations. In fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025, we completed thorough and external searches for several new executive officers, including a new Chief Financial Officer and a new President and Chief Executive Officer. We utilized interim officers to serve in such capacities for a period of time as well. Competition for skilled and experienced management in our industry is intense, and we may not be successful in the future in attracting and retaining qualified personnel on a timely basis or at all. If we lose the services of our executive officers or other key personnel, or if we are unable to attract, train, assimilate, and retain the highly skilled and other personnel that we need on a timely basis or at all, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Our success depends upon the successful implementation of our marketing, advertising and promotional efforts.
We promote brand awareness and drive customers to shop through centralized marketing initiatives along with local IO marketing efforts. We and the IOs use marketing and promotional programs to attract customers into our stores and to encourage purchases. If we or the IOs are unable to develop and implement effective marketing, advertising and promotional strategies, we may be unable to achieve and maintain brand awareness and repeat store visits. We may not be able to advertise cost effectively in new or smaller markets in which we have fewer stores, which could slow growth at such stores. Changes in the amount and degree of promotional intensity or merchandising strategies by our competitors could cause us to have difficulties in retaining existing customers and attracting new customers. If the efficacy of our marketing or promotional activities declines or if such activities of our competitors are more effective than ours, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
While we have a mobile personalization app which informs customers of new and top selling items, provides curated product recommendations and tracks savings, we do not maintain a traditional loyalty program for customers, and our competitors may be able to offer their customers promotions or loyalty program incentives that could result in fewer shopping trips to or purchases from our stores. If we are unable to retain the loyalty of our customers, our sales could decrease and we may not be able to grow our store base as planned, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Certain of our competitors have established, long-standing mobile apps and personalized marketing. There can be no assurance that our investment in this area will be successful.
Natural or man-made disasters, climate change, power outages, major health epidemics, pandemics, terrorist acts, global political events and other serious catastrophic events could disrupt our business, may expose us to unexpected costs and negatively affect our financial performance. The current concentration of our stores creates an exposure to local or regional impacts of such events and local economic downturns.
Our business has been and could in the future be severely impacted by natural or man-made disasters and unusual weather conditions (which may become more frequent due to climate change), power outages, major health epidemics, pandemics, terrorist acts, global political events and other serious catastrophic events beyond our control. In the event of a natural or man-made disaster, governments have and, in the future, may declare a state of emergency and impose regulations on business operations. These occurrences could adversely impact our business by causing direct asset or inventory losses or physical damage to our distribution centers or our stores, store closures, reduced customer traffic or changed shopping behaviors, disruptions to production, supply and delivery of products to our stores, staffing shortages, increased costs or disruptions to our information systems and other systems.
As of January 3, 2026, we operated 284 stores and distributed product from four distribution centers in California in addition to having our administrative offices in California, making California our largest market, representing 50% of our total stores. As a result, our business is currently more susceptible to any unforeseen events or circumstances of the types described above that negatively affect these areas as well as regional conditions, economic downturns or disruptions, such as changes in demographics, population and employee bases, wage increases, property tax increases, and changes in economic conditions, than the operations of more geographically diversified competitors. For example, there have been significant fires across the west coast of the United States over the last several years, causing a number of stores to be closed as well as suffer inventory losses related to power outages and evacuations. For example, in 2025, certain stores in Southern California were impacted by fires. The frequency and severity of wildfires may increase in the future due to climate change and man-made catastrophes may increase in the future as well.
The United States and other countries have experienced, and may experience in the future, major health epidemics and pandemics related to viruses or other pathogens. Epidemics or pandemics, or the perception that such epidemics or pandemics may occur, may cause people to avoid gathering in public places, which may adversely affect our customer traffic, our ability and that of our IOs to adequately staff our stores and operations, and our ability to transport product on a timely basis. Additionally, to the extent that a pathogen is, or is perceived to be, food-borne, the price and availability of certain food products may be impacted and could cause our customers to consume less of such product. For example, in 2024 our industry was impacted by the unexpected shortage in supply and rise in egg costs due to the Avian flu.
Furthermore, the long-term impacts of climate change are expected to be widespread and unpredictable. Climate change poses both physical risks (posed by extreme weather conditions, drought, and/or rising sea levels), and transition risks (posed by regulatory changes or reputational risks). These factors could, among other negative consequences, increase our energy costs, damage our stores or distribution centers, disrupt our supply chain, negatively impact our workforce or reputation, and increase compliance and technology costs. Any of these occurrences may disrupt our business and materially adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations and the occurrence of any of these events in a region where our stores or other operations are concentrated may increase the impact of such disruption and adverse effects.
We may incur losses not covered by our insurance or claims may differ from our estimates.
Our insurance coverage may not be sufficient, and any related insurance proceeds may not be timely paid to us. Our insurance coverage reflects deductibles, self-insured retentions, limits of liability and similar provisions that we believe are reasonable based on our operations. However, there are types of losses we may incur but against which we cannot be insured or which we believe are not economically reasonable to insure, such as losses due to acts of war, employee and certain other crime, certain wage and hour and other employment-related claims, including class actions, actions based on certain consumer protection laws and some natural and other disasters or similar events. If we incur these losses and they are material, our business could suffer. Further, injured parties with claims against our IOs may bring actions against us if our IOs failed to secure and retain adequate insurance.
We currently self-insure, or insure through captive insurance companies, a significant portion of expected losses under our workers' compensation, automobile liability and general liability insurance programs. Unanticipated changes in any applicable actuarial assumptions and management estimates, could result in materially different expenses than expected under these programs, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
Labor relation difficulties could materially adversely affect our business.
Employees at two Company-operated stores are represented by the United Food and Commercial Workers Union. Our employees and those of the IOs have the right at any time to form or affiliate with a union. As we continue to grow, enter different regions and operate distribution centers, unions may attempt to organize the employees of our different IOs or our distribution centers within certain regions. We may from time to time open or operate stores as Company-operated stores, and we are planning to open certain new stores in fiscal 2026 in this manner. As we do so, this may subject our stores to greater union organizing efforts than we have experienced in the past. We cannot predict the adverse effects that any future organizational activities will have on our business, financial condition and operating results. If we or the IOs were to become subject to work stoppages, we could experience disruption in our operations and increases in our labor costs, either of which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.
Our failure to participate effectively in the growing online retail marketplace may adversely affect our business.
While we have entered into partnerships with three third party grocery delivery companies to provide online shopping at our stores, certain of our competitors and a number of pure online retailers have established robust online operations and significantly increased their online sales and presence in recent years.
Increased competition from online grocery retailers and our lack of a robust online retail presence may reduce our customers' desire to purchase products from us. If we decide to expand our online shopping business, we will be exposed to new risks and challenges. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that any investments that we make to expand our online shopping capabilities will result in a positive return on investment. These factors could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We may, from time to time, pursue or consummate acquisitions and other transactions as part of our long-term business and real estate strategy. Any strategic acquisitions and other transactions may involve transaction and integration risks that could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations, and we may not realize the anticipated benefits of any consummated transaction.
From time to time, we may pursue or consummate acquisitions and other transactions, including material acquisitions, investments or joint venture transactions, as part of our business and real estate growth strategy to complement our current business by enhancing our customer base, geographic penetration and scale. For example, in 2024, we acquired United Grocery Outlet, which included 40 stores in six adjacent states where we did not then operate and a distribution center.
Identifying, assessing, consummating and integrating a strategic acquisition or other transaction is a complex, costly and time-consuming process that is subject to significant uncertainties and risks, which may divert the attention of the
management team and key personnel from our core business and adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations. Additionally, acquisitions and similar transactions may utilize significant liquidity and require additional equity or debt financing, and we may not have sufficient capital for our core business. The integration process also could result in: the loss of key employees; the disruption of our operations; complications in information technology and accounting systems, compliance standards, controls, and other procedures; difficulties in achieving anticipated cost savings, synergies, business opportunities and growth prospects from the acquisition; additional litigation, compliance or regulatory risks; and difficulties in the assimilation of employees and corporate cultures. These risks and uncertainties may impede our ability to successfully complete integrations following strategic acquisitions that we make, and we may choose to later divest businesses that we acquire. Any such sale of acquired assets could result in impairment of goodwill or assets, we may not be able to achieve a favorable return on our investment in the assets, and we may incur significant additional expenses in connection with any sales process. Even if a target company is successfully integrated, an acquisition may fail to further our business strategy as anticipated, adversely impact our reputation, lead to impairment of our purchased goodwill and intangible assets, and expose us to additional liabilities and risks (particularly if entering into new markets or businesses where we have no or limited experience). The foregoing risks may be heightened due to our limited history in consummating strategic acquisitions and other transactions, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Risks Related to Our Business Environment
Economic conditions and other economic factors may materially adversely affect our financial performance and other aspects of our business by negatively impacting our customers' disposable income or discretionary spending, increasing our costs and expenses, affecting our ability to plan and execute our strategic initiatives, and materially adversely affecting our sales, results of operations and performance.
General conditions in the United States and global economy that are beyond our control may materially adversely affect our business and financial performance. While we have not historically been materially adversely affected by periods of decreased consumer spending, any factor that could materially adversely affect the disposable income of our customers could decrease our customers' spending and number of trips to our stores, which could result in lower sales, increased markdowns on products, a reduction in profitability due to lower margins and may require increased selling and promotional expenses. These factors include but are not limited to unemployment, minimum wages, significant public health and safety events, government shutdowns, inflation and deflation, tariffs (including those currently announced or threatened, or that may be in the future), the threat, outbreak or escalation of terrorism, military conflicts, or other hostilities and related international sanctions, trade wars and interest and tax rates. For example, the U.S. Government shutdown during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 adversely impacted the disbursement of benefits from federally-funded assistance programs that many of our customers depend on, including SNAP.
Many of the factors identified above also affect commodity rates, costs of transportation, leasing, labor, insurance and healthcare, the strength of the U.S. dollar, measures that create barriers to or increase the costs associated with international trade, changes in laws, regulations and policies and other economic factors, all of which may impact our cost of goods sold and our selling, general and administrative expenses, which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. These factors could also materially adversely affect our ability to plan and execute our strategic initiatives, invest in and open new stores, prevent current stores from closing, and may have other material adverse consequences which we are unable to fully anticipate or control, all of which may materially adversely affect our sales, cash flow, results of operations and performance. We have limited or no ability to control many of these factors.
Our business and results of operations may be adversely affected by uncertainty and changes in U.S. trade policies, including tariffs, trade agreements or other trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. or other governments.
Our business and results of operations may be adversely affected by uncertainty and changes in U.S. trade policies, including tariffs, trade agreements or other trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. or other governments. For example, during 2025 the U.S. government imposed new tariffs on imports from various countries. Several tariff announcements have been followed by announcements of limited exemptions and temporary pauses. On February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the majority of the previously announced tariffs, and shortly thereafter the U.S. presidential administration issued an executive order invoking new global import tariffs. These actions have caused substantial uncertainty and volatility in financial markets and may result in retaliatory measures on U.S. goods.
Food retailers provide alternative options for consumers and compete aggressively to win those consumers; our failure to offer a compelling value proposition to consumers could limit our growth opportunities.
The retail food industry includes mass and discount retailers, warehouse membership clubs, online retailers, conventional grocery stores and specialty stores. These businesses provide alternative options for the consumers whom we aim to serve. Our success relative to these retailers is driven by a combination of factors, primarily product selection and quality, price, location, customer engagement and store format. Our success depends on our ability to differentiate ourselves and provide value to our customers, and our failure to do so may negatively impact our sales. To the extent that other food retailers lower prices or run promotions, our ability to maintain profit margins and sales levels may be negatively impacted. We and the IOs may have to increase marketing expenses to attract customers and may have to mark down prices to be competitive and not lose market share. This limitation may materially adversely affect our margins and financial performance.
Competition for customers has intensified as other discount food retailers, such as Aldi, Lidl and WinCo have moved into, or increased their presence in, our geographic and product markets. We expect this competition to continue to increase. In addition, we experience high levels of competition when we enter new markets. Some of the other food retailers may have been in the region longer and may benefit from enhanced brand recognition in such regions. Some food retailers may have greater financial or marketing resources than the IOs do and may be able to devote greater resources to sourcing, promoting and selling their products than the IOs. As competition in certain regions intensifies, or we move into new regions or other food retailers open stores in close proximity to our stores, we may experience a loss of sales, decrease in market share, reduction in margin from competitive price changes or greater operating costs.
Our private label brands may not be successful and may increase certain risks that we face.
We began to introduce private label products in our stores during the third quarter of fiscal 2024. While we continue to invest in developing and selling our own private labels, there can be no assurance that the performance of our private label products will be sufficient to offset the potential decreased sales of name-brand products. In addition, as we continue to invest in and deploy our private label products, we may become subject to various new risks and regulations including product liability claims, claims related to product labeling, claims related to rights of third parties and other risks associated with entities that source, sell and market exclusive private label offerings for retailers. Any failure to appropriately address some or all of these risks could have a material adverse effect on our sales, business, results of operations and financial condition.
Risks Related to Our IO Model
If we are unable to attract and retain qualified IOs, our financial performance may be negatively affected.
Our future growth and performance depend on our ability to attract, develop and retain qualified IOs who can effectively and efficiently run stores, understand and appreciate our culture and are able to represent our brand effectively, in particular because the vast majority of our IOs operate a single store. A material decrease in profitability of the IOs may make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified IOs. Our relationship with the IOs is an important part of our business. As discussed elsewhere in these risk factors, the store closures and termination of operator agreements associated with the Optimization Plan may harm our reputation with existing IOs as well as our ability to recruit and retain qualified AOTs.
While we use a variety of methods to attract and develop the IOs, including through our AOT program, there can be no assurance that we will continue to be able to recruit and retain a sufficient number of qualified AOTs and other candidates to open successful new locations in order to meet our growth targets. Our ability to maintain our current performance and achieve future growth additionally depends on the IOs' ability to meet their labor needs while controlling wage and labor-related costs. Stores in some of our markets are located in geographic areas where we have limited or no meaningful brand recognition, which can make store performance and IO recruitment more difficult.
If the IOs are not successful in managing their business, our financial results and brand image could be negatively affected.
The financial health and operational effectiveness of the IOs is critical to their and our success. The IOs are business entities owned by entrepreneurs who generally live in the same community as the store that they operate as our independent contractor. IOs are responsible for operating their store consistent with our brand standards, hiring and supervising store-level employees, merchandising and selling products, conducting local marketing, connecting with their community and complying with applicable laws, and managing and paying the expenses associated with their business. In recent years, the costs incurred for many IOs to run their businesses have increased, including insurance, utilities and labor costs.
Although we select IOs through a rigorous vetting and training process and continue to help IOs develop their business skills after they enter into an Operator Agreement with us, it is difficult to predict in advance whether a particular IO will be successful. If an IO is unable to successfully establish, manage and operate the store, their store's performance and quality of service could be materially adversely affected. In addition, any poor performance could negatively affect our financial results and our brand reputation.
Failure of the IOs to repay IO Notes outstanding to us may materially adversely affect our financial performance.
We extend financing to IOs for their initial startup costs in the form of IO Notes payable to us that bear interest at rates between 4.00% and 9.95%. There can be no assurance that any IO will achieve long-term store volumes or profitability that will allow them to repay any amounts due under outstanding IO Notes, nor is there any assurance that any IO will be able to repay such amounts due through other means.
The outstanding aggregate balance of notes receivable from IOs has increased over time as we have historically accelerated new store growth combined with increases to initial IO capital and working capital requirements. This balance may continue to increase as we open new stores. There were $57.5 million and $46.9 million of IO Notes outstanding as of January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024, respectively, with allowances of $14.3 million and $11.8 million as of January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024, respectively.
If the IOs are unable to avoid excess inventory shrink, our business and results of operations may be adversely affected.
The IOs order merchandise solely from us, which we, in turn, deliver to IOs on a consignment basis. As a result, we retain ownership of all merchandise until the point in time that merchandise is sold to a customer. The IOs, however, are responsible for inventory management at their stores. Any spoiled, damaged or stolen merchandise, markdowns or price changes impact gross profit and, therefore, IO commission. We generally split these losses equally with IOs, however, excessive levels of shrink are deducted from commissions paid to IOs. Excessive shrink generally indicates poor inventory management and the IO's failure to use due care to secure their store against theft. If IOs do not effectively control or manage inventory in their stores, they could experience higher rates of inventory shrink which could have a material adverse effect on their financial health, which in turn, may materially and adversely affect our business and results of operations.
Our Operator Agreements may be terminated by either party and upon short notice, and any loss or changeover of an IO may cause material business disruptions.
Each Operator Agreement is subject to termination by either party without cause upon no less than 75 days' notice. We may also terminate immediately "for cause." The "for cause" termination triggers include, among other things, a failure to meet our brand standards, misuse of our trademarks and actions that in our reasonable business judgment threaten to harm our business reputation.
If we or an IO terminates the Operator Agreement for a store that remains open, then we must approve a new IO for that store. Any IO changeover consumes substantial time and resources. Often, a changeover will involve more than one transition, as an IO may move from an existing store, thereby creating an opening at the IO's previous store. A failure to transition a store successfully to another IO can negatively impact the customer experience or compromise our brand standards. Termination of an Operator Agreement could therefore result in the reduction of our sales and operating cash flow, and may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Legal proceedings initiated against the IOs could materially impact our business, reputation, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We and the IOs are subject to a variety of litigation risks, including, but not limited to, individual personal injury, product liability, intellectual property, employment-related actions, litigation with or involving our relationship with IOs and property disputes and other legal actions in the ordinary course of our respective businesses. If the IOs are unable to provide an adequate remedy in a legal action, the plaintiffs may attempt to hold us liable. We maintain that under current applicable laws and regulations we are not joint employers with the IOs and should not be held liable for their actions. However, these types of claims may increase costs for us and our IOs and affect the scope and terms of insurance or indemnifications we and the IOs may have.
Our Operator Agreements require each IO to maintain certain insurance types and levels. Losses arising from certain extraordinary claims, hazards, employment matters or other matters, however, may not be covered, and insurance may not be available (or may be available only at prohibitively expensive rates) with respect to many other risks, or IOs may fail to procure the required insurance. Moreover, any loss incurred could exceed policy limits and policy payments made to IOs may not be made on a timely basis.
Any legal actions against the IOs may negatively affect the reputation of our brand, which could result in a reduction of our sales and operating cash flow, which could be material and which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In the past, certain business models that use independent contractors to sell directly to customers have been subject to challenge under various laws, including laws relating to franchising, misclassification and joint employment. If our business model is determined to be a franchise, if IOs are found not to be independent contractors, but our employees, or if we are found to be a joint employer of an IO's employees, our business and operations could be materially adversely affected.
The IOs are independent contractors. Independent contractors and the companies that engage their services have come under increased legal and regulatory scrutiny in recent years as courts have adopted new standards for these classifications and federal legislators continue to introduce legislation concerning the classification of independent contractors as employees, including legislation that proposes to increase the tax and labor penalties against employers who intentionally or unintentionally misclassify employees as independent contractors and are found to have violated employees' overtime or wage requirements. Federal and state tax and other regulatory authorities and courts apply a variety of standards in their determination of independent contractor status. For example, the California state legislature enacted AB-5, which became effective in California on January 1, 2020. AB-5 codified a new test for determining worker classification that is much narrower than the traditional standard in defining the scope of who is classified as an independent contractor. There has been limited guidance to date regarding interpretation or enforcement, and there is a significant degree of uncertainty regarding its application. In addition, AB-5 has been the subject of widespread national discussion, and it is possible that other jurisdictions may enact similar laws. There is a risk that a governmental agency or court could disagree with our assessment that IOs are independent contractors or that other laws and regulations could change. If any IOs were determined to be our employees, we would incur additional exposure under federal and state tax, workers' compensation, unemployment benefits, labor, employment, environmental and tort laws, which could potentially include prior periods, as well as potential liability for employee benefits and tax withholdings.
Even if IOs are properly classified as independent contractors, there is a risk that a governmental agency or court might disagree with our assessment that each IO is the sole employer of its workers and seek to hold us jointly and separately responsible as a co-employer of an IO's workers. In this case, we would incur additional exposure under federal and state tax, workers' compensation, unemployment benefits, labor, employment and tort laws, which could potentially include prior periods, as well as potential liability for employee benefits and tax withholdings since joint employers are each separately responsible for their co-employees' benefits. A misclassification ruling would mean that both IOs and IOs' employees are our employees.
We continue to observe and monitor our compliance with current applicable laws and regulations, but we cannot predict whether laws and regulations adopted in the future, or standards adopted by the courts, regarding the classification of independent contractors will materially adversely affect our business or operations. Further, if we were to become subject to franchise laws or regulations, it would require us to provide additional disclosures, register with state franchise agencies, impact our ability to terminate our Operator Agreements and may increase the expense of, or adversely impact our recruitment of new IOs.
Our success depends on our ability to maintain positive relationships with the IOs and any failure to maintain our relationships on positive terms could materially adversely affect our business, reputation, financial condition and results of operations.
The IOs develop and operate their stores under terms set forth in our Operator Agreements. These agreements give rise to relationships that involve a complex set of mutual obligations and depend on mutual cooperation and trust. We have a standard Operator Agreement that we use with the IOs, which contributes to uniformity of brand standards. We generally have positive relationships with the IOs, based in part on our common understanding of our mutual rights and obligations under the Operator Agreement. However, we and the IOs may not always maintain a positive relationship or always interpret the Operator Agreement in the same way. Our failure to maintain positive relationships with the IOs could individually or in the aggregate cause us to change or limit our business practices, which may make our business model less attractive to the IOs or stockholders or more costly to operate. Active and/or potential disputes with IOs could damage our brand image and reputation.
The success of our business depends in large part on our ability to maintain IOs in profitable stores. If we fail to maintain our IO relationships on acceptable terms, or if one or more of the more profitable IOs were to terminate their Operator Agreements, become insolvent or otherwise fail to comply with brand standards, our business, reputation, financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected.
The IOs could take actions that could harm our business.
The IOs are contractually obligated to operate their stores in accordance with the brand standards set forth in the Operator Agreements. However, IOs are independent contractors whom we do not control. The IOs operate and oversee the daily operations of their stores and have sole control over all of their employees and other workforce decisions. As a result, IOs make decisions independent of us that bear directly on the ultimate success and performance of their store. Nevertheless, the nature of the brand license creates a symbiotic relationship between our outcome and each IO. Because we and each of the IOs associate our separate businesses with the Grocery Outlet name and brand reputation, the failure of any IO to comply with our brand standards could potentially have repercussions that extend beyond that IO's own market area and materially adversely affect not only our business, but the business of other IOs and the general brand image and reputation of the Grocery Outlet name. This, in turn, could materially and adversely affect our business and operating results. If any particular IO operates a store in a manner inconsistent with our brand standards, there can be no assurances that we will be able to terminate the Operator Agreement of that IO without disruptions to the operations and sales of that IO's store or other stores.
Risks Related to Our Information Technology Systems, Data Protection and Cybersecurity
Any material challenges or difficulties in maintaining or updating our existing technology, including developing or implementing new technology could have a material adverse effect on our business or results of operations.
We modify, update and replace our systems and infrastructure from time to time, including by adding new hardware, software and applications; maintaining, updating or replacing legacy programs; converting to global systems; integrating new service providers; and adding enhanced or new functionality, such as cloud computing technologies. In late August 2023, we replaced our internally-developed legacy applications with a customized enterprise resource planning system, including our financial ledger, purchasing, inventory management and reporting platforms as well as integrations with our warehouse and store systems. The implementation of these system upgrades resulted in significant disruption to our business operations, including ordering and inventory disruptions, as well as payment processing, which adversely impacted our results of operations during the remainder of fiscal 2023 through fiscal 2024 and into fiscal 2025. If we experience future disruptions from these or similar activities, such events could have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, results of operations, financial condition and/or cash flows.
Further, the time, staffing and other resources required to implement or optimize the benefits of new technology initiatives, or potential issues that arise in implementing such initiatives, could reduce the efficiency of our operations in the short term. The efficient operation and successful growth of our business depend upon our information systems, including our ability to operate, maintain and develop them effectively. A failure of those systems could disrupt our business, subject us to liability, damage our reputation, or otherwise impact our financial results.
Any failure to maintain the security of information we hold relating to personal information or payment card data of our customers, employees and suppliers, whether as a result of cybersecurity attacks or otherwise, could subject us to litigation, government enforcement actions and costly response measures, and could materially disrupt our operations and harm our reputation and sales.
In the ordinary course of business, we and the IOs collect, store, process, use and transmit confidential business information and certain personal information relating to customers, employees and suppliers. All customer payment data is encrypted, and we do not store such data in our systems. We rely in part on commercially available systems, software, hardware, services, tools and monitoring to provide security for collection, storage, processing and transmission of personal and/or confidential information. It is possible that cyber attackers might compromise our security measures and obtain the personal and/or confidential information of the customers, employees and suppliers that we hold or our business information.
Moreover, an employee, contractor or third party with whom we work or to whom we outsource business operations may fail to monitor their or our systems effectively, may fail to maintain appropriate safeguards, may misuse the personal and/or confidential information to which they have access, may attempt to circumvent our security measures, may purposefully or inadvertently allow unauthorized access to our or their systems or to personal and/or confidential information or may otherwise disrupt our business operations. We and our customers could suffer harm if valuable business data or employee, customer and other proprietary information were corrupted, lost or accessed or misappropriated by third parties due to a security failure in our systems or those of our suppliers or service providers. It could require significant expenditures to remediate any such failure or breach, severely damage our reputation and our relationships with customers and suppliers, result in unwanted media attention and lost sales and expose us to risks of litigation and liability. In addition, as a result of recent security breaches and ransomware attacks at a number of prominent retailers, the media and public scrutiny of information security and privacy has become more intense and the regulatory environment has
become increasingly uncertain, rigorous and complex. As with most companies, we have experienced cyber-attacks, attempts to breach our systems and other similar incidents, none of which were material in fiscal 2024 or fiscal 2025. As a result, we have incurred significant costs and will continue to incur such costs to monitor and safeguard our systems. We may incur significant costs if there is an unauthorized disclosure of personal information and we may not be able to comply with new regulations.
In addition, various federal, state and foreign legislative and regulatory bodies, or self-regulatory organizations, may expand current laws or regulations, enact new laws or regulations or issue revised rules or guidance regarding privacy, data protection, information security and consumer protection. For example, the California Consumer Privacy Act ("CCPA"), which became effective on January 1, 2020, established a new privacy framework for covered businesses. In November 2021, California voters passed Proposition 24, also known as the California Privacy Rights Act ("CPRA"), which amends and expands the CCPA. The CCPA and CPRA provide new and enhanced data privacy rights to California residents, such as giving California consumers and employees the right to access and/or delete their personal information, affording consumers and employees the right to opt out of certain sales of personal information, as well as sharing for cross context behavioral advertising, and prohibiting covered businesses from discriminating against consumers (e.g., charging more for services) for exercising any of their CCPA/CPRA rights. The CPRA went into effect January 1, 2023 and added definitions for "sensitive information" as well as "contractors," and bolstered the requirements for agreements that cover the exchange of data. CPRA also established a California Privacy Protection Agency, which is responsible for enforcement activities, rulemaking, and public awareness related to privacy and data protection. Any failure to comply with the laws and regulations surrounding the protection of personal information, privacy and data security could subject us to legal and reputational risks and costs, including significant fines for non-compliance, any of which could have a negative impact on revenues and profits.
Because we and the IOs accept payments using a variety of methods, including cash and checks, credit and debit cards, EBT cards and gift cards, we may be subject to additional rules, regulations, compliance requirements and higher fraud losses. For certain payment methods, we or the IOs pay interchange and other related card acceptance fees, along with additional transaction processing fees. We and the IOs rely on third parties to provide payment transaction processing services, including the processing of credit cards, debit cards, EBT cards and gift cards, and it could disrupt our business if these companies become unwilling or unable to provide these services to us, experience a data security incident or fail to comply with applicable laws, rules and industry standards.
We are also subject to payment card association operating rules, including data security rules, certification requirements and rules governing electronic funds transfers, which could change over time. For example, we and the IOs are subject to Payment Card Industry Data Security Standards, which contain compliance guidelines and standards with regard to our security surrounding the physical and electronic storage, processing and transmission of individual cardholder data. In addition, if our internal systems are breached or compromised, we and the IOs may be liable for card re-issuance costs, subject to fines and higher transaction fees and lose our ability to accept credit and/or debit card payments from our customers, and our business and operating results could be materially adversely affected.
Security breaches and other disruptions to our information technology networks and systems, including a disruption related to cybersecurity, could interfere with our operations and the operations of the IOs and our suppliers, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial performance.
Cyber-attacks are rapidly evolving and becoming more frequent. Such threats and the means for obtaining access to information in digital and other storage media are becoming increasingly sophisticated and may not immediately produce signs of intrusion. A cyber-incident could be caused by malicious outsiders (including state-sponsored espionage or cyberwarfare) or insiders using sophisticated methods to circumvent firewalls, encryption and other security defenses. Because techniques used to obtain unauthorized access or to sabotage systems change frequently and generally are not recognized until they are launched against a target, we may be unable to anticipate these techniques or to implement adequate preventative measures. With more employees working remotely at times, there may be increased opportunities for unauthorized access and cyber-attacks.
It is possible that cyber attackers might compromise our security measures and obtain the personal and/or confidential information of the customers, IOs, employees and suppliers that we hold or our business information. Moreover, such cyber-attacks may disrupt access to our and/or our suppliers' networks and systems. Such disruptions could result in delays or cancellations of customer orders or delays or interruptions in the shipment of orders. In addition, cyber-attacks may cause us to incur significant remediation costs, result in delays and disruptions to key business operations, and divert the attention of management and key information technology resources. These cyber-incidents could also subject us to liability, expose us to significant expense, and cause significant harm to our reputation and our business. Additionally, we are exposed to vulnerabilities with respect to our IO's information technology systems.
We rely on the integrity, security and consistent operation of a variety of information technology systems and back-up systems for the efficient functioning of our business, including point of sale, inventory management, purchasing, financials, logistics, accounts payable and human resources information systems. Such systems are subject to damage or interruption from power outages, facility damage, computer and telecommunications failures, computer viruses, cybersecurity breaches, cyber-attacks (including malicious codes, worms, phishing and denial of service attacks and ransomware), software upgrade failures or code defects, natural disasters and human error. Damage or interruption to, or defects of design related to, these systems or the integration of such systems may require a significant investment to fix or replace, and we may suffer disruptions in our operations in the interim, loss or corruption of critical data and negative publicity, all of which could have a material adverse effect on our business or results of operations. Although we have taken steps designed to reduce the risk of these events occurring, there can be no guarantee that we or a third party on which we rely will not suffer one of these events. While we maintain cyber risk insurance intended to provide coverage in the event of a breach or other data security incident, there can be no assurance that these policies will cover all incidents that might occur or that the coverage limits under such policies will be adequate for any incidents, claims or damages that we might experience.
Legal and Regulatory Risks
Real or perceived concerns that products we and the IOs sell could cause unexpected side effects, illness, injury or death could expose us to lawsuits and harm our reputation, which could result in unexpected costs.
As discussed under "Regulations" in "Item 1. Business," we and the IOs are subject to regulation by various federal agencies. If our products do not meet applicable safety standards or our customers' expectations regarding safety, we could experience lost sales, increased costs, litigation or reputational harm. Any lost confidence on the part of our customers would be difficult and costly to reestablish. Issues regarding the quality or safety of any food items sold by us, regardless of the cause, could have a substantial and adverse effect on our sales and operating results, as well as our reputation.
There is increasing governmental scrutiny, regulation of and public awareness of food safety. Unexpected side effects, illness, injury or death caused by products we and the IOs sell or involving suppliers that supply us with products could result in the discontinuance of sales of these products or our relationship with such suppliers or prevent us from achieving market acceptance of the affected products. As we introduce more private label products into our stores, we may become subject to various new risks and regulations including claims related to food safety, product liability, product labeling and other risks associated with entities that source, sell and market exclusive private label offerings for retailers. We cannot be sure that consumption or use of our products will not cause side effects, illness, injury or death in the future, as product deficiencies might not be identified before we sell such products to our customers.
We also may be subject to claims, lawsuits or government investigations relating to such matters resulting in costly product recalls and other liabilities that could materially adversely affect our business and results of operations. Even if a product liability claim is unsuccessful or is not fully pursued, negative publicity could materially adversely affect our reputation with existing and potential customers and our corporate and brand image, and these effects could persist over the long term. Any claims brought against us may exceed our existing or future insurance policy coverage or limits. Any judgment against us that is in excess of our policy limits would have to be paid from our cash reserves, which would reduce our capital resources. Further, we may not have sufficient capital resources to pay a judgment, in which case our creditors could levy against our assets.
We are subject to laws and regulations generally applicable to retailers. Compliance with, failure to comply with, or changes to such laws and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial performance.
Our business is subject to numerous and frequently changing federal, state and local laws and regulations. We routinely incur significant costs in complying with these regulations. The complexity of the regulatory environment in which we and the IOs operate and the related cost of compliance are increasing due to additional legal and regulatory requirements, our expanding operation and increased enforcement efforts and the future application of certain of these legal requirements to our business may be uncertain. New or existing laws, regulations and policies, liabilities arising thereunder and the related interpretations and enforcement practices, particularly those dealing with environmental protection and compliance, climate change, wage and hour and other employment-related laws, taxation, zoning and land use, workplace safety, public health, community right-to-know, product safety or labeling, food safety, alcohol and beverage sales, vitamin and supplements, information security and privacy, among others, may result in significant added expenses or may require extensive system and operating changes that may be difficult to implement and/or could materially increase our cost of doing business. For example, we or the IOs have had to comply with recent new laws in many of the states or counties in which we operate regarding recycling, waste, minimum wages, sick time, vacation, plastic bag and straw bans and sugar taxes. In addition, we and the IOs are subject to environmental laws, including but not limited to hazardous waste laws, and
regulations related to refrigeration and stormwater, pursuant to which we and/or the IOs could be strictly and jointly and severally liable, regardless of our knowledge of or responsibility.
Approximately 9% of sales in fiscal 2025 were in the form of EBT payments and a substantial portion of these payments may be related to benefits associated with the SNAP. Accordingly, changes in EBT regulations by the U.S. Department of Agriculture or in SNAP benefits by Congress could adversely affect our financial performance. Further, the U.S. Government shutdown during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 adversely impacted the disbursement of benefits from federally-funded assistance programs that many of our customers depend on, including the SNAP. The registration and ongoing compliance requirements for SNAP participation are fairly complex and each of the IOs holds their registration under the name of their business entity and is responsible for ensuring their employees consistently comply with all SNAP rules. Failure to comply can result in de-registration by USDA which, for stores located in areas with high percentages of SNAP customers, can have a significant negative financial impact. In addition, any future prolonged government shutdown could delay our ability to register and participate in SNAP for future new stores that we open.
There can be no assurances that we or the IOs will comply promptly and fully with all laws, regulations, policies and the related interpretations that apply to our stores. Untimely compliance or noncompliance with applicable regulations or untimely or incomplete execution of a required product recall, can result in the imposition of penalties (including loss of licenses, eligibility to accept certain government benefits such as SNAP or significant fines or monetary penalties), civil or criminal liability, damages, class action litigation or other litigation, in addition to reputational damage. Even with adequate insurance and indemnification, any claims of non-compliance could significantly damage our reputation and consumer confidence in the products we sell. In addition, the failure of such products to comply with applicable regulatory and legislative requirements could prevent us from marketing the products or require us to recall or remove such products from our stores.
Legal proceedings from customers, suppliers, employees, governments or competitors could materially impact our business, reputation, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
From time to time, we are subject to allegations and may be party to legal claims and regulatory proceedings, relating to our business operations. Such allegations, claims and proceedings may be brought by third parties, including our customers, suppliers, employees, governmental or regulatory bodies or competitors, and may include class actions. In recent years, companies have experienced an increase in the number of significant discrimination and harassment and wage and hour claims generally. The outcome of litigation, particularly class action lawsuits, is difficult to assess or quantify. Plaintiffs in these types of lawsuits may seek recovery of very large or indeterminate amounts, and the magnitude of the potential loss relating to such lawsuits may remain unknown for substantial periods of time. While our IOs and suppliers may indemnify us for certain adverse outcomes, we may still bear significant expenses related to such proceedings. Further, while we and the IOs maintain insurance for a variety of potential claims and losses, our and our IOs' insurance coverage may not be sufficient and any related insurance proceeds may not be timely paid to us or to the IOs.
Risks Associated with Our Indebtedness
Our substantial indebtedness could materially adversely affect our financial condition and our ability to operate our business, react to changes in the economy or industry or pay our debts and meet our obligations under our debt and could divert our cash flow from operations for debt payments.
We entered into a Credit Agreement on February 21, 2023 with Bank of America, N.A. (the "2023 Credit Agreement") under which we have a significant amount of indebtedness. The 2023 Credit Agreement provides for senior secured credit facilities consisting of (i) a senior secured term loan facility of $300.0 million, of which $273.8 million was outstanding as of January 3, 2026, and (ii) a senior secured revolving credit facility of $400.0 million, of which $220.0 million was outstanding in aggregate as of January 3, 2026 and $174.9 million was available after giving effect to outstanding letters of credit.
The 2023 Credit Agreement matures on February 21, 2028. There can be no assurance that we will be able to pay or refinance the amounts outstanding upon maturity or that other equity or debt financing will be available to us or, if available, the terms will be satisfactory to us and not dilutive to our then-current stockholders.
In addition, subject to limited restrictions in our 2023 Credit Agreement, we may be able to incur substantial additional debt in the future.
Our substantial debt could have important consequences, including the following:
•it may be difficult for us to satisfy our obligations, including debt service requirements under our outstanding debt, resulting in possible defaults on and acceleration of such indebtedness;
•we may be unable to obtain additional financing or refinance our existing debt on commercially reasonable terms, or at all;
•a substantial portion of cash flow from operations may be dedicated to debt payments, reducing cash available to fund operations, capital expenditures, business opportunities, acquisitions and other purposes;
•we may need to refinance our debt, sell material assets or operations or raise additional debt or equity capital to service our debt and meet our other commitments;
•we are more vulnerable to economic downturns and adverse industry conditions and our flexibility to plan for, or react to, changes in our business or industry is more limited; and
•our ability to capitalize on business opportunities and to react to competitive pressures, as compared to our competitors, may be compromised.
Our ability to make payments on our debt and to fund planned capital expenditures depends on our ability to generate cash in the future, which to some extent is subject to general economic, financial, competitive, legislative, regulatory and other factors that are beyond our control. If we incur additional debt above the levels currently in effect, including utilizing the availability under our revolving credit facility, the risks associated with our leverage, including those described above, would increase.
Furthermore, all of our debt under our 2023 Credit Agreement bears interest at variable rates. If these rates were to increase significantly, as they did in fiscal 2022, whether because of an increase in market interest rates or otherwise, our ability to borrow additional funds may be reduced and the risks related to our substantial debt would intensify.
Restrictive covenants in our 2023 Credit Agreement may restrict our ability to pursue our business strategies, and failure to comply with any of these restrictions could result in acceleration of our debt.
The operating and financial restrictions and covenants in our 2023 Credit Agreement may materially adversely affect our ability to finance future operations or capital needs or to engage in other business activities. Such restrictions and covenants limit our ability, among other things, to:
•incur additional debt or issue certain preferred shares;
•pay dividends on or make distributions in respect of our common stock or make other restricted payments;
•make certain investments;
•sell certain assets;
•create liens on certain assets to secure debt;
•consolidate, merge, sell or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of our assets;
•make certain payments in respect of certain junior debt obligations;
•enter into certain transactions with our affiliates; and
•designate one or more of our subsidiaries as an unrestricted subsidiary.
A breach of any of these covenants could result in a default under our 2023 Credit Agreement. Upon the occurrence of an event of default under our 2023 Credit Agreement, the lenders could elect to declare all amounts outstanding under our 2023 Credit Agreement to be immediately due and payable and terminate all commitments to extend further credit. If we were unable to repay those amounts, these lenders could proceed against the collateral granted to them to secure that indebtedness. We have pledged a significant portion of our assets as collateral to secure our 2023 Credit Agreement. Our future operating results may not be sufficient to enable compliance with the financial performance covenants in our 2023 Credit Agreement, and we may not have sufficient assets to repay amounts outstanding under our 2023 Credit Agreement. In addition, in the event of an acceleration of our debt upon a default, we may not have or be able to obtain sufficient funds to make any accelerated payments.
Furthermore, the terms of any future indebtedness we may incur could have further additional restrictive covenants. We may not be able to maintain compliance with these covenants in the future, and in the event that we are not able to maintain compliance, there can be no assurances that we will be able to obtain waivers from the lenders or amend the covenants.
Risks Related to Accounting, Tax and Financial Statement Matters
Tax matters, including changes in tax laws, our ability to use deferred tax assets, and the impact of tax audits, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We are subject to taxes in the United States under federal, state and local jurisdictions in which we operate. We compute our income tax provision based on enacted federal and state tax rates. The governing tax laws and applicable tax rates vary by jurisdiction and are subject to interpretation and macroeconomic, political and other factors. For example, the recent changes in the U.S. Presidential administration and Congress may lead to tax law changes. Further, the ultimate amount of tax payable in a given financial statement period may be impacted by sudden or unforeseen changes in tax laws, changes in the mix and level of earnings by taxing jurisdiction, or changes to existing accounting rules or regulations. Accordingly, the determination of our overall provision for income tax and other taxes is inherently uncertain as it requires significant judgment around complex transactions and calculations. As a result, fluctuations in our ultimate obligations may differ materially from amounts recorded in our financial statements and could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations in the periods where such determination is made.
In addition, an increasing number of states and local jurisdictions are considering or have adopted laws that impose new tax measures, including revenue-based taxes and other tax measures. Should similar tax measures succeed in other jurisdictions in which we operate, we expect that our operating expenses will increase.
As of January 3, 2026, we had tax-effected Federal and State net operating loss deferred tax assets of $33.5 million and $1.5 million, respectively. Our ability to use our deferred tax assets is dependent on our ability to generate future earnings within the operating loss carry-forward periods. The Federal net operating loss deferred tax asset does not expire and will carry forward indefinitely. The State net operating loss deferred tax assets will expire beginning in 2035. Some or all of our deferred tax assets could expire unused if we are unable to generate taxable income in the future sufficient to utilize the deferred tax asset, or we enter into transactions that limit our right to use it. If a material portion of our deferred tax asset expires unused, it could have a material adverse effect on our future business, results of operations, financial condition and the value of our common stock. Furthermore, we are required by accounting rules to periodically assess our deferred tax assets for a valuation allowance, if necessary. In performing these assessments, we use our historical financial performance to determine whether we have potential valuation allowance concerns and as evidence to support our assumptions about future financial performance. A significant decline in our financial performance could negatively affect the results of our assessments of the recoverability of our deferred tax assets. A valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets could be material and could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
We may be subject to examinations in the future by federal, state and local authorities on income, employment, sales and other tax matters which may result in assessments of additional taxes. Various tax authorities may disagree with tax positions we take and if any such tax authorities were to successfully challenge one or more of our tax positions, the results could adversely affect our financial condition. We may engage in litigation regarding such matters, which may be time-consuming and expensive and may not be successful. While we regularly assess the likelihood of adverse outcomes resulting from such examinations and the adequacy of our provision for taxes, there can be no assurance that such provision is sufficient and that a determination by a tax authority would not have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Changes in accounting rules or interpretations thereof, changes to underlying legal agreements as well as other factors applicable to our analysis of the IO entities as variable interest entities could significantly impact our ability to issue our financial statements on a timely basis.
In accordance with the variable interest entities sub-section of Accounting Standards Codification Topic 810, Consolidation, we assess during each of our reporting periods whether we are considered the primary beneficiary of a variable interest entity ("VIE") and therefore are required to consolidate the VIE in our financial statements. We have concluded that the IO entities represent VIEs. However, we have concluded we are not such VIE's primary beneficiary and, accordingly, we do not consolidate the IO entities' financial information. Changes in accounting rules or interpretations thereof, changes to the underlying Operator Agreements (as defined elsewhere in this report) as well as other factors that may impact the economic performance of the IO entities which may be relevant to our analysis of whether to consolidate the IO entities as VIEs could significantly impact our ability to issue our financial statements on a timely basis if, as a result, we are determined to be the primary beneficiary of the IO entities and should consolidate such entities. For example, collecting the requisite accounting data from certain of our IO entities in order to consolidate their financial information would involve substantial time, effort and cost.
Risks Related to Our Common Stock
Our quarterly operating results fluctuate and may fall short of prior periods, our projections or the expectations of securities analysts or investors. The market price of our common stock has been volatile and may continue to fluctuate substantially, due to fluctuations in our operating results or otherwise, which could result in substantial losses for purchasers of our common stock.
Our operating results have fluctuated from quarter to quarter at points in the past and they may do so in the future. Therefore, results of any one fiscal quarter are not a reliable indication of results to be expected for any other fiscal quarter or for any year. If we fail to control costs, appropriately adjust costs to actual results, increase our results over prior periods, achieve our projected results, or meet the expectations of securities analysts or investors, our stock price may decline, and the decrease in the stock price may be disproportionate to the shortfall in our financial performance.
During fiscal 2025, our common stock has traded at prices as low as $9.74 and as high as $19.41. The market price volatility of our common stock may continue due to fluctuations in our quarterly operating results or in response to other factors (regardless of our actual operating performance) included in this Risk Factors section and due to the following:
•changes in expectations as to our future financial performance, including guidance, if any, that we provide to the public, any changes in this guidance or our failure to meet this guidance, investment recommendations by securities analysts and investors or if securities analysts do not publish research or reports about our business;
•declines in the market prices of stocks generally, changes in general economic or market conditions or trends in our industry or markets;
•strategic actions or announcements by us, our competitors or other third parties;
•changes in business or regulatory conditions;
•additions or departures of key management personnel;
•investor perceptions of the investment opportunity associated with our common stock relative to other investment alternatives;
•actions instituted by activist shareholders or others; and
•the development and sustainability of an active trading market for our stock.
Price volatility may be greater if the public float and trading volume of our common stock are low. In the past, following periods of market volatility, stockholders have instituted securities class action litigation. If we are involved in securities litigation, it could have a substantial cost and divert resources and the attention of executive management from our business regardless of the outcome of such litigation.
Furthermore, we currently do not expect to declare any dividends on our common stock in the foreseeable future. In addition, because we are a holding company, our ability to pay dividends on our common stock may be limited by restrictions on our ability to obtain sufficient funds through dividends from our subsidiaries, including restrictions under our Credit Agreement, and may be further restricted by the terms of any future debt or preferred securities. Accordingly, the only opportunity to achieve a return on an investment in our common stock currently is if the price of our common stock appreciates.
Future sales, or the perception of future sales, by us or our existing significant stockholders in the public market could cause the market price for our common stock to decline.
Future sales of shares of our common stock by our existing significant stockholders in the public market, or the perception that such sales could occur, could harm the prevailing market price of shares of our common stock and might make it more difficult for us to sell equity securities in the future at a time and at a price that we deem appropriate.
In the future, we may also issue our securities in connection with investments or acquisitions. The amount of shares of our common stock issued in connection with an investment or acquisition could constitute a material portion of our then-outstanding shares of our common stock. Further, any issuance of additional equity securities by us may result in additional dilution to you.
Provisions in our organizational documents could delay or prevent a change of control.
Certain provisions of our amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing a merger, acquisition, tender offer, takeover attempt or other change of control transaction that a stockholder might consider to be in its best interest, including attempts that might result in a premium over the market price of our common stock.
These provisions provide for, among other things:
•the ability of our Board to issue one or more series of preferred stock with powers, preferences and rights that may be senior or on parity with our common stock, which may reduce its value and could have the effect of impeding the success of an attempt to acquire us or otherwise effect a change of control;
•advance notice for nominations of directors by stockholders and for stockholders to include matters to be considered at stockholder meetings; and
•certain limitations on convening special stockholder meetings.
These provisions could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire us, even if the third-party's offer may be considered beneficial by many of our stockholders. As a result, our stockholders may be limited in their ability to obtain a premium for their shares.
Our amended and restated bylaws provide, subject to limited exceptions, that the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware and, to the extent enforceable, the federal district courts of the United States of America will be the sole and exclusive forums for certain stockholder litigation matters, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers or employees.
Our amended and restated bylaws provide, subject to limited exceptions, that unless we consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware shall, to the fullest extent permitted by law, be the sole and exclusive forum for any (i) derivative action or proceeding brought on behalf of our company, (ii) action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any director, officer or other employee of our company to the Company or our stockholders, (iii) action asserting a claim against the Company or any director, officer or other employee of the Company arising pursuant to any provision of the Delaware General Corporation Law, or the DGCL, or our amended and restated certificate of incorporation or our amended and restated bylaws or as to which the DGCL confers jurisdiction on the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware or (iv) action asserting a claim against the Company or any director, officer or other employee of the Company governed by the internal affairs doctrine. These provisions shall not apply to suits brought to enforce a duty or liability created by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") or any other claim for which the federal courts have exclusive jurisdiction. Unless we consent in writing to the selections of an alternative forum, the federal district courts of the United States of America shall be the exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action arising under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), subject to and contingent upon a final adjudication in the State of Delaware of the enforceability of such exclusive forum provision. Any person or entity purchasing or otherwise acquiring any interest in shares of our capital stock shall be deemed to have notice of and consented to the forum provisions in our amended and restated bylaws.
These choice of forum provisions may limit a stockholder's ability to bring a claim in a different judicial forum, including one that it may find favorable or convenient for disputes with us or any of our directors, officers or other employees which may discourage lawsuits with respect to such claims. Alternatively, if a court were to find the choice of forum provisions that will be contained in our amended and restated bylaws to be inapplicable or unenforceable with respect to one or more of the specified types of actions or proceedings, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could harm our business, operating results and financial condition.