Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with Item 1., Business, and the Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Form 10-K. The following information contains forward-looking statements which involve certain risks and uncertainties. See Forward-Looking Statements at the beginning of this Form 10-K. Any reference to sales refers to net sales inclusive of allowances and deductions against gross sales for variable consideration and consideration payable to customers.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is segregated into four sections, including:
•Executive overview — provides a summary of our operating performance and cash flows, industry trends, and our strategic initiatives.
•Critical accounting estimates — describes the accounting areas where management makes critical estimates to report our financial condition and results of operations.
•Results of operations — an analysis of the company’s consolidated results of operations for Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024 as presented in the Consolidated Financial Statements. Refer to the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 28, 2024 for a discussion of the results of operations for Fiscal 2024 compared to Fiscal 2023.
•Liquidity, capital resources and financial position — analyzes cash flow, contractual obligations, and certain other matters affecting the company’s financial position.
MATTERS AFFECTING COMPARABILITY
The company operates on a 52-53 week fiscal year ending the Saturday nearest December 31. Fiscal 2025 consisted of 53 weeks and Fiscal 2024 consisted of 52 weeks. Fiscal 2026 will consist of 52 weeks. Furthermore, comparative results from quarter to quarter are impacted by the company's fiscal reporting calendar. Internal financial results and key performance indicators are reported on a weekly basis to ensure the same number of Saturdays and Sundays in comparable months to allow for consistent four-week progression analysis. This results in our first quarter consisting of sixteen weeks while the remaining three quarters have twelve weeks (except in cases where there is an extra week every five or six years in the fourth quarter). Accordingly, interim results may not be indicative of subsequent interim period results, or comparable to prior or subsequent interim period results, due to differences in the lengths of the interim periods.
Additionally, detailed below are expense items affecting comparability that will provide additional context while reading this discussion:
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Fiscal 2025 |
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Fiscal 2024 |
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Footnote |
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53 weeks |
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52 weeks |
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Disclosure |
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(Amounts in thousands) |
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Business process improvement costs |
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$ |
3,368 |
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$ |
4,529 |
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Note 2 |
Restructuring charges |
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6,083 |
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|
|
7,403 |
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Note 5 |
Restructuring-related implementation costs |
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|
19,529 |
|
|
|
2,979 |
|
|
Note 5 |
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets |
|
|
7,397 |
|
|
|
10,310 |
|
|
Note 2 |
Impairment of intangible assets |
|
|
135,981 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
Note 2, 10 |
Acquisition and integration-related costs |
|
|
17,904 |
|
|
|
2,008 |
|
|
Note 6 |
Loss on inferior ingredient |
|
|
2,657 |
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— |
|
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Note 2 |
Legal settlements and related costs |
|
|
902 |
|
|
|
3,800 |
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|
Note 23 |
Pension plan settlement loss |
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— |
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|
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241 |
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|
Note 21 |
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|
$ |
193,821 |
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|
$ |
31,270 |
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Business process improvement costs related to the transformation strategy initiatives. In the second half of Fiscal 2020, we launched initiatives to transform our business, including an upgrade to our information system, as well as investments in e-commerce, autonomous planning, and our “bakery of the future” initiatives. These initiatives are further discussed in Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K. Implementation of the ERP upgrade is anticipated to be completed in Fiscal 2027. The expensed portion of costs incurred related to these initiatives, which was primarily consulting costs, was $3.4 million in Fiscal 2025 and $4.5 million in Fiscal 2024, and is reflected in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Restructuring charges and related implementation costs. During the first quarter of Fiscal 2025, we began a review of our cost-to-serve focused on improving efficiencies and identifying cost reduction opportunities. Based on this review, we announced a restructuring program in the third quarter of Fiscal 2025 and incurred costs for employee termination benefits related to a reduction-in-force ("RIF") of $5.5 million and made payments of $4.8 million during Fiscal 2025. The RIF charges are included in the restructuring charges line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income. In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025, we began a comprehensive review of our brands, operations, and financial strategy. Although this review is in the early stages, as discussed in the Impairment of intangible assets section below, it resulted in the impairment of two regional brands in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025. This aligns with our strategy to optimize our brand portfolio and invest in our national brands and key product categories. Additionally, during Fiscal 2025, the company incurred $19.5 million of consulting costs to implement these transformative programs and these costs are included in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income. We anticipate additional restructuring charges and related costs in subsequent quarters.
In April 2024, the company announced a cost savings program to improve operational performance, which included employee termination benefits associated with a reduction-in-force ("RIF") and other expense optimization initiatives. During Fiscal 2024, the company incurred RIF costs of $7.4 million and made payments of $7.3 million. The company incurred final RIF charges of $0.6 million and made the final payments of $0.7 million in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025. The company also incurred consulting costs associated with implementing the restructuring program in Fiscal 2024 which are included in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets. On February 12, 2025, the company announced the closure of its Bailey Street Bakery located in Atlanta, Georgia. The bakery produced bread and bun products and ceased production on April 16, 2025. This bakery closure is part of our strategy to optimize capacity within our supply chain. Closure costs included equipment asset impairment charges and equipment relocation costs of $6.1 million and severance costs of $1.3 million and were recognized in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of Fiscal 2025, the company classified the bakery as held for sale. These costs and the costs below are included as a separate line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
On July 18, 2024, the company announced the closure of its Baton Rouge, Louisiana bakery. The bakery produced bun products and ceased production on September 19, 2024. This bakery closure is part of our strategy to optimize capacity within our supply chain. The facility continues to be used as a distribution center. The company recognized severance costs of $1.1 million and asset impairment and equipment relocation charges of $2.4 million in Fiscal 2024. Additionally, in Fiscal 2024, the company recorded charges totaling $2.7 million to fully impair certain ERP-related software and other equipment, and recognized a recovery of $1.3 million related to the sale of equipment that had been previously written off in Fiscal 2022 as part of the Phoenix, Arizona bakery closure. In Fiscal 2024, the company also recorded asset impairment charges of $1.4 million to write off certain cake distribution territories classified as held for sale that the company no longer intends to sell and $4.0 million related to its investment in an unconsolidated affiliate, Base Culture.
Impairment of intangible assets. In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025, concurrent with the company's annual planning process, the company performed an assessment of its finite-lived brands and determined two of its regional brands were impaired based on their current and expected future performance. As a result of this assessment, the company recorded an impairment charge of $136.0 million. The company intends to continue to use these two trademarks for the foreseeable future but on a more limited basis, including eliminating certain stock-keeping-units, as it intends to focus on growing its national brands. These costs are included as a separate line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Acquisition and integration-related costs. On February 21, 2025, the company completed the acquisition of Simple Mills, maker of a premium brand of better-for-you crackers, cookies, snack bars, and baking mixes, for total consideration of approximately $848.6 million. The goodwill, taxes, and certain other assets and liabilities are still under review. The company funded the cash consideration and related acquisition fees and expenses with the net proceeds of the Notes (as defined below) offerings completed on February 14, 2025. We incurred acquisition and integration-related costs as detailed in the table above and these costs are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Loss on inferior ingredients. In Fiscal 2025, the company recognized $2.7 million of identifiable and measurable costs associated with product losses. These product losses resulted from inferior coconut sugar and cashew flour used in certain of Simple Mills' products due to tiny fragments of metal present in the ingredients and from the presence of gluten in certain of Canyon Bakehouse's gluten-free products. We are not currently able to estimate any future anticipated losses and we continue to seek recovery of all losses through appropriate means. These costs are included as a separate line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Legal settlements and related costs. In the first and second quarters of Fiscal 2025, we reached agreements to settle certain distributor-related litigation for total settlement payments, inclusive of plaintiffs' attorney fees, of $2.1 million. In the third quarter of Fiscal 2023, we reached an agreement to settle certain distributor-related litigation for a settlement payment, inclusive of plaintiffs’ attorney fees, of $55.0 million which was paid in the second quarter of Fiscal 2024. The settlement also required a phased repurchase of approximately 350 distribution territories in California and the company previously estimated this cost, along with the cost to repurchase approximately 50 other California distribution territories that are not part of the settlement, to be approximately $80.2 million. The repurchases of the distribution rights commenced at the end of the first quarter of Fiscal 2024 and were completed early in the second quarter of Fiscal 2025 for a total cost of $79.0 million. The company recognized an adjustment to the repurchase liability of $1.2 million in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025.
In the third and fourth quarters of Fiscal 2024, we reached agreements to settle certain distributor-related litigation in the aggregate amount of $2.2 million, inclusive of plaintiffs’ attorney fees. Additionally, in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2024, we reached an agreement to settle certain non-distributor-related litigation in the amount of $1.6 million.
All amounts related to legal settlements and related costs are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income and there were no amounts accrued as of January 3, 2026.
Pension plan settlement loss. Retired and terminated vested pension plan participants not yet receiving their benefit payments have the option to receive their benefit as a single lump sum payment. In the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2024, a settlement charge of $0.2 million was triggered as a result of lump sum distributions paid in Fiscal 2024 and this amount is included in the other components of net periodic pension and postretirement benefit plans credit line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
We are the second-largest producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the U.S. with Fiscal 2025 sales of $5.3 billion. We operate in the highly competitive fresh bakery market and the acquisition of Simple Mills, completed on February 21, 2025, expands our presence in the better-for-you snacking category. Our product offerings include a wide range of fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items (bars, cakes, cookies, and crackers), bagels, English muffins, tortillas and baking mixes, as well as frozen breads and rolls, which we produce at 44 plants in 19 states. Our products are sold under leading brands such as Nature’s Own, DKB, Canyon Bakehouse, Simple Mills, Wonder, and Tastykake. See Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K for additional information regarding our customers and brands, business strategies, strengths and core competencies, and competition and risks.
Impact of the Inflationary Economic Environment and Other Macroeconomic Factors on Our Business
We continue to monitor the impact of a variety of factors on our business, including the impact of the inflationary economic environment on our costs and the buying patterns of our consumers, supply chain disruptions, including the impacts of tariffs (including retaliatory tariffs), increased labor costs, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the current instability in the Middle East, as further discussed in Item 1., Business, of this Form 10-K.
Summary of Operating Results, Cash Flows and Financial Condition:
Sales increased 3.0% in Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024 due to the acquisition contribution (excluding the 53rd week) of 4.1% and the benefit of the additional week of 1.7%, partially offset by volume declines of 2.0% and negative price/mix of 0.8%. Branded Retail sales increased 6.2% due to the acquisition contribution (excluding the 53rd week) of 6.4%. Sales in the Other sales category decreased 2.7%. Both sales categories experienced negative price/mix and softer volumes due to a challenging consumer environment which was partially offset by the benefit of the additional week. Weakness in both the fresh packaged bread and cake categories negatively impacted our sales.
Income from operations for Fiscal 2025 was $174.0 million compared to $348.3 million in Fiscal 2024. The decrease resulted primarily from the impairment of intangible assets of $136.0 million, greater outside purchases of product due to the Simple Mills acquisition, increased workforce-related costs, higher rent expenses, and greater restructuring-related implementation costs and acquisition and integration-related costs. These higher costs were partially offset by lower distributor distribution fees and ingredient costs.
Net income was $83.8 million for Fiscal 2025 compared to $248.1 million in the prior year. The decrease year over year resulted primarily from lower income from operations, as described above, increased interest expense from funding the acquisition, and a higher effective tax rate.
In Fiscal 2025, we generated net cash flows from operations of $446.2 million, paid $791.9 million of the total consideration of approximately $848.6 million for the Simple Mills acquisition, and invested $127.1 million in capital expenditures (inclusive of $3.4 million for the ongoing ERP upgrade). Additionally, we increased our indebtedness by $739.9 million and paid $209.3 million in dividends to our shareholders. Our cash and cash equivalents balance as of January 3, 2026 was $12.1 million. In Fiscal 2025, we entered into a $500.0 million five-year senior unsecured revolving credit facility (the "new credit facility") which refinanced and replaced our existing credit facility (the "previous credit facility"). We also issued $500.0 million aggregate principal amount of 5.750% Senior Notes (the "2035 Notes") and $300.0 million aggregate principal amount of 6.200% Senior Notes (the "2055 Notes"). Furthermore, we amended the accounts receivable repurchase facility (the "repurchase facility") to, among other things, extend the scheduled facility expiration date to April 14, 2027.
In Fiscal 2024, we generated net cash flows from operations of $412.7 million and invested $132.1 million in capital expenditures (inclusive of $6.0 million for the ongoing ERP upgrade). Additionally, we made $22.7 million in stock repurchases and paid $203.0 million in dividends to our shareholders in Fiscal 2024.
Refer to the Capital Structure section below for additional information on the company's financial condition.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The company’s discussion and analysis of its results of operations and financial condition are based upon the Consolidated Financial Statements of the company, which have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. The preparation of these financial statements requires the company to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of the revenues, expenses, and cash flows during the reporting period. On an ongoing basis, the company evaluates its estimates, including those related to customer programs and incentives, bad debts, raw materials, inventories, long-lived assets, leased assets, intangible assets, income taxes, restructuring, pensions and other post-retirement benefits, and contingencies and litigation. The company bases its estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates.
The selection and disclosure of the company’s critical accounting estimates have been discussed with the company’s audit committee. Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K includes a summary of the significant accounting policies and methods used in the preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements. The following table lists, in no particular order of importance, areas of critical assumptions and estimates used in the preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements. Additional detail can be found in the following notes:
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Critical Accounting Estimate |
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Note |
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Revenue recognition |
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— |
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Derivative financial instruments |
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11 |
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Business combinations |
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6 |
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Long-lived assets |
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10 |
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Goodwill |
|
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10 |
|
Leases |
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14 |
|
Self-insurance reserves |
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23 |
|
Income tax expense and accruals |
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22 |
|
Postretirement plans |
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21 |
|
Stock-based compensation |
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19 |
|
Commitments and contingencies |
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23 |
|
Revenue Recognition. Revenue is recognized when obligations under the terms of a contract with our customers are satisfied. Revenue is measured as the amount of consideration we expect to receive in exchange for transferring goods. Revenues are recognized net of variable consideration provisions such as for returns, volume discounts and sales promotion expenses that result in uncertainty about the company’s ability to collect the amount. The company estimates the amount of variable consideration to be included in the transaction price at contract inception based on one of two approaches: the expected value approach (the “EV” approach) or the most-likely amount (the “MLA”) approach. The EV approach identifies possible outcomes of the contract and the probabilities of those outcomes. The MLA approach is used in cases when the company expects to be entitled to only one of the two possible outcomes. The company applies the approach consistently for similar types of contracts and updates the estimated transaction price at each reporting date. Consideration payable to a customer is recognized at the time control transfers and is a reduction to revenue. Estimates are made based on historical experience and other factors.
Derivative Financial Instruments. The company’s cost of certain raw materials is highly correlated to underlying commodities markets. Raw materials, such as our baking ingredients, experience price fluctuations. If actual market conditions become significantly different than those anticipated, raw material prices could increase significantly, adversely affecting our results of operations. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other derivative financial instruments qualifying for hedge accounting to manage the impact of volatility in raw material prices. The company measures the fair value of its derivative portfolio using fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in the principal market for that asset or liability. When quoted market prices for identical assets or liabilities are not available, the company bases fair value on internally developed models that use current market observable inputs, such as exchange-quoted futures prices and yield curves. Refer to Item 7A., Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk, of this Form 10-K for additional information about our derivative financial instruments, including sensitivity analyses of the company’s potential exposure to commodity price risk.
Business Combinations. The company’s acquisitions of businesses are accounted for in accordance with ASC 805, “Business Combinations.” The company recognizes the identifiable assets acquired, the liabilities assumed, and any noncontrolling interests in an acquired business at their fair values as of the date of acquisition. Goodwill is measured as the excess of the consideration transferred, also measured at fair value, over the net of the acquisition date fair values of the identifiable assets acquired and liabilities assumed. The acquisition method of accounting requires us to make significant estimates and assumptions regarding the fair values of the elements of a business combination as of the date of acquisition, including the fair values of identifiable intangible assets, property, plant, and equipment, deferred tax asset valuation allowances, liabilities including those related to debt, pensions and other postretirement plans, uncertain tax positions, contingent consideration, and contingencies. This method also requires us to refine these estimates over a measurement period not to exceed one year to reflect new information obtained about facts and circumstances that existed as of the acquisition date that, if known, would have affected the measurement of the amounts recognized as of that date. If we are required to adjust provisional amounts that we have recorded for the fair values of assets and liabilities in connection with acquisitions, these adjustments could have a material impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Significant estimates and assumptions in estimating the fair value of customer relationships, trademarks, non-compete agreements, distributor relationships, and other identifiable intangible assets include future cash flows that the company expects to generate from the acquired assets, discount rate, customer attrition rate, and long-term revenue growth projections. Projecting discounted future cash flows requires the company to make significant estimates regarding projected revenues, projected earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins, discount rates, royalty rate and customer attrition rates. If the subsequent actual results and updated projections of the underlying business activity change compared with the assumptions and projections used to develop these values, the company could record impairment charges. In addition, the company has estimated the economic lives of certain acquired assets and these lives are used to calculate depreciation on property, plant, and equipment and amortization expense on definite-lived intangible assets. If the estimates of the economic lives change, depreciation or amortization expenses could be increased or decreased, or the acquired asset could become impaired.
For leases acquired in a business combination, the company measures the lease liability at the present value of the remaining lease payments, as if the acquired lease were a new lease of the company at the acquisition date. When the implicit rate in the acquired lease is not readily determinable, the company calculates the lease liabilities using discount rates based upon the company’s applicable incremental borrowing rate. An assessment of the certainty associated with the exercise of any lease renewal, termination, and purchase options included in the acquired lease contracts is also performed. The company measures the right-of-use asset at the same amount as the lease liability as adjusted to reflect favorable or unfavorable terms of the lease when compared with market terms.
Impairment of Long-Lived, Intangible, and Other Assets. Assumptions and estimates used in the evaluation of potential impairment can result in adjustments affecting the carrying values of long-lived, intangible, and other assets and the recognition of impairment expense in the company’s consolidated financial statements. The company evaluates its long-lived assets (property, plant and equipment), definite-lived intangible assets, and other assets (including right-of-use lease assets, notes receivable, and equity) for impairment whenever indicators of impairment exist, or when it commits to sell the asset. If the sum of the undiscounted expected future cash flows from a long-lived asset or definite-lived intangible asset group is less than the carrying value of that asset group, an asset impairment charge is recognized. Key assumptions and estimates used in the projection of expected future cash flows generally include price levels, sales growth, profit margins and asset life. Future adverse changes, such as decisions to discontinue or significantly reduce the use of certain brands, in market conditions or poor operating results of these underlying assets could result in losses or an inability to recover the carrying value of the asset that may not be reflected in the asset’s current carrying value, thereby possibly requiring impairment charges in the future. The amount of an impairment charge, if any, is calculated as the excess of the asset’s carrying value over its fair value, generally represented by the discounted future cash flows from that asset or, in the case of assets the company evaluates for sale, estimated sale proceeds less costs to sell. The company takes into consideration historical data and experience together with all other relevant information available when estimating the fair values of its assets. However, fair values that could be realized in actual transactions may differ from the estimates used to evaluate impairment. In addition, changes in the assumptions and estimates may result in a different conclusion regarding impairment. Impairment charges recorded in Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024 are discussed above in the “Matters Affecting Comparability” section.
Impairment of Goodwill. The company assesses goodwill for impairment annually during the fourth quarter, or from time to time when warranted by the facts and circumstances surrounding individual reporting units or the company as a whole. The company completed its most recent annual goodwill impairment testing during the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025 and analyzed certain qualitative and quantitative factors in determining whether a goodwill impairment existed. Flowers has concluded it has two operating segments and two reporting units, legacy Flowers Foods and Simple Mills. As Simple Mills shares similar economic characteristics with legacy Flowers Foods, we aggregate Simple Mills and legacy Flowers Foods as one operating segment for the purpose of determining our one reportable segment. We have elected not to perform the qualitative approach, but instead perform a quantitative analysis by comparing the fair value of each of the reporting units with which the goodwill is associated to the carrying amount of the respective reporting unit. If the fair value is less than the carrying value, the goodwill is written down to the extent the carrying amount exceeds the fair value.
When performing a quantitative analysis, the company estimates the fair value of its reporting units using a weighted average of the income and market approaches. Under the income approach, the company uses a discounted cash flow model based on projections of future years’ operating results and associated cash flows. The company’s assessments reflected a number of significant management assumptions and estimates including the: (a) weighted average cost of capital; (b) forecasted sales growth rates; (c) forecasted EBITDA margins; and (d) market multiples (not applicable to the income approach). Changes in these assumptions could materially impact the company’s conclusions. Based on its assessments, the company concluded that there was no impairment of goodwill for either of its reporting units.
The company’s assessments, whether qualitative or quantitative, incorporate management’s expectations for the future, including forecasted growth rates and/or margin improvements. Therefore, should there be changes in the relevant facts and circumstances and/or expectations, management’s conclusions regarding goodwill impairment may change as well.
In considering the level of uncertainty regarding the potential for goodwill impairment, management has concluded that any such impairment would, in most cases, likely be the result of adverse changes in more than one assumption. Management considers the assumptions used to be its best estimates across a range of possible outcomes based on available evidence at the time of the assessment. Other than in the Simple Mills reporting unit there is no specific singular event or single change in circumstances management has identified that it believes could reasonably result in a change to the expected future results in the legacy Flowers Foods reporting unit that would be significant enough to result in goodwill impairment. In the case of Simple Mills, the lower differential between the fair value and carrying value of the reporting unit is due to the acquisition (in February 2025), at which time the majority of assets and liabilities acquired were recorded at fair value. In management’s opinion, a change of such magnitude would more likely be the result of changes to some combination of the factors identified above, a general deterioration in competitive position, significant unexpected changes in customer preferences, an inability to pass through significant raw material cost increases, and other such items as identified in “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Although no reporting units failed the annual impairment test, in management’s opinion, the goodwill balance of the Simple Mills reporting unit is at risk of impairment in the near term if the reporting unit’s operation does not perform in line with management’s expectations, or if there is a negative change in the long-term financial outlook for the reporting unit or in other factors such as the particular discount rates used. Total goodwill associated with the Simple Mills reporting units was $367.9 million at January 3, 2026.
Leases. The company’s leases consist of the following types of assets: bakeries, corporate office space, warehouses, bakery equipment, office equipment, transportation, and IT equipment. The company uses the applicable incremental borrowing rate at lease commencement to perform the lease classification tests on lease components and to measure the lease liabilities and right-of-use assets in situations when discount rates implicit in leases cannot be readily determined.
Self-Insurance Reserves. We are self-insured for various levels of general liability, auto liability, workers’ compensation, and employee medical and dental coverage. Insurance reserves are calculated on a combination of an undiscounted basis based on actual claims data and estimates of incurred but not reported claims developed utilizing historical claims trends. Projected settlements of incurred but not reported claims are estimated based on pending claims, historical trends, industry trends related to expected losses and actual reported losses, and key assumptions, including loss development factors and expected loss rates. Though the company does not expect them to do so, actual settlements and claims could differ materially from those estimated. Material differences in actual settlements and claims could have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Income Tax Expense and Accruals. The annual tax rate is based on our income, statutory tax rates, and tax planning opportunities available to us in the various jurisdictions in which we operate. Changes in statutory rates and tax laws in jurisdictions in which we operate may have a material effect on the annual tax rate. The effect of these changes, if any, would be recognized as a discrete item upon enactment.
Deferred income taxes arise from temporary differences between the tax and financial statement recognition of revenues and expenses. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured based on the enacted tax rates that will apply in the years in which the temporary differences are expected to be recovered or paid.
Our income tax expense, deferred tax assets and liabilities, and reserve for uncertain tax benefits reflect our best assessment of future taxes to be paid in the jurisdictions in which we operate. The company records a valuation allowance to reduce its deferred tax assets if we believe it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred assets will not be realized. While the company considers future taxable income and ongoing prudent and feasible tax strategies in assessing the need for a valuation allowance, when and if these estimates and assumptions change, the company has and may be required in the future to adjust its valuation allowance, which could result in a charge to, or an increase in, income in the period such determination is made.
Periodically, we face audits from federal and state tax authorities, which can result in challenges regarding the timing and amount of income or deductions. We provide reserves for potential exposures when we consider it more likely than not that a taxing authority may take a sustainable position on a matter contrary to our position. We evaluate these reserves on a quarterly basis to ensure that they have been appropriately adjusted for events, including audit settlements that may impact the ultimate payment of such potential exposures. While the ultimate outcome of audits cannot be predicted with certainty, we do not currently believe that current or future audits will have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition or results of operations. The company is no longer subject to federal examination for years prior to Fiscal 2022, and with limited exceptions, for years prior to 2021 in state jurisdictions.
Postretirement Plans. The company sponsors a defined benefit pension plan for union employees, the Flowers Foods, Inc. Retirement Plan No. 2 ("Plan No. 2"), and a frozen nonqualified plan covering former Tasty executives. The company records pension costs and benefit obligations related to its defined benefit plans based on actuarial valuations. These valuations reflect key assumptions determined by management, including the discount rate, expected long-term rate of return on plan assets and mortality.
We use a spot rate approach (granular method) to estimate the service cost and interest cost components of benefit cost by applying the specific spot rates along the yield curve to the relevant projected cash flows, as we believe this provides the best estimate of service and interest costs.
The pension plan’s investment committee, which consists of certain members of management, establishes investment guidelines and regularly monitors the performance of the plan’s assets. The investment committee is responsible for executing these strategies and investing the pension assets in accordance with ERISA and fiduciary standards. The investment objective of the pension plan is to preserve the plan’s capital and maximize investment earnings within acceptable levels of risk and volatility. The investment committee meets on a regular basis with its investment advisors to review the performance of the plan’s assets. Based upon performance and other measures and recommendations from its investment advisors, the investment committee rebalances the plan’s assets to the targeted allocation when considered appropriate. For the details of our pension plan assets, see Note 21, Postretirement Plans, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K.
In developing the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets at each measurement date, the company considers the plan assets’ historical actual returns, targeted asset allocations, and the anticipated future economic environment and long-term performance of the individual asset classes, based on the company’s investment strategy. While appropriate consideration is given to recent and historical investment performance, the assumption represents management’s best estimate of the long-term prospective return. Further, pension costs do not include an explicit expense assumption, and therefore the return on assets rate reflects the long-term expected return, net of expenses. Based on these factors, the long-term rate of return assumption for Plan No. 2 is set at 5.3% for Fiscal 2026.
The company utilizes the Society of Actuaries’ (“SOA”) published mortality tables and improvement scales in developing their best estimates of mortality. In October 2019, the SOA published its final report on their “standard” mortality table (“Pri-2012”). For purposes of measuring pension benefit obligations of Plan No. 2, the company used the Pri-2012 base table with blue collar adjustment, and 117.1% multiplier, and a projection scale of MP-2021. No other collar adjustments are applied for any other plans. In addition, contingent annuitant mortality rates are applied for surviving spouses after the death of the original retiree.
The company determines the fair value of substantially all of its plans’ assets utilizing market quotes rather than developing “smoothed” values, “market related” values, or other modeling techniques. Plan asset gains or losses in a given year are included with other actuarial gains and losses due to remeasurement of the plans’ projected benefit obligations (“PBO”). If the total unrecognized gain or loss exceeds 10% of the larger of (i) the PBO or (ii) the market value of plan assets, the excess of the total unrecognized gain or loss is amortized over the expected average remaining service period of active covered employees (or average future lifetime of participants if the plan is inactive or frozen). Prior service cost or credit, which represents the effect on plan liabilities due to plan amendments, is amortized over the average remaining service period of active covered employees (or average future lifetime if the plan is inactive or frozen).
In Fiscal 2026, the company does not expect to make any cash contributions to Plan No. 2 and expects to pay $0.2 million in pension benefits from corporate assets to its nonqualified plan.
Stock-based compensation. Stock-based compensation expense for all share-based payment awards granted is determined based on the grant date fair value. The company recognizes these compensation costs net of an estimated forfeiture rate, and recognizes compensation cost only for those shares expected to vest on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period of the award, which is generally the vesting term of the share-based payment award.
We grant performance stock awards that separately have a market and performance condition. The expense computed for the total shareholder return shares (“TSR”) is fixed and recognized on a straight-line basis over the vesting period. The expense computed for the return on invested capital (“ROIC”) shares can change depending on the expected attainment of performance condition goals. The expense for the ROIC shares can be within a range of 0% to 125% of the target for awards granted in Fiscal 2023 and earlier and 0% to 150% for awards granted subsequent to Fiscal 2023. There is a possibility that this expense component will change in subsequent quarters depending on how the company performs relative to the ROIC target. Additionally, there are time-based stock awards that generally vest over a period of three years using the straight-line attribution method. See Note 19, Stock-Based Compensation, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K for additional information. In early Fiscal 2026, the company granted stock awards to certain employees. The company expects stock-based compensation expense for Fiscal 2026 will be approximately $4.0 million to $6.0 million higher than Fiscal 2025. This estimate is inclusive of an additional $2.5 million to $3.0 million of expense anticipated to be recognized in the first quarter of Fiscal 2026 due to the payout for the Fiscal 2024 grant currently trending at 150% of target since the grant date. Additionally, the company anticipates a shortfall of approximately $5.0 million to $7.0 million on the vesting of stock-based compensation awards that will vest in Fiscal 2026.
Commitments and contingencies. The company and its subsidiaries from time to time are parties to, or targets of, lawsuits, claims, investigations and proceedings, including personal injury, commercial, contract, environmental, antitrust, product liability, health and safety and employment matters, including lawsuits related to the independent distributors, which are being handled and defended in the ordinary course of business. Loss contingencies are recorded at the time it is probable an asset is impaired or a liability has been incurred and the amount can be reasonably estimated. For litigation claims, the company considers the degree of probability of an unfavorable outcome and the ability to make a reasonable estimate of the loss. Losses are recorded in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
Results of Operations
Consolidated Results - Fiscal 2025 compared to Fiscal 2024
The company’s results of operations, expressed as a percentage of sales, are set forth below for Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024:
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of Sales |
|
|
Increase (Decrease) |
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
|
Dollars |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
53 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
53 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands, except percentages) |
|
Net sales |
|
$ |
5,256,479 |
|
|
$ |
5,103,487 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
$ |
152,992 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
|
Materials, supplies, labor and other production costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization shown separately below) |
|
|
2,687,585 |
|
|
|
2,577,220 |
|
|
|
51.1 |
|
|
|
50.5 |
|
|
|
110,365 |
|
|
|
4.3 |
|
Selling, distribution, and administrative expenses |
|
|
2,075,368 |
|
|
|
2,001,052 |
|
|
|
39.5 |
|
|
|
39.2 |
|
|
|
74,316 |
|
|
|
3.7 |
|
Restructuring charges |
|
|
6,083 |
|
|
|
7,403 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
(1,320 |
) |
|
|
(17.8 |
) |
Plant closure costs and impairment of assets |
|
|
7,397 |
|
|
|
10,310 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
(2,913 |
) |
|
|
(28.3 |
) |
Impairment of intangible assets |
|
|
135,981 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2.6 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
135,981 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
Loss on inferior ingredients |
|
|
2,657 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2,657 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
167,427 |
|
|
|
159,210 |
|
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
8,217 |
|
|
|
5.2 |
|
Income from operations |
|
|
173,981 |
|
|
|
348,292 |
|
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
|
6.8 |
|
|
|
(174,311 |
) |
|
|
(50.0 |
) |
Other components of net periodic pension and postretirement benefit plans credit |
|
|
(381 |
) |
|
|
(273 |
) |
|
|
(0.0 |
) |
|
|
(0.0 |
) |
|
|
(108 |
) |
|
|
39.6 |
|
Interest expense, net |
|
|
59,294 |
|
|
|
19,623 |
|
|
|
1.1 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
|
|
|
39,671 |
|
|
|
202.2 |
|
Income before income taxes |
|
|
115,068 |
|
|
|
328,942 |
|
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
(213,874 |
) |
|
|
(65.0 |
) |
Income tax expense |
|
|
31,243 |
|
|
|
80,826 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
(49,583 |
) |
|
|
(61.3 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
83,825 |
|
|
$ |
248,116 |
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
$ |
(164,291 |
) |
|
|
(66.2 |
) |
Comprehensive income |
|
$ |
75,868 |
|
|
$ |
254,325 |
|
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
$ |
(178,457 |
) |
|
|
(70.2 |
) |
Percentages may not add due to rounding.
Sales
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
53 weeks |
|
|
52 weeks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
% |
|
|
$ |
|
|
% |
|
|
% Change |
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Branded Retail |
|
$ |
3,462,854 |
|
|
|
65.9 |
|
|
$ |
3,259,267 |
|
|
|
63.9 |
|
|
|
6.2 |
|
Other |
|
|
1,793,625 |
|
|
|
34.1 |
|
|
|
1,844,220 |
|
|
|
36.1 |
|
|
|
(2.7 |
) |
Total |
|
$ |
5,256,479 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
$ |
5,103,487 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
|
(The table above presents certain sales by category that have been reclassified from amounts previously reported to conform to the current period presentation.)
The change in sales was attributable to the following:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage point change in sales attributed to: |
|
Branded Retail |
|
|
Other |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
Favorable (Unfavorable) |
|
Pricing/Mix^* |
|
|
(0.5 |
) |
|
|
(1.7 |
) |
|
|
(0.8 |
) |
Volume* |
|
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
|
(2.0 |
) |
Acquisition (excluding the impact of Week 53) |
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
4.1 |
|
Week 53 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
1.7 |
|
Total percentage point change in net sales |
|
|
6.2 |
|
|
|
(2.7 |
) |
|
|
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
^ Includes sales reductions from variable consideration and payments to customers. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* Computations above are calculated as follows (the Total column is consolidated and is not adding the Branded Retail and Other columns): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price/Mix $ = Current fiscal year units x change in price per unit |
|
Price/Mix % = Price/Mix $ ÷ Prior fiscal year Net Sales $ |
|
|
|
Volume $ = Prior fiscal year price per unit x change in units |
|
Volume % = Volume $ ÷ Prior fiscal year Net Sales $ |
|
The company disaggregates its sales into two categories, Branded Retail and Other. These categories align with our brand-focused strategy to drive above-market growth via innovation and focusing on higher margin products. The Other category includes store branded retail and non-retail sales (foodservice, restaurant, institutional, vending, thrift stores, and contract manufacturing).
Sales increased year over year due to the Simple Mills acquisition contribution and the benefit of the extra week in Fiscal 2025 partially offset by softer volumes and negative price/mix in both sales categories. Weakness in the fresh packaged bread category, particularly for traditional loaf breads, and, to a lesser extent, in the away-from-home market largely resulted in the volume declines. Lower store branded sales also contributed to the volume declines. The overall negative price/mix was partially offset by improvements in our foodservice price/mix from executing our portfolio optimization strategies beginning in the second quarter of the prior year. Additionally, we implemented price increases on certain branded retail products in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025. Due to the challenging consumer environment, our promotional activity increased year over year, targeting differentiated products.
We anticipate our Fiscal 2026 sales will be lower than Fiscal 2025 due to the additional week in Fiscal 2025 and continued weakness in the fresh packaged bread category. The sales benefit from the Simple Mills acquisition contribution (acquired on February 21, 2025), growth in more differentiated products, including Simple Mills' products, and the benefit of price increases implemented in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025 are anticipated to partially offset the sales decrease.
Branded Retail Sales
Branded Retail sales increased 6.2% compared to the prior year due to the Simple Mills acquisition contribution and the benefit of the additional week, partially offset by volume declines and unfavorable price/mix. Volumes were negatively impacted by weakness in the fresh packaged bread category with the largest declines in sales of traditional loaf products. Volume growth in organic, Keto, and cake items partially offset the decrease. The company introduced Wonder cake in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025. Other recent product introductions include Nature's Own protein loaf, small loaves, and Keto buns and multi-grain loaf as well as, DKB sandwich rolls and snack bites, and Wonder bagels and English muffins. Price/mix was unfavorable primarily due to increased targeted promotional activity and, to a lesser extent, a shift in mix to greater branded retail cake sales and the addition of smaller loaf sizes.
The Simple Mills acquisition has increased our investment in the better-for-you category and their branded snack items, combined with the DKB organic snack bars and bites, further diversifies our exposure beyond the fresh packaged breads and buns category. The DKB snack bites were rolled out nationally during Fiscal 2025, and at the end of Fiscal 2025, we introduced three varieties of DKB organic breakfast bars and expanded our line of protein bars, snack bars, and snack bites.
Other Sales
Sales in the Other category decreased 2.7% due to softer volumes for both store branded retail and non-retail sales and unfavorable price/mix, partially offset by the benefit of the additional week. Store branded retail sales decreased due to softer volumes, most notably for cake items, and to a lesser extent negative price/mix, net of the benefit of the additional week. Our non-retail sales experienced softer volumes for foodservice and institutional sales, partly offset by growth in contract manufacturing. Foodservice price/mix improved from optimization of that business subsequent to the first quarter of Fiscal 2024, but was offset by negative price mix for other non-retail sales.
Materials, Supplies, Labor, and Other Production Costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization shown separately; as a percent of sales)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line item component |
|
Fiscal 2025 % of sales |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 % of sales |
|
|
Change as a % of sales |
|
Ingredients and packaging |
|
|
28.0 |
|
|
|
29.4 |
|
|
|
(1.4 |
) |
Workforce-related costs |
|
|
14.5 |
|
|
|
14.6 |
|
|
|
(0.1 |
) |
Other |
|
|
8.6 |
|
|
|
6.5 |
|
|
|
2.1 |
|
Total |
|
|
51.1 |
|
|
|
50.5 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
|
The increase in materials, supplies, labor and other production costs as a percent of sales year over year primarily resulted from greater outside purchases of product (sales with no associated ingredient costs) and lower sales price/mix, partially offset by lower ingredient costs. Lower production volumes also contributed to the increase and we expect this trend to continue due to weakness in the fresh packaged bread category. Outside purchases of product, which are included in the Other line item in the table above, largely relate to purchases of Simple Mills products, all of which are co-manufactured, and to a lesser extent certain DKB and other products. We expect a continued increase in outside purchases of product due to anticipated growth in sales of Simple Mills' products combined with the acquisition impact. Ingredient costs decreased as a percent of sales due to higher outside purchases of product and lower pricing for commodities, mainly flour and organic ingredients. The benefit was partially offset by higher costs for other ingredients such as cocoa and eggs, the impact of tariffs, and lower sales price/mix. Tariffs are expected to impact our costs more in Fiscal 2026 due to the timing of implementation in Fiscal 2025. We continue to monitor all trade agreements and impacts that might affect the costs of our raw materials.
Prices of ingredient and packaging materials fluctuate due to various factors including, but not limited to, government policy and regulation (including tariffs), weather conditions, domestic and international demand, availability due to supply conditions, including livestock disease, or other unforeseen circumstances, and we monitor these markets closely. Ingredient and packaging costs experienced less volatility in Fiscal 2025 as compared to Fiscal 2024 but are anticipated to remain volatile in Fiscal 2026. We use eggs in several of our products and have been, and could continue to be, adversely impacted by increased costs and/or reduced availability of supply as a result of the avian influenza. We enter into forward purchase agreements and other financial instruments to manage the impact of volatility in certain raw material prices. Any decrease in the availability of these agreements and instruments could increase the cost of these raw materials and significantly affect our earnings.
Selling, Distribution, and Administrative Expenses (as a percent of sales)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line item component |
|
Fiscal 2025 % of sales |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 % of sales |
|
|
Change as a % of sales |
|
Workforce-related costs |
|
|
13.1 |
|
|
|
12.1 |
|
|
|
1.0 |
|
Distributor distribution fees |
|
|
11.8 |
|
|
|
13.3 |
|
|
|
(1.5 |
) |
Other |
|
|
14.6 |
|
|
|
13.8 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
|
Total |
|
|
39.5 |
|
|
|
39.2 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
|
Workforce-related costs increased as a percent of sales year over year primarily due to a shift away from distributor distribution fees and wage inflation on lower sales price/mix. The benefits of cost savings programs and reduced incentive compensation costs partially offset the increase. Distributor distribution fees decreased as a percent of sales primarily from a smaller portion of our sales being made through IDPs mostly resulting from the company converting to an employee-based model in California and due to
distributing Simple Mills' products via a warehouse-delivery system. The California conversion was completed early in the second quarter of Fiscal 2025. The increase in the Other line item in the table above mostly relates to higher acquisition and integration-related expenses, greater restructuring-related implementation costs, and increased vehicle rent expenses associated with the California conversion. See the “Matters Affecting Comparability” section above for a discussion of the acquisition and integration-related expenses and restructuring-related implementation costs.
Restructuring Charges, Plant Closure Costs and Impairment of Assets, Impairment of Intangible Assets, and Loss on Inferior Ingredients
Refer to the discussion in the “Matters Affecting Comparability” section above regarding these items.
Depreciation and Amortization Expense
Depreciation and amortization expense increased in dollars and as a percent of sales year over year primarily due to amortization expense associated with the finite-lived intangible assets acquired in the Simple Mills acquisition.
Income from Operations
Income from operations decreased as a percent of sales compared to the prior year primarily due to the impairment of intangible assets and, to a lesser extent, unfavorable sales price/mix, greater outside purchases of product, higher selling, distribution, and administrative costs, as described above, and lower production volumes. Lower ingredient costs partially offset the decrease.
Net Interest Expense
Net interest expense increased in dollars and as a percent of sales as compared to the prior year due to the issuance of the Notes (as defined below) on February 14, 2025 to fund the Simple Mills acquisition and related fees and expenses. The company anticipates interest expense will increase in Fiscal 2026 as compared to Fiscal 2025 due to the Notes issued in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025.
Income Tax Expense
The effective tax rate for Fiscal 2025 was 27.2% compared to 24.6% in the prior year. The increase in the rate was primarily due to a shortfall tax expense on stock-based compensation. For the periods presented, the primary differences in the effective rate relate to state income taxes, shortfalls in the current year period on the vesting of stock-based compensation awards, impacts in the current year period for non-deductible acquisition costs, and benefits recognized from tax credits.
During Fiscal 2025, new tax legislation was enacted under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (the “Act”). The Act did not have a material impact on the effective tax rate for Fiscal 2025 and there is no anticipated material impact on the effective tax rate in future periods.
Comprehensive Income
The decrease in comprehensive income year over year resulted primarily from decreased net income, and to a much lesser extent, changes in the fair value of derivatives.
LIQUIDITY, CAPITAL RESOURCES, AND FINANCIAL POSITION
Strategy
We believe our ability to consistently generate cash flows from operating activities to meet our liquidity needs is one of our key financial strengths. Furthermore, we strive to maintain a conservative financial position as we believe it allows us flexibility to make investments and acquisitions and is a strategic competitive advantage. Currently, our liquidity needs arise primarily from working capital requirements, capital expenditures, and obligated debt repayments. We believe we currently have access to available funds and financing sources to meet our short and long-term capital requirements. The company’s strategy for use of its excess cash flows includes:
•implementing our strategic priorities, including our transformation strategy initiatives;
•paying dividends to our shareholders;
•maintaining a conservative financial position;
•making strategic acquisitions; and
•repurchasing shares of our common stock.
Although there has been no material adverse impact on the company’s results of operations, liquidity or cash flows in Fiscal 2025, volatility in global and U.S. economic environments, including as a result of, among other things, the inflationary economic environment, supply chain disruptions, tariffs (including retaliatory tariffs), increased labor shortages, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the current instability in the Middle East, could significantly impact our ability to generate future cash flows. We continue to evaluate these various potential business risks, which include the possibility of future economic downturns that could shift consumer demand away from our Branded Retail products to store branded products, supply chain disruptions that have impacted, and could continue to impact, the procurement and cost of raw materials and packaging items (including the impacts of tariffs and retaliatory tariffs), the workforce available to us, among other risks.
The macroeconomic-related factors discussed above remain fluid and the future impact on our business, results of operations, liquidity or capital resources cannot be reasonably estimated with any degree of certainty. In the event of a significant reduction in revenues, we would have additional alternatives to maintain liquidity, including the availability on our debt facilities, capital expenditure reductions, adjustments to our capital allocation policy, and cost reductions. Although we do not currently anticipate a need, we also believe that we could access the capital markets to raise additional funds. We believe that we have sufficient liquidity on hand to continue business operations during the volatile global and U.S. economic environments. As of January 3, 2026, we had total available liquidity of $633.7 million, consisting of cash on hand and the available balances under the new credit facility and the repurchase facility. Although the Act does not impact the company's effective federal tax rate, we anticipate reduced federal tax payments to continue into Fiscal 2026 due to the impact of the Act. As of January 3, 2026, the company has a $25.7 million federal income tax receivable.
We expect the transformation strategy initiatives will require significant capital investment and expense over the next two years. We currently anticipate the upgrade of our ERP system will cost approximately $325 million (of which approximately 35% has been or is anticipated to be capitalized) and anticipate the upgrade to be completed in Fiscal 2027. Previously, these costs were estimated to be $350 million. The decrease in the estimated cost is a result of anticipated greater reliance on internal resources for the bakery deployments. As of January 3, 2026, we have incurred costs related to the project of approximately $265 million. In Fiscal 2026, we expect costs for the upgrade of our ERP system (a portion of which may be expensed as incurred, capitalized, recognized as a cloud computing arrangement, or recognized as a prepaid service contract) to be approximately $30 million to $37 million. The estimate is higher than costs incurred in Fiscal 2025 due to a significant increase in the number of planned deployments. See Item 1A., Risk Factors, “We may experience difficulties in deploying the upgrade of our ERP system.”
The company leases certain property and equipment under various financing and operating lease arrangements. Most of the operating leases provide the company with the option, after the initial lease term, to purchase the property at the then fair value, renew the lease at the then fair value, or return the property. The financing leases provide the company with the option to purchase the property at a fixed price at the end of the lease term. The company believes the use of leases as a financing alternative places the company in a more favorable position to fulfill its long-term strategy for the use of its cash flow. See Note 14, Leases, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K for detailed financial information regarding the company’s lease arrangements.
Key items impacting our liquidity, capital resources and financial position in Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024:
Fiscal 2025:
•Generated $446.2 million of net cash from operating activities.
•Completed the Simple Mills acquisition on February 21, 2025 and paid $791.9 million, which is net of cash acquired, of the total consideration of approximately $848.6 million in Fiscal 2025.
•Paid dividends to our shareholders of $209.3 million.
•Invested in our business through capital expenditures of $127.1 million (inclusive of $3.4 million of capital expenditures, including amounts recognized in accounts payable at year end, for the ERP upgrade).
•Repurchased $5.5 million of our common stock.
•Incurred business process improvement costs of $3.4 million related to the ongoing transformation strategy initiatives (exclusive of capitalized or deferred costs).
Fiscal 2024:
•Generated $412.7 million of net cash from operating activities.
•Paid dividends to our shareholders of $203.0 million.
•Invested in our business through capital expenditures of $132.1 million (inclusive of $6.0 million of capital expenditures, including amounts recognized in accounts payable at year end, for the ERP upgrade).
•Repurchased $22.7 million of our common stock.
•Incurred business process improvement costs of $4.5 million related to the ongoing transformation strategy initiatives (exclusive of capitalized or deferred costs).
Liquidity Discussion
Flowers Foods’ cash and cash equivalents were $12.1 million at January 3, 2026 and $5.0 million at December 28, 2024. The cash and cash equivalents were derived from the activities presented in the table below (amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flow component |
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
Cash flows provided by operating activities |
|
$ |
446,203 |
|
|
$ |
412,664 |
|
Cash disbursed for investing activities |
|
|
(943,155 |
) |
|
|
(172,669 |
) |
Cash provided by (disbursed for) financing activities |
|
|
504,047 |
|
|
|
(257,517 |
) |
Total change in cash |
|
$ |
7,095 |
|
|
$ |
(17,522 |
) |
Cash Flows Provided by Operating Activities. Net cash provided by operating activities included the following items for non-cash adjustments to net income (amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
$ |
167,427 |
|
|
$ |
159,210 |
|
Impairment of assets |
|
|
141,476 |
|
|
|
10,310 |
|
Stock-based compensation |
|
|
32,310 |
|
|
|
29,743 |
|
Allowances for accounts receivable |
|
|
7,429 |
|
|
|
8,304 |
|
Deferred income taxes |
|
|
14,159 |
|
|
|
30,954 |
|
Loss reclassified from accumulated comprehensive income to net income |
|
|
816 |
|
|
|
1,457 |
|
Other non-cash items |
|
|
7,204 |
|
|
|
6,014 |
|
Net non-cash adjustment to net income |
|
$ |
370,821 |
|
|
$ |
245,992 |
|
•Refer to the Plant closure costs and impairment of assets and Impairment of intangible assets discussions in the “Matters Affecting Comparability” section above regarding the impairment of assets.
•For Fiscal 2025, the deferred income tax activity reflects the impact of the federal tax legislation enacted in July 2025 under the Act allowing initial year 100% bonus depreciation and the partial deduction of research and development expenses previously capitalized under Internal Revenue Code Section 174. Other deferred income tax activity during Fiscal 2025 includes the impact of Federal net operating loss utilization and the impact of trademark impairments. Additionally, for both fiscal years, the deferred income tax activity was composed of changes in temporary differences year over year, including the impact of the vesting of stock equity awards, the impact of payments for a previously accrued legal settlement for the repurchase of distribution rights, and activity related to the capitalization of research and development expenses as defined under Internal Revenue Code Section 174.
•Other non-cash items include non-cash interest expense for the amortization of debt discounts and deferred financing costs, activity in the allowances for inventory obsolescence, and gains or losses on the sale of assets.
Net cash for working capital requirements included the following items (amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
Changes in accounts receivable |
|
$ |
(4,954 |
) |
|
$ |
(4,515 |
) |
Changes in inventories |
|
|
(15,422 |
) |
|
|
8,227 |
|
Changes in hedging activities, net |
|
|
3,209 |
|
|
|
(639 |
) |
Changes in other assets and accrued liabilities |
|
|
(31,479 |
) |
|
|
(24,873 |
) |
Changes in accounts payable |
|
|
40,203 |
|
|
|
(59,644 |
) |
Net changes in working capital |
|
$ |
(8,443 |
) |
|
$ |
(81,444 |
) |
•Changes in accounts receivable were mainly attributable to changes in sales period over period. Changes in inventories resulted primarily from volatility in input costs. Changes in accounts payable for the current year were mainly attributable to optimizing vendor payment terms and volatility in input prices, and changes for the prior year were mainly due to volatility in input prices.
•Hedging activities change due to market movements that affect the fair value and the associated required collateral of positions and the timing and recognition of deferred gains or losses. We expect these changes will continue to occur as part of our hedging program, though the degree and financial impact cannot be currently estimated.
•The change in other assets primarily resulted from changes in income tax receivable balances in each respective period. Changes in accruals for legal settlements, employee compensation, interest, and insurance primarily resulted in the change in other accrued liabilities. In Fiscal 2025, the company accrued $2.1 million in legal settlements and made payments of $3.8 million, of which $1.7 million had been accrued for in the prior year. In Fiscal 2024, we accrued $3.8 million of legal settlements and paid $57.1 million of legal settlements, of which $55.0 million had been accrued for in Fiscal 2023. We anticipate making payments of approximately $31.2 million, including our share of employment taxes, in performance-based cash awards under our cash incentive plans in the first quarter of Fiscal 2026. During Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, we paid $53.8 million and $31.9 million, respectively, including our share of employment taxes, in performance-based cash awards under our bonus plans. An additional $1.4 million and $1.9 million were paid in Fiscal 2025 and Fiscal 2024, respectively, for our share of employment taxes on the vesting of employee restricted stock awards in each respective year.
•The company did not make any cash contributions to its defined benefit pension plans in Fiscal 2025 or Fiscal 2024 and at this time, we do not expect to make any voluntary cash contributions to our pension plans in Fiscal 2026. We expect to pay $0.2 million in nonqualified pension benefits from corporate assets in Fiscal 2026. The company believes its cash flow and balance sheet will allow it to fund future pension needs without adversely affecting the business strategy of the company.
Cash Flows Disbursed for Investing Activities. The table below presents net cash disbursed for investing activities (amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
Purchase of property, plant, and equipment |
|
$ |
(127,113 |
) |
|
$ |
(132,088 |
) |
Repurchases of independent distributor distribution rights, net of principal payments from notes receivable |
|
|
(26,924 |
) |
|
|
(43,466 |
) |
Acquisition of business |
|
|
(791,928 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
Proceeds from insurance settlement |
|
|
1,389 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment |
|
|
616 |
|
|
|
2,140 |
|
Other |
|
|
805 |
|
|
|
745 |
|
Net cash disbursed for investing activities |
|
$ |
(943,155 |
) |
|
$ |
(172,669 |
) |
•The repurchases of the California distribution rights contributed to most of the change in the repurchases of distribution rights, net of principal payments from notes receivable. The company completed the California repurchases early in the second quarter of Fiscal 2025.
•As discussed in the "Executive Overview" section above, on February 21, 2025, we completed the Simple Mills acquisition for total cash consideration of approximately $848.6 million of which $791.9 million, which is net of cash acquired, was paid in Fiscal 2025. The determination of the final purchase price is pending post-close purchase price adjustments.
Cash Flows Provided by (Disbursed for) Financing Activities. The table below presents net cash provided by (disbursed for) financing activities (amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
Fiscal 2024 |
|
Dividends paid, including dividends on share-based payment awards |
|
$ |
(209,306 |
) |
|
$ |
(203,033 |
) |
Payment of financing fees |
|
|
(10,120 |
) |
|
|
(190 |
) |
Stock repurchases |
|
|
(5,499 |
) |
|
|
(22,703 |
) |
Change in bank overdrafts |
|
|
(10,824 |
) |
|
|
(3,721 |
) |
Net change in debt obligations |
|
|
739,880 |
|
|
|
(27,800 |
) |
Payments on financing leases |
|
|
(84 |
) |
|
|
(70 |
) |
Net cash provided by (disbursed for) financing activities |
|
$ |
504,047 |
|
|
$ |
(257,517 |
) |
•Our annual dividend rate increased from $0.96 per share in Fiscal 2024 to $0.99 per share in Fiscal 2025. While there are no requirements to increase our dividend rate, we have shown a historical trend to do so.
•In the Fiscal 2025, we paid financing fees associated with issuing the Notes (as defined below), refinancing and replacing the previous credit facility with the new credit facility, and amending the repurchase facility. In the prior year, we paid financing costs associated with amending the repurchase facility.
•Stock repurchase decisions are made based on our stock price, our belief of relative value, and our cash projections at any given time. See Note 18, Stockholders’ Equity, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K for additional information. A portion of these shares were acquired to satisfy employees’ tax withholding and payment obligations in connection with the vesting of restricted stock awards, which are repurchased by the company based on the fair market value on the vesting date.
•Changes in debt obligations primarily related to issuing the Notes to fund the Simple Mills acquisition in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025. See the discussion below under the “Capital Structure” section for additional details regarding changes in debt obligations.
Capital Structure
Long-term debt and right-of-use lease obligations and stockholders’ equity were as follows as of January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024. For a detailed description of our debt and right-of-use lease obligations and information regarding our distributor arrangements, deferred compensation, and guarantees and indemnification obligations, see Note 14, Leases, and Note 15, Debt and Other Commitments, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest Rate at |
|
Final |
|
Balance at |
|
|
Fixed or |
|
|
January 3, 2026 |
|
Maturity |
|
January 3, 2026 |
|
|
December 28, 2024 |
|
|
Variable Rate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
|
|
2026 notes |
|
3.500% |
|
2026 |
|
$ |
399,575 |
|
|
$ |
398,992 |
|
|
Fixed Rate |
2031 notes |
|
2.400% |
|
2031 |
|
|
496,193 |
|
|
|
495,452 |
|
|
Fixed Rate |
2035 notes |
|
5.750% |
|
2035 |
|
|
494,776 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
Fixed Rate |
2055 notes |
|
6.200% |
|
2055 |
|
|
294,588 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
Fixed Rate |
New credit facility |
|
6.875% |
|
2030 |
|
|
5,000 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
Variable Rate |
Previous credit facility |
|
|
|
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
2,200 |
|
|
Variable Rate |
Accounts receivable repurchase facility |
|
4.541% |
|
2027 |
|
|
65,000 |
|
|
|
125,000 |
|
|
Variable Rate |
Right-of-use lease obligations |
|
|
|
2036 |
|
|
325,075 |
|
|
|
322,989 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,080,207 |
|
|
|
1,344,633 |
|
|
|
Less: Current maturities of long-term debt and right-of-use lease obligations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(473,353 |
) |
|
|
(68,524 |
) |
|
|
Long-term debt and right-of-use lease obligations |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
1,606,854 |
|
|
$ |
1,276,109 |
|
|
|
Total stockholders’ equity was as follows at January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at |
|
|
|
January 3, 2026 |
|
|
December 28, 2024 |
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
Total stockholders' equity |
|
$ |
1,303,487 |
|
|
$ |
1,410,114 |
|
As of January 3, 2026, the 2026 notes are classified within the current maturities of long-term debt and will mature during the third quarter of Fiscal 2026 on October 1, 2026. As detailed in the table below, the company currently has sufficient availability under the repurchase facility and new credit facility to repay the 2026 notes upon maturity. Amounts available for withdrawal under the repurchase facility are determined as the lesser of the total facility limit and a formula derived amount based on qualifying trade receivables. If the company were to draw down amounts in excess of paying off the 2026 notes, we may have a different amount available for withdrawal than is presented in the table below.
The repurchase facility and the credit facility are generally used for short-term liquidity needs. The interest rate for the new credit facility shown in the table above reflects a swingline borrowing. Swingline borrowings are typically repaid or converted to a SOFR loan within five business days. At January 3, 2026, the interest rate on a SOFR loan would have been 4.825%.
The following table details the amounts available under the repurchase facility, new credit facility, and previous credit facility as of January 3, 2026 and the highest and lowest balances outstanding under these arrangements during Fiscal 2025:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount Available |
|
|
Highest |
|
Lowest |
|
|
|
for Withdrawal at |
|
|
Balance in |
|
Balance in |
|
Facility |
|
January 3, 2026 |
|
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
Fiscal 2025 |
|
|
|
(Amounts in thousands) |
|
Accounts receivable repurchase facility (1) |
|
$ |
135,000 |
|
|
$ |
155,000 |
|
$ |
50,000 |
|
New credit facility (2) |
|
|
486,600 |
|
|
|
18,600 |
|
|
— |
|
Previous credit facility |
|
|
— |
|
* |
|
2,200 |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
$ |
621,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
* The previous credit facility was refinanced and replaced by the new credit facility on February 5, 2025.
(1)Amount excludes a provision in the repurchase facility agreement which allows the company to request up to $50.0 million in additional commitment.
(2)Amount excludes a provision in the credit facility agreement which allows the company to request an additional $200.0 million in additional revolving commitments.
Amounts outstanding under the credit facility can vary daily. Changes in the gross borrowings and repayments can be caused by cash flow activity from operations, capital expenditures, acquisitions, dividends, share repurchases, and tax payments, as well as derivative transactions which are part of the company’s overall risk management strategy as discussed in Note 11, Derivative Financial Instruments, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K. During Fiscal 2025, the company borrowed $69.1 million in revolving borrowings under the new credit facility and previous credit facility combined and repaid $66.3 million in revolving borrowings. The amount available under the new credit facility is reduced by $8.4 million for letters of credit.
The repurchase facility and the new credit facility are variable rate debt and provide us the greatest direct exposure to changing interest rates. In periods of rising interest rates, the cost of using these facilities increases, resulting in greater interest expense.
Restrictive financial covenants for our borrowings include such ratios as a minimum interest coverage ratio and a maximum leverage ratio. Our debt may also contain certain customary representations and warranties, affirmative and negative covenants, and events of default. The company believes that, given its current cash position, its cash flow from operating activities and its available credit capacity, it can comply with the current terms of the debt agreements and can meet its presently foreseeable financial requirements. As of January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024, the company was in compliance with all restrictive covenants under our debt agreements.
In connection with entering into the Agreement and Plan of Merger to acquire Simple Mills, the company entered into a commitment letter, pursuant to which, among other things, Royal Bank of Canada committed to provide debt financing for the consummation of the Simple Mills acquisition, consisting of a $795.0 million 364-day term loan facility (the "Term Loan Facility"), on the terms and subject to the conditions set forth in the commitment letter. In lieu of borrowing under the Term Loan Facility, the company issued the 2035 Notes and the 2055 Notes, on February 14, 2025, and terminated the outstanding commitments in respect of the Term Loan Facility. The company recognized costs of $3.6 million associated with the Term Loan Facility in the first quarter of Fiscal 2025 and these costs are included in the selling, distribution, and administrative expenses line item of the Consolidated Statements of Income.
On February 5, 2025, we entered into the new credit facility, a $500.0 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility pursuant to a Credit Agreement (the “2025 Revolving Credit Agreement”), dated as of February 5, 2025, with certain financial institutions party thereto as lenders and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent. The new credit facility refinances and replaces the previous credit facility entered into pursuant to the amended and restated credit agreement, dated as of October 24, 2003, with the lenders party thereto and Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, as administrative agent (as amended, restated, modified or supplemented from time to time). The maturity date of the previous credit agreement was July 30, 2026. No borrowings were outstanding under the amended and restated credit agreement upon its termination.
The new credit facility has an initial maturity date of February 5, 2030. Under the new credit facility, up to $50.0 million of availability may be drawn in the form of letters of credit and up to $50.0 million of availability may be drawn in the form of swingline loans. The new credit facility also includes an incremental facility whereby the Company may increase the commitments to up to $700.0 million if certain conditions are met.
Borrowings under the new credit facility bear interest, at the option of the company, based on the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”) or the “base rate” plus, in each case, an applicable margin. The applicable margin is determined by reference to a pricing grid set forth in the 2025 Revolving Credit Agreement based on the company’s leverage and debt rating, ranging from a maximum of 1.525% in the case of SOFR-based loans and 0.525% in the case of base rate loans to a minimum of 0.815% in the case of SOFR-based loans and 0.00% in the case of base rate loans, based upon the company’s then applicable leverage ratio and debt rating. In addition, the new credit facility bears an additional facility fee on the full amount of the commitments, also determined by reference to the pricing grid, and ranging from a maximum of 0.225% to a minimum of 0.06%, based upon the company’s then applicable leverage ratio and debt rating.
On February 14, 2025, the company issued the 2035 Notes and the 2055 Notes (together, the “Notes”), pursuant to the Indenture, dated as of April 3, 2012 (the “Base Indenture”), by and between the company, as issuer, and Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (as successor to Wells Fargo Bank, National Association), as trustee, as amended and supplemented from time to time, including without limitation, pursuant to an Officer’s Certificate, dated February 14, 2025 (together with the Base Indenture, the “Indenture”), establishing the specific terms and forms of the Notes, each as a new series of securities under the Indenture, and appointing Regions Bank to serve as series trustee with respect to the Notes. The company used the net proceeds of the offering, together with cash on hand, (i) to fund the cash consideration for the Simple Mills acquisition, (ii) to pay fees and expenses related to the Simple Mills acquisition and the offering, and (iii) for general corporate purposes.
On April 14, 2025, the company amended the repurchase facility to, among other things, extend the scheduled facility expiration date to from April 14, 2026 to April 14, 2027 and add a provision that permits the company to request up to $50.0 million in additional commitment, for a total of up to $250.0 million, subject to the satisfaction of certain customary conditions of the facility.
The company intends to maintain its balanced capital deployment model, along with a commitment to its investment grade debt rating.
Special Purpose Entities. At January 3, 2026 and December 28, 2024, the company did not have any relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such as entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which are established to facilitate off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes.
Guarantees. In the event the company ceases to utilize the independent distribution form of doing business or exits a geographic market, the company is contractually required to purchase the distribution rights from the independent distributors.
Stock Repurchase Plan. Previously, our Board had approved a plan that authorized share repurchases of up to 74.6 million shares of the company’s common stock. On May 26, 2022, the company announced that the Board increased the company's share repurchase authorization by 20.0 million shares. At the close of the company’s fourth quarter on January 3, 2026, 21.3 million shares remained under the existing authorization. Under the share repurchase plan, the company may repurchase its common stock in open market or privately negotiated transactions or under an accelerated repurchase program at such times and at such prices as determined to be in the company’s best interest. These purchases may be commenced or suspended without prior notice depending on then-existing business or market conditions and other factors.
During Fiscal 2025, 286,980 shares of the company’s common stock were repurchased under the plan at a cost of $5.5 million and during Fiscal 2024, 992,233 shares were repurchased under the plan at a cost of $22.7 million. From the inception of the plan through January 3, 2026, 73.3 million shares have been repurchased, at a cost of $761.5 million. No repurchases of the company’s common stock were made during the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2025.
New Accounting Pronouncements Not Yet Adopted
See Note 3, Recent Accounting Pronouncements, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Form 10-K regarding this information.